Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord shut out AZ with solid two-goal cushion
Nacho Ferri and Javi López secure a confident home win in Eredivisie action.
Feyenoord claimed a 2-0 victory over AZ Alkmaar thanks to early and second-half strikes from Nacho Ferri and Javi López respectively. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring an away win, the hosts held firm to deny AZ any reply, delivering a neat upset against the forecast.
Outcome probability
Feyenoord, also known as De club aan de Maas, face off against AZ Alkmaar in the eighth round of the Dutch league season. Both sides have been impressive so far, with Feyenoord unbeaten and leading the table, while AZ Alkmaar sit just behind in third place. This fixture promises an exciting battle between two high-scoring teams.
Match factors
Feyenoord's attacking form vs AZ's defense
Feyenoord's attackers like Hadj-Moussa and Zechiël show strong recent scoring and assisting form, challenging AZ's defense which has conceded 6 goals in 6 games.
AZ's midfield passing dominance
Koopmeiners leads with 439 passes at 92% accuracy, providing AZ a midfield control edge to create scoring chances.
Feyenoord's defensive contributions from fullbacks
Read and Mármol contribute assists and strong defensive stats, boosting Feyenoord's transition play and defense stability.
Feyenoord missing key defenders and attacker Nelson
Confirmed outs include multiple defenders and attacker Nelson, weakening Feyenoord's defensive depth and attacking options.
AZ's defensive solidity with Schouten and Goes
Schouten and Goes provide consistent defensive performances with high duel win rates and tackling, key to containing Feyenoord's attack.
The context
Feyenoord currently top the league with 17 points from seven games, boasting a remarkable goal difference of +18. AZ Alkmaar are close behind with 16 points from six games and a +11 goal difference. Historically, Feyenoord have the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, winning 12 of 19 matches against AZ Alkmaar, but recent form and squad dynamics suggest this encounter could swing either way.
Key insights
- A
A. Hadj-Moussa
Feyenoord
Exceptional recent form with multiple multi-goal games, making him a key attacking threat.
Eredivisie 26/27High match ratings up to 9.7 and strong shooting accuracy in this season's league.
- G
G. Zechiël
Feyenoord
Consistent assist provider with 89% passing accuracy, crucial in creating chances.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple assists in recent matches and solid defensive contributions.
- P
P. Koopmeiners
AZ Alkmaar
Midfield anchor with exceptional passing volume and 92% accuracy, controlling the game's tempo.
Eredivisie 26/27439 passes this season with high defensive work rate and leadership role.
- G
G. Read
Feyenoord
Strong defensive contributions and assists from the back, boosting Feyenoord's transition play.
Eredivisie 26/27High defensive duels win rate and recent match ratings including 9.64.
Analysis
Feyenoord's attacking prowess is led by standout performers like A. Hadj-Moussa, who has been in exceptional form with multiple multi-goal games, and G. Zechiël, a consistent assist provider with high passing accuracy. However, Feyenoord are missing key defenders and attacker Nelson, which could weaken their defensive stability. On the other side, AZ Alkmaar's midfield maestro P. Koopmeiners controls the game with exceptional passing volume and accuracy, providing a tactical edge. AZ's defensive solidity, anchored by Schouten and Goes, will be crucial in containing Feyenoord's attack. The prediction leans towards an away win for AZ Alkmaar, with a likely high-scoring 3-2 result, reflecting the attacking talents and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Key facts
- 1.Feyenoord lead the league with 17 points from 7 games, unbeaten so far.
- 2.AZ Alkmaar sit third with 16 points from 6 games, also unbeaten.
- 3.Feyenoord have a superior goal difference (+18) compared to AZ Alkmaar (+11).
- 4.In 19 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord have won 12, AZ Alkmaar 4, with 3 draws.
- 5.Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals per game.
- 6.Feyenoord are missing key defenders and attacker Nelson due to injury.
- 7.AZ Alkmaar's P. Koopmeiners boasts 92% passing accuracy with 439 passes this season.
Prediction
We predict AZ Alkmaar to edge out Feyenoord with a 3-2 victory. Despite Feyenoord's strong league position and goal difference, AZ's midfield control and defensive resilience, combined with Feyenoord's injury concerns, tip the scales in favour of the visitors in what promises to be a thrilling encounter.
The verdict
This Dutch league clash is set to deliver goals and excitement, with both teams boasting attacking talent and competitive form. While Feyenoord have the historical edge and league lead, AZ Alkmaar's tactical strengths and current momentum suggest they will come away with a narrow 3-2 win. Fans should prepare for a pulsating match full of twists and turns.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Schouten
Yellow Card
Nacho Ferri
Daal
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Targhalline
Yellow Card
Javi López
Assist: Vanhoutte
Goes
Yellow Card
Daal
Dijkstra
Zechiël
Clasie
Nacho Ferri
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Feyenoord
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1T. ErnstG
- 6J. St. JusteD
- 8G. ZechiëlM
- 10L. ValenteF
- 16Javi LópezD
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 26G. ReadD
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 35Mika MàrmolD
Substitutes
- 14S. SteijnM
- 20M. DeijlD
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 27G. DiarraF
- 32T. WesselsD
- 33F. KastenmeierG
- 36J. ZinhagelF
- 39L. BossinG
- 57J. SchakenF
AZ Alkmaar
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3W. GoesD
- 4L. SchoutenD
- 5M. ChávezD
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 8J. ClasieM
- 9M. MeerdinkF
- 11R. DaalF
- 14C. StengsM
- 22E. DijkstraD
- 24A. OufkirF
- 28J. De BusserG
Substitutes
- 1R. Owusu-OduroG
- 2S. MaikumaD
- 7Weslley PatatiF
- 17V. ByskovM
- 18B. KovacsF
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 29W. HoedtD
- 30D. KasiusD
- 31R. IchiharaD
- 34M. de WitD
- 45Jerolldino ArmantradingF
Feyenoord
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javi López | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| C. Vanhoutte | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. St. Juste | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mika Màrmol | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Read | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Nacho Ferri | F | 89 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| O. Targhalline | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| T. Ernst | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Valente | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| G. Zechiël | M | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| T. van den Elshout | M | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/6 |
| G. Diarra | F | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Steijn | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Deijl | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bossin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kraaijeveld | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zinhagel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schaken | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kastenmeier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Wessels | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| W. Goes | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kovacs | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Oufkir | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 5/10 |
| C. Stengs | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. De Busser | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Meerdink | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Kasius | D | 22 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Daal | F | 68 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| M. Chávez | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jerolldino Armantrading | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ichihara | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Byskov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Owusu-Oduro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kwakman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AZ Alkmaar to win against Feyenoord.
- What score did Fipster predict for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Feyenoord 2–3 AZ Alkmaar.
- What were the win probabilities for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Fipster's model gave Feyenoord a 32% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.