Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord held to draw by resilient Fortuna
A late strike from Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand rescues a point for Fortuna Sittard.
Feyenoord looked set for a comfortable win after L. Valente put them ahead shortly after the hour mark, but Fortuna Sittard fought back with an 86th-minute equaliser from Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand to share the spoils. This 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-1 home victory, proving that football still loves a cheeky upset.
Outcome probability
Feyenoord, also known as De club aan de Maas, face Fortuna Sittard in the 11th round of the regular season. With both teams showing competitive form, this match promises plenty of action and goals.
Match factors
Feyenoord's dominant scoring form
Feyenoord averages 3.2 goals per game with a 70% win rate and a 5-game scoring streak at home
Fortuna Sittard's key attackers in form
Descotte and Michut provide attacking threat with consistent goals and assists, challenging Feyenoord's defense
Feyenoord's defensive injuries weaken backline depth
Two defenders confirmed out with several doubtfuls may affect defensive solidity despite strong starters
Feyenoord's strong recent form supports predicted win
Team is unbeaten with multiple wins recently, scoring in every game and maintaining positive momentum
The context
Feyenoord currently lead the league with 23 points from 9 games, boasting a remarkable +21 goal difference. Fortuna Sittard sit 5th with 18 points from 10 games and a neutral goal difference. Historically, Feyenoord have the upper hand, winning 12 of their 18 encounters against Fortuna Sittard.
Key insights
- A
A. Hadj-Moussa
Feyenoord
Top scorer in recent matches with multiple multi-goal games, consistently rated above 7.0.
Eredivisie 26/27High shot conversion and key attacking presence this season.
- L
L. Valente
Feyenoord
Consistent goal contributor and team captain, with 88% passing accuracy and strong recent ratings.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple goals this season and key playmaker role.
- G
G. Read
Feyenoord
Leads team in tackles and interceptions, disciplined with no cards, crucial for defensive stability.
Eredivisie 26/2755.5% duel win rate and occasional assists.
- É
É. Michut
Fortuna Sittard
Top passer for Fortuna with high accuracy and strong defensive stats, vital for transitions.
Eredivisie 26/2788-89% passing accuracy and above average tackles and interceptions.
- A
A. Descotte
Fortuna Sittard
Leading scorer with multiple goals in recent matches, key attacking threat.
Eredivisie 26/27High minutes played and good shooting stats this season.
Analysis
Feyenoord's attacking firepower is evident, averaging 3.2 goals per game and maintaining a 5-game scoring streak at home. Key players like A. Hadj-Moussa and L. Valente have been standout performers, contributing goals and creativity. Fortuna Sittard's leading scorer A. Descotte and midfielder É. Michut provide a threat, but Feyenoord's defensive stability, led by G. Read and Mika Màrmol, should contain them despite some injury concerns in the backline.
Key facts
- 1.Feyenoord have won 12 of 18 head-to-head matches against Fortuna Sittard.
- 2.Feyenoord lead the league with 23 points from 9 games.
- 3.Feyenoord have a +21 goal difference compared to Fortuna Sittard's 0.
- 4.Feyenoord average 3.2 goals per game this season.
- 5.Fortuna Sittard are 5th in the league with 18 points from 10 games.
- 6.Feyenoord have a 5-game scoring streak at home.
- 7.A. Hadj-Moussa is top scorer in recent matches for Feyenoord.
- 8.L. Valente is a key playmaker and team captain for Feyenoord.
Prediction
The prediction is a strong home win for Feyenoord with a halftime lead of 2-0 and a fulltime score of 4-1. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Feyenoord
Away — Fortuna Sittard
No standout best passers flagged for Fortuna Sittard
The verdict
Feyenoord's superior form, goal difference, and historical dominance over Fortuna Sittard make them clear favourites. Expect an entertaining match with Feyenoord asserting their quality and securing a convincing victory.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:20 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Guth
Zeefuik
Valente
Assist: Hadj-Moussa
van Ottele
Yellow Card
Ivo Pinto
Márquez
Descotte
Nacho Ferri
Goal cancelled
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
Assist: Simons
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 25 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Feyenoord
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1T. ErnstG
- 4T. WatanabeD
- 8G. ZechiëlM
- 10L. ValenteF
- 16Javi LópezD
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 26G. ReadD
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 35Mika MàrmolD
Substitutes
- 11Gonçalo BorgesF
- 14S. SteijnM
- 20M. DeijlD
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 27G. DiarraF
- 32T. WesselsD
- 33F. KastenmeierG
- 39L. BossinG
- 57J. SchakenF
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3Rodrigo GuthD
- 6S. van OtteleD
- 8J. DahlhausD
- 9A. DescotteM
- 12Ivo PintoD
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
- 23P. BrittijnM
- 25L. ZeefuikF
- 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
- 31M. BranderhorstG
- 52M. IhattarenM
Substitutes
- 1L. KoopmansG
- 2S. WylinD
- 4Iván MárquezD
- 7K. PetersonF
- 14S. SimonsM
- 15N. de GrootD
- 24D. SinkgravenD
- 33K. ReitmaierG
- 35K. van BurgstedenM
- 38Moussa GbemouM
Feyenoord
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Valente | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Watanabe | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | F | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2/9 |
| O. Targhalline | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| G. Zechiël | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| C. Vanhoutte | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mika Màrmol | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Read | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Javi López | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| T. Ernst | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Diarra | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nacho Ferri | F | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Steijn | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bossin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Deijl | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kraaijeveld | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. van den Elshout | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schaken | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Borges | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Wessels | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kastenmeier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| J. Dahlhaus | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Guth | D | 30 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| K. Peterson | F | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Ivo Pinto | D | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Branderhorst | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Quincy Hubner | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Márquez | D | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Wylin | D | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sinkgraven | D | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Simons | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. van Ottele | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| P. Brittijn | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ihattaren | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Descotte | M | 76 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Zeefuik | F | 54 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| K. van Burgsteden | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Gbemou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. de Groot | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Reitmaier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Koopmans | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Feyenoord to win against Fortuna Sittard.
- What score did Fipster predict for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Feyenoord 4–1 Fortuna Sittard.
- What were the win probabilities for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
- Fipster's model gave Feyenoord a 95% chance of winning, Fortuna Sittard a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.