Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe secure solid win over Sturm Graz
Talisca and Greenwood strike to seal a confident home victory.
Fenerbahçe delivered a composed performance in the UEFA Champions League, with early and first-half goals from Talisca and M. Greenwood ensuring a 2-0 win against Sturm Graz. The Turkish side controlled the match from the start, never allowing their visitors a foothold. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the clean sheet was a touch more convincing than expected.
- Aggregate:
- Fenerbahçe 3 0 Sturm Graz
- Advances:
- Fenerbahçe
Outcome probability
The 3rd Qualifying Round clash between Fenerbahçe and Sturm Graz promises an intriguing battle as both sides look to advance. With Fenerbahçe's attacking threat and Sturm Graz's unbeaten run in this competition, fans can expect a competitive encounter.
Match factors
Fenerbahçe's attacking reliance on Talisca
Talisca's consistent scoring form and central role provide a focal point for Fenerbahçe's attack, likely to exploit Sturm Graz's defense.
Sturm Graz's defenders contributing goals
Multiple Sturm Graz defenders have scored recently, indicating threat from set-pieces and overlaps, adding unpredictability.
Sturm Graz's unbeaten and scoring streak
Sturm Graz has won both recent games and scored in each, showing strong momentum despite being away.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key without forced absences.
The context
Fenerbahçe have played two matches in this competition so far, recording one win and one draw, scoring twice and conceding once. Sturm Graz, meanwhile, remain unbeaten with two wins and an impressive six goals scored without reply. Both teams have shown solid form, setting the stage for a tight contest.
Key insights
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
Talisca's consistent scoring form and central role provide a focal point for Fenerbahçe's attack, likely to exploit Sturm Graz's defense.
2 goals in 2 appearances, 167 minutes played
J. Heil
Sturm Graz
Multiple Sturm Graz defenders have scored recently, indicating threat from set-pieces and overlaps, adding unpredictability.
1 goal in 2 appearances, 184 minutes played
Analysis
Fenerbahçe's attack centres on Talisca, who boasts two goals in two appearances and has been consistent both home and away. Sturm Graz's defenders have contributed goals, adding an extra dimension to their threat. Despite Sturm Graz's unbeaten streak and scoring momentum, Fenerbahçe's home advantage and attacking reliability give them the edge in this fixture.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L0, GF 2 / GA 1).
- 2.Sturm Graz have played 2 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L0, GF 6 / GA 0).
- 3.Talisca is Fenerbahçe's top scorer with 2 goals in 2 games.
- 4.Sturm Graz defenders have contributed goals, indicating set-piece threat.
- 5.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads available.
- 6.The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Fenerbahçe.
- 7.Fenerbahçe's home advantage is a key factor in the prediction.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 2-1 victory for Fenerbahçe. This scoreline aligns with the highest aggregate probability and the top predicted full-time score, suggesting a closely fought match with Fenerbahçe just shading it.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fenerbahçe
Away — Sturm Graz
The verdict
With both teams at full strength and tactical nous likely to be decisive, expect Fenerbahçe to leverage their attacking focal points and home familiarity to clinch a narrow win over a spirited Sturm Graz side.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Talisca
Assist: Aktürkoğlu
Gorenc Stankovič
Yellow Card
Oosterwolde
Greenwood
Assist: Asensio
Włodarczyk
Heil
Yellow Card
Weinhandl
Seidl
Jatta
Kayombo
Yellow Card
Asensio
Greenwood
Semedo
Aktürkoğlu
Jacob Peter Hödl
Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 9K. AktürkoğluM
- 10Marco AsensioM
- 11M. GreenwoodM
- 15N. AkéD
- 24J. OosterwoldeD
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 34M. GünokG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 91N. KantéM
- 94TaliscaF
Substitutes
- 3A. BrownD
- 4Ç. SöyüncüD
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 7FredM
- 14Y. DemirD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 18M. MüldürD
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 20A. MusabaF
- 26S. CherifF
- 31EdersonG
- 70O. AydınF
Sturm Graz
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2J. MitchellD
- 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
- 5A. VallciD
- 17S. WłodarczykF
- 18E. SogloD
- 19S. SeidlM
- 20S. JattaF
- 28J. HeilD
- 39Luca WeinhandlM
- 43Jacob Peter HödlM
- 53D. KhudyakovG
Substitutes
- 11A. KayomboF
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 21P. PetrovićD
- 22A. HelacG
- 23A. MalicD
- 26B. BeganovićF
- 27L. BalboD
- 30P. KollerD
- 32C. Wiener-PucherG
- 40J. HalwachsM
- 44N. WeiperF
- 80R. FossoM
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Škriniar(C) | D | 91 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 69 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Nathan Aké | D | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Mason Greenwood | M | 69 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 91 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mert Günok | G | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | D | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ederson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oğuz Aydın | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiğit Efe Demir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sidiki Cherif | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Çağlar Söyüncü | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Musaba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Brown | D | 61 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fred | M | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Gorenc Stanković(C) | M | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jeyland Mitchell | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emran Soglo | D | 91 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Albert Vallci | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jurgen Heil | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Seidl | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 87 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 64 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Belmin Beganović | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Petrović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arjan Malić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ammar Helac | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christoph Wiener-Pucher | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Halwachs | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | 27 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Weiper | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Axel Kayombo | F | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |