Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze
- Aggregate:
- Gornik Zabrze 1 2 Fenerbahçe
- Advances:
- Fenerbahçe
Match recap
Fenerbahçe beat Gornik Zabrze 1–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture. Talisca scored for Fenerbahçe. Fenerbahçe held 79% possession to 21% for Gornik Zabrze.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Fenerbahçe win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
The second qualifying round clash between Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze promises a closely fought encounter, with the home side expected to leverage their attacking strengths and defensive solidity to claim a narrow victory.
Match factors
Fenerbahçe's attacking trio in form
Talisca and Greenwood lead scoring and assists, supported by Aktürkoğlu's creativity, giving home side a strong offensive edge
Defensive solidity led by Škriniar
Škriniar's high defensive ratings and leadership underpin Fenerbahçe's low goals conceded average at home
Talisca's consistent scoring streak
Talisca has scored in multiple recent matches, including the last home fixture vs Gornik Zabrze
Asensio's doubtful status limits midfield creativity
If Asensio is unfit, Fenerbahçe may lack his assist potential, capping creative options
Gornik Zabrze's limited attacking threats
Only Sáček has scored for Gornik, indicating limited offensive options against Fenerbahçe's defense
The context
Fenerbahçe enter this fixture with a strong record in this competition, having played seven matches with four wins and three draws, scoring nine goals and conceding four. Gornik Zabrze, on the other hand, have struggled to find form, with no wins in two matches, one draw, and one loss, scoring just once and conceding twice. The sides have met once before, with Fenerbahçe coming out on top.
Key insights
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
Talisca leads the scoring with 4 goals in 6 games and scored the decisive goal in this fixture, making him a key offensive threat.
UEFA Champions League 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
Greenwood contributes both goals and assists, providing creative support with 2 goals and 2 assists this season.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances, 0.29 goals and assists/game
- M
Milan Škriniar
Fenerbahçe
Škriniar’s defensive leadership and high ratings underpin Fenerbahçe’s solid defensive record in this competition.
UEFA Champions League 26/27Key defensive leader with excellent tackling and passing stats
M. Sáček
Gornik Zabrze
Sáček is Gornik Zabrze’s top scorer despite being a defender, highlighting limited attacking options for the away side.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Analysis
Fenerbahçe's attacking trio, led by Talisca and Greenwood, have been in good form, combining goals and assists effectively. Talisca, in particular, has been a consistent scorer, netting four goals in six appearances this season and scoring in the previous meeting against Gornik Zabrze. Defensively, the presence of Milan Škriniar provides leadership and stability, helping keep the opposition at bay. Gornik Zabrze's offensive threat is limited, with only M. Sáček contributing a goal so far, making it challenging for them to break down Fenerbahçe's defence. The predicted total of four cards suggests a competitive but disciplined match.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe have played 7 matches in this competition with 4 wins and 3 draws, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4.
- 2.Gornik Zabrze have played 2 matches with no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 1 and conceding 2 goals.
- 3.Fenerbahçe won the only previous head-to-head meeting against Gornik Zabrze.
- 4.Talisca scored the only goal in this fixture, continuing his strong scoring form.
- 5.Milan Škriniar provides defensive leadership for Fenerbahçe.
- 6.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
- 7.Halftime and fulltime scores are both predicted as 1-0 in favour of Fenerbahçe.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-0 win for Fenerbahçe, with the halftime score also expected to be 1-0. This aligns with the highest probability outcome and reflects the home side's ability to secure a lead and maintain it through disciplined defending. Talisca is likely to be the decisive player, continuing his scoring streak.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fenerbahçe
Away — Gornik Zabrze
The verdict
In summary, Fenerbahçe's blend of attacking prowess and defensive organisation should see them through to a narrow victory over Gornik Zabrze. While the match may be tight, the home side's quality and recent form give them the edge in this second qualifying round fixture.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Talisca
Aké
Aktürkoğlu
Elmaz
UrbaÅski
Ikia Dimi
Dietz
Kahveci
Talisca
Khlan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Fenerbahçe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 7FredM
- 9K. AktürkoğluM
- 15N. AkéD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 24J. OosterwoldeD
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 28B. ElmazM
- 34M. GünokG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 94TaliscaF
Substitutes
- 3A. BrownD
- 4Ç. SöyüncüD
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 10Marco AsensioM
- 11M. GreenwoodF
- 13T. ÇetinG
- 18M. MüldürD
- 20A. MusabaF
- 22L. MercanD
- 26S. CherifF
- 31EdersonG
- 70O. AydınF
Gornik Zabrze
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1P. SchulzeG
- 7Y. Ikia DimiF
- 11E. PrekopF
- 18L. SadílekM
- 20Josema SánchezD
- 26R. JanickiD
- 33M. KhlanF
- 61M. SáčekD
- 64E. JanžaD
- 66M. DietzM
- 82K. UrbaÅskiM
Substitutes
- 2P. Warczak
- 4P. BochniewiczD
- 19PeterM
- 21O. ZmrzlýD
- 23S. LisethF
- 28B. DonioM
- 29W. KaniaG
- 34B. DurdovF
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nélson Semedo | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fred | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Nathan Aké | D | 45 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | 69 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Talisca | F | 87 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mert Günok | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Anthony Musaba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Brown | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ederson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Çağlar Söyüncü | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarık Çetin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Oğuz Aydın | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Marco Asensio | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mason Greenwood | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sidiki Cherif | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gornik Zabrze
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Janicki | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Prekop | F | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Philipp Schulze | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kacper Urbański | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michal Sáček | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Josema | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maksym Khlan | F | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Yvan Ikia Dimi | F | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Erik Janža(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Maximilian Dietz | M | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Sadílek | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bruno Durdov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wiktor Kania | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paweł Bochniewicz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter González | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patryk Warczak | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ondřej Zmrzlý | D | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sondre Liseth | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bastien Donio | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against Gornik Zabrze.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik Zabrze.
- What were the win probabilities for Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?
- Fipster's model gave Fenerbahçe a 53% chance of winning, Gornik Zabrze a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.