Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor
Fenerbahçe cruise to comfortable win
Lukaku and company put Alanyaspor to the sword with a commanding 3-0 victory.
Fenerbahçe secured a solid 3-0 victory over Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig, with goals from R. Lukaku, K. Aktürkoğlu, and V. Muriqi sealing the deal. Despite an early missed penalty by M. Greenwood, the home side dominated the match and comfortably saw off their opponents. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more convincing than forecast.
Outcome probability
Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor face off in the Turkish Süper Lig's eighth round, with the hosts looking to extend their impressive start to the season. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but the home side's attacking firepower and league standing suggest they will have the upper hand.
Match factors
Fenerbahçe's potent home attack led by Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi's strong home scoring form and team's high average home goals (4.33) create a tactical edge
İrfan Kahveci's creative influence
Kahveci leads assists with 3 this season, boosting Fenerbahçe's attacking threat
Alanyaspor's away scoring streak
Alanyaspor has scored in last 4 away games, showing resilience despite predicted loss
Fenerbahçe missing key defenders Müldür and Oosterwolde
Absence of two defenders may affect defensive solidity but attack remains strong
Defensive solidity from Alanyaspor's Akdağ and Lima
Strong defensive stats and duel success rates provide resistance against Fenerbahçe's attack
The context
Fenerbahçe currently sit third in the league with six points from three games, while Alanyaspor are tenth with four points. Historically, Fenerbahçe have dominated this fixture, winning 12 of their 20 encounters. Matches between these sides tend to be lively affairs, averaging over three goals per game.
Key insights
Vedat Muriqi
Fenerbahçe
Vedat Muriqi’s strong home scoring form, with 4 goals in the last 2 home matches, gives Fenerbahçe a clear attacking edge.
Süper Lig 26/276 goals in 5 appearances, 4 goals in last 2 home games
İrfan Kahveci
Fenerbahçe
İrfan Kahveci’s creativity, leading the team with 3 assists this season, boosts Fenerbahçe’s attacking threat significantly.
Süper Lig 26/273 assists in 5 appearances, 0.6 avg per game
Gaïus Makouta
Alanyaspor
Gaïus Makouta is Alanyaspor’s leading scorer with 2 goals, providing some hope for the visitors’ attack.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 6 appearances, 0.33 avg per game
Analysis
Fenerbahçe's attack, spearheaded by Vedat Muriqi, has been particularly potent at home, with Muriqi netting four goals in his last two home matches. İrfan Kahveci's creativity, leading the team with three assists, adds another dimension to their forward play. Alanyaspor, despite their lower league position, have shown resilience on the road, scoring in their last four away games. Their defensive duo, Ümit Akdağ and Nuno Lima, will be key to containing Fenerbahçe's threat, but the absence of two Fenerbahçe defenders might slightly temper the hosts' defensive solidity.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe have won 12 of 20 head-to-head matches against Alanyaspor.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 total goals.
- 3.Fenerbahçe are ranked 3rd in their league with 6 points from 3 games.
- 4.Alanyaspor are ranked 10th in their league with 4 points from 3 games.
- 5.Vedat Muriqi has scored 6 goals this season, including 4 in the last 2 home games.
- 6.İrfan Kahveci leads Fenerbahçe with 3 assists this season.
- 7.Alanyaspor have scored in their last 4 away games.
- 8.Fenerbahçe are missing key defenders Müldür and Oosterwolde.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for Fenerbahçe, with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime scoreline of 3-1. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by the hosts, who should capitalize on their attacking strengths to secure the three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fenerbahçe
Away — Alanyaspor
The verdict
In summary, Fenerbahçe's superior league position, historical edge, and attacking form make them favourites to win this encounter. Alanyaspor's recent away goalscoring streak suggests they won't go quietly, but the hosts' firepower should prove decisive.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 17:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Greenwood
Missed Penalty · Assist: Greenwood
Goal Disallowed - video review
Lukaku
Assist: Mercan
Goal Disallowed - Foul
Hwang Ui-Jo
Kaya
Greenwood
Aktürkoğlu
Aydın
Yellow Card
Ruan
Usluoğlu
Mercan
Kahveci
Lukaku
Aydın
Muriqi
Assist: Aktürkoğlu
Gezek
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 9R. LukakuF
- 11M. GreenwoodM
- 15N. AkéD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 22L. MercanD
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 31EdersonG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 70O. AydınM
- 91N. KantéM
Substitutes
- 3A. BrownD
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 7K. AktürkoğluF
- 8M. YandaşM
- 14Y. DemirD
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 21K. Peprah OppongD
- 28B. ElmazM
- 34M. GünokG
- 45N. DorgelesF
Alanyaspor
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Nuno LimaD
- 5F. AlitiD
- 7İ. KayaF
- 11RuanM
- 16Hwang Ui-JoF
- 17A. UsluoğluF
- 20F. AksoyD
- 42G. MakoutaM
- 48Paulo VictorG
- 55B. GezekM
- 94F. HadërgjonajM
Substitutes
- 4B. ÖzyurtD
- 8E. KeskinM
- 9O. Ben AliF
- 10I. HagiM
- 12M. EliaF
- 14E. DemirM
- 23M. BayramG
- 26İ. ÇelikM
- 58MaestroM
- 88Y. ÖzdemirM
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nélson Semedo | D | 91 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Ederson | G | 91 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 91 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | 77 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mason Greenwood | M | 67 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Nathan Aké | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Milan Škriniar(C) | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 81 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Oğuz Aydın | M | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yiğit Efe Demir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Günok | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | F | 24 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 10 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Brown | D | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mert Hakan Yandaş | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dorgeles Nene | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
Alanyaspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baran Ali Gezek | M | 91 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Gaius Makouta | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Florent Hadergjonaj | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Nuno Lima | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | G | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Kaya | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hwang Ui-Jo | F | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fidan Aliti | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Arda Usluoğlu | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ruan Pereira Duarte | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fatih Aksoy(C) | D | 91 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mert Furkan Bayram | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Özdemir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bedirhan Özyurt | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İzzet Çelik | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maestro | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emre Demir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ianis Hagi | M | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Meschak Elia | F | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Omar Ben Ali | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Keskin | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against Alanyaspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fenerbahçe 3–1 Alanyaspor.
- What were the win probabilities for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
- Fipster's model gave Fenerbahçe a 95% chance of winning, Alanyaspor a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.