FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split sneak narrow win at Thun
Dali's early strike secures a slender away victory in Switzerland.
HNK Hajduk Split edged out FC Thun 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League thanks to an early goal from Dali in the 17th minute. Despite a missed penalty by M. Šego in the second half, Hajduk held firm to claim the narrow win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 3-2 home win for Thun, proving the visitors' defence tougher than expected.
Outcome probability
The upcoming group stage clash between FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split promises an exciting contest. Both teams have shown attacking intent, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
M. Šego's Scoring Streak Fuels Hajduk Attack
M. Šego has scored 4 goals in his last 3 games, including 3 away goals, showing strong recent form.
Defensive Solidity Anchored by R. Raci
R. Raci's duel win rate of 88.9% far exceeds league average of 59.1%, bolstering Hajduk's defense.
Hajduk's Midfield Creativity vs FC Thun's Unknown Attack
Hajduk's midfielders like Pukštas and Šego show strong scoring and passing stats, likely to exploit Thun's less defined attack.
No Confirmed Injuries for Either Side
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads expected, maintaining tactical balance.
The context
HNK Hajduk Split have played four matches in this competition so far, remaining unbeaten with two wins and two draws, scoring 13 goals and conceding 6. FC Thun's recent form in the competition is less documented, adding an element of unpredictability to this fixture.
Key insights
M. Šego
HNK Hajduk Split
M. Šego has been in prolific form, scoring 4 goals in his last 3 games, including 3 away goals, making him a key attacking threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/274 goals in last 3 games, 90 mins total, 1.33 goals/game last 5
- R
R. Raci
HNK Hajduk Split
R. Raci's duel win rate of 88.9% far exceeds the league average of 59.1%, providing Hajduk with defensive solidity.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27High duel win rate (88.9%) well above league average (59.1%)
R. Pukštas
HNK Hajduk Split
R. Pukštas contributes both offensively and in build-up play, with above-average goal and passing stats.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/270.33 goals/game, 12.3 passes/game with 59% accuracy
Analysis
Hajduk Split boast a potent midfield with M. Šego in fine scoring form, netting four goals in his last three games, including three away strikes. Their defensive solidity is anchored by R. Raci, whose duel win rate of 88.9% is well above the league average. However, FC Thun's home advantage and attacking capabilities could challenge Hajduk's defence, making this a tantalising tactical battle.
Key facts
- 1.HNK Hajduk Split are unbeaten in four matches in this competition (W2 D2 L0).
- 2.Hajduk have scored 13 goals and conceded 6 in the competition so far.
- 3.M. Šego has scored 4 goals in his last 3 games, including 3 away goals.
- 4.R. Raci boasts a duel win rate of 88.9%, well above the league average of 59.1%.
- 5.FC Thun's home advantage is a key factor in the predicted outcome.
- 6.No confirmed injuries for either side, so full squads expected.
- 7.The most probable full-time scoreline is 3-2 in favour of FC Thun.
- 8.The match is part of the group stage of the competition.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for FC Thun with a 3-2 scoreline. While Hajduk Split's midfield creativity and scoring threat are significant, FC Thun are expected to edge this encounter in a closely fought match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Thun
No standout top scorers flagged for FC Thun
Away — HNK Hajduk Split
The verdict
In summary, expect an entertaining match with both sides finding the net, but FC Thun's home performance should see them clinch a narrow victory. Fans can look forward to a game full of attacking flair and competitive spirit.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
FC Thun has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dali
del Moral
Yellow Card
Roth
Yellow Card
Marešić
Yellow Card
Šego
Missed Penalty · Assist: Šego
Dursun
Šotiček
Maier
Reichmuth
Yellow Card
Labeau
Roth
del Moral
Šego
Reichmuth
Sanyang
Fayad
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |  Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
FC Thun
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1N. SteffenG
- 2O. MambwaD
- 9F. DursunF
- 14M. KäitM
- 16J. RothM
- 19J. BamertD
- 23M. BürkiD
- 30N. MaierM
- 47F. FehrD
- 70N. ReichmuthM
- 96B. LabeauF
Substitutes
- 5N. BürgyD
- 13N. ZoukitM
- 18T. StrannegårdM
- 20R. BraschiF
- 21D. DerbaciM
- 22D. WältiG
- 25T. SpycherG
- 26N. ChristofferssonF
- 37L. DählerD
- 52Adam IlicM
- 54L. PassavantD
- 80S. LengenF
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6D. HadžikadunićD
- 7A. SanyangM
- 8K. FayadM
- 9DaliM
- 11M. ŠegoF
- 15D. MarešićD
- 20Alberto del MoralM
- 22M. AcapandiéD
- 23M. ŠotičekM
- 32Š. HrgovićD
- 33T. SilićG
Substitutes
- 3Roko GabrićD
- 5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
- 10M. LivajaF
- 14R. RaciD
- 16A. SutaloM
- 17D. MelnjakD
- 18L. DendonckerM
- 19E. BrrutiM
- 26A. GuramM
- 44D. StipicaG
- 77Carlos MartínF
- 99D. FesyukG
FC Thun
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Reichmuth | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/7 |
| Niklas Steffen | G | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Roth | M | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Jan Bamert | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Maier | M | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brighton Labeau | F | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Fabio Fehr | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marco Bürki(C) | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Furkan Dursun | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Mattias Käit | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Olivier Mambwa | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Simon Lengen | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucien Dähler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Spycher | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Strannegård | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Bürgy | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Passavant | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Ilic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Walti | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Braschi | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dorian Derbaci | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Nassim Zoukit | M | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Christoffersson | F | 19 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
HNK Hajduk Split
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Silić | G | 89 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dennis Hadžikadunić | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | M | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Alberto del Moral | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Khalil Fayad | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Dalisson de Almeida | M | 89 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Mathieu Acapandié | D | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Michele Šego(C) | F | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Marin Šotiček | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Dario Marešić | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Carlos Martín | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davyd Fesyuk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ron Raçi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anđelo Šutalo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roko Gabrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Huram | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dante Stipica | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Etnik Brruti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marko Livaja | F | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Leander Dendoncker | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Thun to win against HNK Hajduk Split.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Thun 3–2 HNK Hajduk Split.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- Fipster's model gave FC Thun a 35% chance of winning, HNK Hajduk Split a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.