Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş snatch victory at Fenerbahçe
Vlahović's second-half strike seals a narrow win away from home
Fenerbahçe took an early lead through M. Škriniar's 26th-minute goal, but Beşiktaş responded before the break with R. Yılmaz leveling the score. The decisive moment came after the break when D. Vlahović put Beşiktaş ahead at 73 minutes, securing a 2-1 win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 3-2 home win, marking a notable upset in the Süper Lig clash.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with a tantalising clash between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş, two sides eager to set the tone early. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, aiming to hit the ground running in what promises to be a competitive campaign.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe finished 2nd in the league last season with 74 points from 34 games.
- 2.Beşiktaş ended last season in 4th place with 60 points from 34 games.
- 3.Fenerbahçe have a superior goal difference of +21 compared to Beşiktaş.
- 4.Fenerbahçe signed V. Muriqi and M. Greenwood during the summer transfer window.
- 5.Beşiktaş strengthened their squad with L. Trossard, A. Nübel, and D. Vlahović.
- 6.Beşiktaş lost E. Destanoğlu and T. Abraham in the off-season.
- 7.The predicted full-time score is 3-2 in favour of Fenerbahçe.
- 8.The match is expected to be high-scoring and closely contested.
The context
Fenerbahçe have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of V. Muriqi and M. Greenwood, adding firepower and versatility to their attack. Meanwhile, they have parted ways with Fred, reshaping their midfield options. Beşiktaş have also been active, signing L. Trossard, A. Nübel, and free agent D. Vlahović, while losing E. Destanoğlu and T. Abraham. These changes set the stage for a fascinating tactical battle as both teams look to integrate their new signings and find early momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fenerbahçe
Away — Beşiktaş
Analysis
Statistically, Fenerbahçe hold a slight edge with a better goal difference and a higher league ranking from last season, suggesting a marginal advantage. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring encounter, with a 3-2 scoreline favouring the home side. This indicates an open game where both defences might be tested, and attacking prowess will be key. The close probabilities for other outcomes reflect the competitive nature of this fixture, hinting at a match that could swing either way but ultimately tilts towards Fenerbahçe's favour.
Prediction
Expect Fenerbahçe to clinch a narrow 3-2 victory in this season opener. The home side's attacking reinforcements and slightly superior previous campaign form should help them edge out Beşiktaş in a thrilling encounter. Fans can look forward to a match filled with goals and end-to-end action.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture promises excitement and drama. Both teams have the quality to score and entertain, but Fenerbahçe's home advantage and summer signings might just give them the winning edge. A 3-2 scoreline suggests a game that will keep supporters on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Škriniar
Yılmaz
Assist: Trossard
Greenwood
Yellow Card
Kahveci
Yılmaz
Topçu
Yellow Card
Škriniar
Yellow Card
Ederson
Yellow Card
Vlahović
Yellow Card
Černý
Yellow Card
Černý
Aydın
Muriqi
Vlahović
Assist: Kökçü
Guendouzi
Yellow Card
Olaitan
Topçu
Guendouzi
Vlahović
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. BrownD
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 11M. GreenwoodM
- 15N. AkéD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 31EdersonG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 70O. AydınM
- 91N. KantéM
Substitutes
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 7K. AktürkoğluF
- 9R. LukakuF
- 14Y. DemirD
- 18M. MüldürD
- 21K. Peprah OppongD
- 22L. MercanD
- 28B. ElmazM
- 34M. GünokG
- 45N. DorgelesF
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. NübelG
- 6S. ÖzcanM
- 10O. KökçüM
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 18V. ČernýM
- 19L. TrossardM
- 28D. VlahovićF
- 33R. YılmazD
- 53E. TopçuD
- 62A. MurilloD
Substitutes
- 4W. NdidiM
- 8K. YılmazM
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 17E. PokuF
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 29I. FakiliF
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 80D. AlemdarG
- 90S. KılıçsoyF
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Škriniar | D | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ederson | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Kanté | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Aké | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Brown | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Guendouzi | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Dorgeles | F | 22 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Lukaku | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Muriqi | F | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 6 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Aydın | M | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Greenwood | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/3 |
| L. Mercan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Elmaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Demir | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Peprah Oppong | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Müldür | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Günok | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Beşiktaş
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Kökçü | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| L. Trossard | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| D. Vlahović | F | 85 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| R. Yılmaz | D | 46 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| E. Agbadou | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Topçu | D | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Fakili | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tiago Djaló | D | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| W. Ndidi | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Özcan | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Ouattara | D | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Nübel | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Černý | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Murillo | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Alemdar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Yılmaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylan Bulut | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kılıçsoy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Poku | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against Beşiktaş.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fenerbahçe 3–2 Beşiktaş.
- What were the win probabilities for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster's model gave Fenerbahçe a 35% chance of winning, Beşiktaş a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.







