Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe
Göztepe snatch shock win at Fenerbahçe
Two quickfire goals after the break turn the tide against the hosts.
Fenerbahçe looked set to take the lead with M. Guendouzi scoring just after the first half, but Göztepe staged a late comeback with S. Armstrong and André Henrique scoring in quick succession after the break to secure a 2-1 victory. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable home win, proving the unpredictability of Süper Lig football.
Outcome probability
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe face off in the 10th round of the regular season, with the hosts looking to extend their strong start to the campaign. Göztepe, struggling near the bottom of the table, will need to find a way to disrupt Fenerbahçe's rhythm if they hope to avoid a heavy defeat.
Match factors
Fenerbahçe's potent home attack led by Muriqi and Greenwood
Vedat Muriqi and Mason Greenwood have strong home scoring form, boosting Fenerbahçe's attack at home
Creative midfield trio driving assists for Fenerbahçe
Oğuz Aydın, Muhammed Aktürkoğlu, and İrfan Kahveci lead assists with 3 each, enhancing goal chances
Absence of Marco Asensio weakens Fenerbahçe's midfield creativity
Asensio is confirmed out with knee injury, removing a key creative midfielder from lineup
Göztepe's Juan and André Henrique show consistent scoring form
Juan has 5 goals and André Henrique 3, both in good recent form, providing attacking threat
Defensive doubts for Fenerbahçe with Müldür and Aké doubtful
Two defenders are doubtful due to injuries, potentially weakening defensive stability
The context
Fenerbahçe currently sit 3rd in the league with 6 points from 3 games, boasting a positive goal difference of +3. In contrast, Göztepe are 16th with just 1 point and a goal difference of -2. Historically, Fenerbahçe have the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, having won 7 of their 15 meetings against Göztepe, with only 2 losses and 6 draws.
Key insights
Vedat Muriqi
Fenerbahçe
Vedat Muriqi leads the scoring charts with 7 goals this season, including 6 at home, making him a constant threat in this fixture.
Süper Lig 26/277 goals in 7 games, 6 at home, 392 mins played
Mason Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
Mason Greenwood’s consistent goal and assist contributions, especially at home, bolster Fenerbahçe’s attacking options.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals and 2 assists in 7 games, strong home form
Oğuz Aydın
Fenerbahçe
Creative midfielder Oğuz Aydın tops the assist charts with 3, providing key chances for the forwards.
Süper Lig 26/273 assists in 7 games, 342 mins played
Juan
Göztepe
Juan is Göztepe’s leading scorer with 5 goals, showing good recent away form and posing a threat despite the team’s struggles.
Süper Lig 26/275 goals in 8 games, 497 mins played
Analysis
Fenerbahçe's attacking prowess at home is spearheaded by Vedat Muriqi, who has netted 7 goals this season, including 6 in 4 home games, and Mason Greenwood, who has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists with strong home form. The creative midfield trio of Oğuz Aydın, Muhammed Aktürkoğlu, and İrfan Kahveci, each with 3 assists, further bolsters their offensive threat. However, the absence of Marco Asensio due to a knee injury slightly dampens their creativity. Defensively, doubts linger with Müldür and Aké facing fitness tests, but the overall squad depth should compensate. Göztepe's main attacking threats come from Juan and André Henrique, who have 5 and 3 goals respectively, showing consistent form despite their team's struggles.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe are 3rd in the league with 6 points from 3 games; Göztepe are 16th with 1 point.
- 2.Fenerbahçe have a goal difference of +3 compared to Göztepe's -2 this season.
- 3.Vedat Muriqi has scored 7 goals this season, including 6 at home.
- 4.Mason Greenwood has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists, showing strong home form.
- 5.Fenerbahçe have won 7 of 15 head-to-head matches against Göztepe.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Fenerbahçe.
- 7.The match is expected to see around 4 total cards, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
The prediction sees Fenerbahçe taking a 1-0 lead into halftime and ultimately securing a 3-1 victory. The home side's superior form, goal difference, and attacking firepower make them strong favourites to dominate this encounter. The match is expected to be moderately disciplined, with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fenerbahçe
Away — Göztepe
The verdict
In summary, Fenerbahçe's combination of home advantage, attacking talent, and league standing points to a comfortable win over Göztepe. While the visitors have some capable scorers, they are unlikely to withstand the hosts' offensive pressure for the full 90 minutes.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 20:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kanté
Yellow Card
Antunes
Yellow Card
Semedo
Yellow Card
Guendouzi
Assist: Lukaku
Akonnor
Yellow Card
Janderson
Semedo
Juan
Antunes
Armstrong
André Henrique
Assist: Anjorin
Aktürkoğlu
Aydın
Peprah Oppong
Altıkardeş
Yellow Card
Dismas
Rhaldney
Bekiroğlu
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 7K. AktürkoğluM
- 9R. LukakuF
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 21K. Peprah OppongD
- 22L. MercanD
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 31EdersonG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 70O. AydınM
- 91N. KantéM
Substitutes
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 8M. YandaşM
- 13T. ÇetinG
- 14Y. DemirD
- 18M. MüldürD
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 28B. ElmazM
- 34M. GünokG
- 45N. DorgelesF
- 77O. MimoviÄD
Göztepe
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1A. ÖzçimenG
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 4T. AltıkardeşD
- 5RhaldneyM
- 8A. AntunesF
- 9JuanF
- 12R. AkonnorM
- 19N. Sonko-SundbergD
- 20N. DismasM
- 26M. BokeleD
- 39JandersonF
Substitutes
- 3Allan GodóiD
- 6Alex MatosM
- 7André HenriqueF
- 10E. BekiroğluM
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 14T. BökeF
- 17G. BayrakdarF
- 18F. AnjorinM
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 33Ş. ÖztürkG
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 84 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Oğuz Aydın | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 89 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Ederson | G | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar(C) | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | M | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 65 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mert Günok | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Hakan Yandaş | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarık Çetin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dorgeles Nene | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ognjen Mimović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiğit Efe Demir | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Göztepe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kurtulan | M | 89 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Arda Özçimen | G | 89 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novatus Miroshi | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rhaldney | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Juan Santos da Silva | F | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/5 |
| Taha Altıkardeş | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard Akonnor | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Janderson | F | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Malcom Bokele(C) | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Noah Sonko Sundberg | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Antunes | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bekir Turaç Böke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efkan Bekiroğlu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gökdeniz Bayrakdar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Matos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mehmet Şamil Öztürk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ege Yildirim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinclair Armstrong | F | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| André Henrique | F | 24 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Tino Anjorin | M | 15 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against Göztepe.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fenerbahçe 3–1 Göztepe.
- What were the win probabilities for Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
- Fipster's model gave Fenerbahçe a 91% chance of winning, Göztepe a 4% chance, and a 5% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 91% confidence — a high-confidence call.