Finland vs Albania
Finland rallies past Albania with Walta brace
L. Walta's double secures a 2-1 win after an early Albanian shock.
Albania struck first through R. Manaj's early goal, but Finland responded well with L. Walta leveling before the break and then netting the winner after the break. The 2-1 victory was a narrow but deserved comeback for the hosts. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction nailed the exact scoreline and outcome, proving a solid call.
Outcome probability
Finland and Albania face off in a League C encounter that promises to be a tight affair. Both teams have shown solid form, making this a compelling contest to watch.
Match factors
Pohjanpalo's clinical finishing vs Albania's defense
Joel Pohjanpalo's 3 goals in 1 away game highlight his sharpness against similar opposition, giving Finland a clear attacking edge.
Finland's strong away scoring form
Finland averages 7 goals away in 1 game, indicating strong offensive potential on the road.
Albania's consistent scoring and clean sheets
Albania has scored in both recent games and kept 2 clean sheets, showing balanced form.
Adrian Svanbäck's dual threat as scorer and assister
Svanbäck's 1 goal and 2 assists in last away game make him a key creative and finishing threat for Finland.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key without injury disruptions.
The context
In this League C round 3 fixture, Finland currently sit top of the standings with a strong goal difference, while Albania are close behind in second place. Both teams have won their opening matches, setting the stage for a competitive clash.
Key insights
Joel Pohjanpalo
Finland
Joel Pohjanpalo's 3 goals in 1 away game highlight his sharpness against similar opposition, giving Finland a clear attacking edge.
UEFA Nations League 26/273 goals in 1 game, 90 mins played
Adrian Svanbäck
Finland
Svanbäck's 1 goal and 2 assists in last away game make him a key creative and finishing threat for Finland.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 assists in 1 game, 90 mins played
Ernest Muçi
Albania
Muçi has scored in the last home game and is a consistent scoring threat for Albania.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 game, 74 mins played
Leo Walta
Finland
Walta's 2 goals and 1 assist in recent games underline his importance in Finland's midfield attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 goals in 1 game, 70 mins played
Analysis
Finland have impressed with their attacking prowess, scoring seven goals without conceding in two matches this competition. Albania have also been solid, winning both their games and keeping clean sheets. Key players like Joel Pohjanpalo for Finland, who boasts three goals in one away game, and Adrian Svanbäck, a creative force with two assists, could prove decisive. Albania's Ernest Muçi and Kristjan Asllani offer midfield threats, but Finland's sharper finishing may tip the balance.
Key facts
- 1.Finland have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L0, GF 7 / GA 0).
- 2.Albania have played 2 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L0, GF 5 / GA 0).
- 3.Finland are ranked 1st in this competition with 3 points from 1 game (W1 D0 L0).
- 4.Albania are ranked 2nd in this competition with 3 points from 1 game (W1 D0 L0).
- 5.Finland have a significantly better goal difference (+5) than Albania this season.
Prediction
The forecast leans towards a Finland win by 2-1, reflecting their slight edge in goal-scoring ability and home advantage. While the match is finely balanced, Finland's attacking talents and superior goal difference suggest they will just about claim the points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Finland
Away — Albania
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends, but Finland's clinical finishing should see them narrowly prevail over Albania in this League C showdown.
Prediction generated 29 Sep 2026, 20:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Manaj
Assist: Asllani
Berisha
Red Card
Hoxha
Walta
Sherri
Yellow Card
Kairinen
Yellow Card
Kairinen
Manaj
Miettinen
Håkans
Muçi
Walta
Djimsiti
Yellow Card
Asllani
Pilios
Uzuni
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Walta
Marhiev
Match Statistics
Finland
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 3A. StåhlD
- 4T. MiettinenD
- 5S. MiettinenD
- 9A. SvanbäckF
- 10L. WaltaM
- 11A. MarhievM
- 13J. LähteenmäkiD
- 14K. KairinenM
- 20J. PohjanpaloF
- 22D. HåkansF
Substitutes
- 2M. PeltolaD
- 6G. KamaraM
- 7S. VäänänenM
- 8O. ValakariM
- 12V. SinisaloG
- 15L. VäisänenD
- 16A. SuhonenM
- 17R. MahutaD
- 18T. KeskinenF
- 19B. KällmanF
- 21O. JukkolaM
- 23L. BergströmG
Albania
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1E. BerishaG
- 3M. MitajD
- 4E. HysajM
- 6B. DjimsitiD
- 7R. ManajF
- 8K. AsllaniM
- 10E. MuçiF
- 18A. IsmajliD
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 21A. HoxhaF
- 22S. PiliosM
Substitutes
- 2F. FetaiM
- 5K. CakeD
- 9A. MehmetiM
- 11M. UzuniF
- 12A. SherriG
- 13N. AlijiD
- 14C. ShpendiF
- 15M. KumbullaD
- 16J. ShehuM
- 17T. SeferiF
- 19M. DakuF
- 23M. DajsinaniG
Finland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Walta | M | 82 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Hrádecký | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| J. Lähteenmäki | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kamara | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Miettinen | D | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Miettinen | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ståhl | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Kairinen | M | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Håkans | F | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Svanbäck | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| O. Valakari | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Väisänen | D | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peltola | D | 1 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Jukkola | M | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Väänänen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bergström | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Suhonen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Keskinen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mahuta | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Källman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Albania
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Manaj | F | 46 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| K. Asllani | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Ismajli | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mitaj | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hoxha | F | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Muçi | F | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Daku | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/3 |
| Y. Ramadani | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Pilios | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Shehu | M | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Hysaj | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Sherri | G | 65 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Berisha | G | 22 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Seferi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Aliji | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kumbulla | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Cake | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dajsinani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Fetai | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Shpendi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Finland vs Albania?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Finland to win against Albania.
- What score did Fipster predict for Finland vs Albania?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Finland 2–1 Albania.
- What were the win probabilities for Finland vs Albania?
- Fipster's model gave Finland a 46% chance of winning, Albania a 27% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.