Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma
Roma snatch draw in Istanbul
Cristante and Brown trade blows in a tight Champions League clash.
AS Roma took the lead through B. Cristante just before half-time, only for Fenerbahçe's A. Brown to level shortly after the break, resulting in a 1-1 draw. The match ended evenly poised, defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win for Fenerbahçe.
Outcome probability
Fenerbahçe face AS Roma in a Group Stage encounter where every point counts. Both teams will be eager to assert themselves early in the competition, but the home side's recent form and attacking prowess give them a slight edge.
Match factors
Talisca's Consistent Scoring Form
Talisca has scored 4 goals in 6 games with a strong recent run, boosting Fenerbahçe's attack confidence
Fenerbahçe's Home Scoring Strength
Fenerbahçe averages 1.3 goals per home game, above league average, aiding their predicted home win
Aktürkoğlu's Playmaking Role
Aktürkoğlu's 2 assists in 5 games and set-piece duties create key chances for top scorers
Greenwood's Home Impact
Greenwood scores and assists more effectively at home, aligning with Fenerbahçe's predicted 1-0 win
Full Squad Availability Boosts Fenerbahçe
No confirmed injuries or doubts mean Fenerbahçe can field their strongest attacking lineup
The context
In this Group Stage of the competition, Fenerbahçe have demonstrated solid form with 4 wins and 2 draws from 6 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 3. AS Roma, known as I Giallorossi, will be looking to disrupt that rhythm, but the visitors' recent performances in this competition have been less convincing.
Key insights
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
Talisca’s consistent scoring with 4 goals in 6 games boosts Fenerbahçe’s attacking confidence.
UEFA Champions League 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
K. Aktürkoğlu
Fenerbahçe
Aktürkoğlu’s 2 assists in 5 games and set-piece duties create key chances for top scorers.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 assists in 5 appearances, 0.4 assists/game
M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
Greenwood’s recent home scoring form with 2 goals in last 2 home games aligns with the predicted 1-0 win.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in 6 appearances, 0.33 goals/game
Analysis
Fenerbahçe's home scoring average of 1.3 goals per game is a key factor in their predicted success. Their top scorer, Talisca, has been in fine form with 4 goals in 6 appearances, while winger K. Aktürkoğlu's creativity and 2 assists in 5 games provide a steady supply of chances. M. Greenwood also adds to the threat with his recent home scoring form. Defensively, Fenerbahçe have been sturdy, conceding just 3 goals in 6 matches, which bodes well for a clean sheet. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects a tightly contested match where Fenerbahçe's attacking edge and home advantage should be enough to see them through.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe have won 4 and drawn 2 of their 6 matches in this competition so far.
- 2.Fenerbahçe average 1.3 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 3.Talisca is Fenerbahçe's top scorer with 4 goals in 6 appearances.
- 4.K. Aktürkoğlu leads the team with 2 assists in 5 games, showing strong creativity.
- 5.M. Greenwood has scored 2 goals in his last 2 home games, boosting the attack.
- 6.Fenerbahçe have conceded only 3 goals in 6 matches, indicating defensive solidity.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, suggesting a moderately physical game.
Prediction
We expect Fenerbahçe to take an early lead and hold on to it, with a halftime score of 1-0 and a fulltime result mirroring that. The match is likely to be competitive, with around four cards expected, but the home side's consistency and attacking threats should secure the win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fenerbahçe
Away — AS Roma
No standout top scorers flagged for AS Roma
The verdict
Fenerbahçe's blend of solid defence and effective attack, led by Talisca and supported by Aktürkoğlu and Greenwood, makes them favourites to claim a narrow victory over AS Roma. Expect a disciplined performance that edges out the visitors in a closely fought Group Stage battle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
AS Roma has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cristante
Assist: Malen
Rensch
Yellow Card
Brown
Assist: Greenwood
Brown
Yellow Card
Koné
Elmaz
Aktürkoğlu
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Müldür
Yellow Card
Muriqi
Aktürkoğlu
Rensch
Mancini
Soulé
Yüksek
Yellow Card
Cristante
Yellow Card
Malen
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Fenerbahçe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 |  Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 |  AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 |  Slovan Bratislava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3A. BrownD
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 7K. AktürkoğluF
- 11M. GreenwoodF
- 15N. AkéD
- 18M. MüldürD
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 28B. ElmazM
- 31EdersonG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 91N. KantéM
Substitutes
- 9R. LukakuF
- 13T. ÇetinG
- 14Y. DemirD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 21K. Peprah OppongD
- 22L. MercanD
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 34M. GünokG
- 45N. DorgelesF
- 70O. AydınF
- 77O. MimoviÄD
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2D. RenschM
- 4B. CristanteM
- 5E. NdickaD
- 14D. MalenF
- 17M. KonéM
- 18M. SouléM
- 21P. DybalaM
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 43WesleyM
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 3K. KoulierakisD
- 9S. CastroF
- 15M. de RoonM
- 20N. MolinaD
- 26L. BalerdiD
- 61N. PisilliM
- 70G. De MarziG
- 77E. LulliD
- 86Rodrigo MoraM
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 95P. GolliniG
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| N. Aké | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Brown | D | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| M. Škriniar | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lukaku | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Müldür | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Aydın | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Muriqi | F | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| L. Mercan | D | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ederson | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Kanté | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/5 |
| B. Elmaz | M | 62 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Günok | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Çetin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. MimoviÄ | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Demir | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Peprah Oppong | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Cristante | M | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Svilar | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Koné | M | 53 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Malen | F | 87 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| E. Ndicka | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pisilli | M | 37 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Dybala | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Soulé | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. de Roon | M | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Balerdi | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| D. Rensch | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wesley | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 16 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| E. Lulli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. De Marzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ghilardi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Gollini | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against AS Roma.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fenerbahçe 1–0 AS Roma.
- What were the win probabilities for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?
- Fipster's model gave Fenerbahçe a 53% chance of winning, AS Roma a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.