FC Porto vs Benfica
Porto storms past Benfica in commanding win
Gabri Veiga and Hwang In-Beom lead Porto to a convincing 3-1 victory.
FC Porto overturned expectations with a strong 3-1 win over Benfica in the Primeira Liga. Gabri Veiga opened the scoring before the break, and after the interval, Victor Mow Froholdt and Hwang In-Beom extended Porto's lead, despite a brief response from A. Bah for Benfica. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win for Benfica, showcasing Porto's dominance on home turf.
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between FC Porto and Benfica promises to be a thrilling encounter as two of the league's top teams face off. Both sides have shown impressive form, making this a must-watch fixture for fans of competitive football.
Match factors
Benfica's superior scoring form
Benfica averages 3.6 goals per game vs Porto's 2.2, indicating stronger attack
Gabri Veiga's dual threat
Veiga has 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, showing consistent scoring and playmaking
Pavlidis' away scoring prowess
Pavlidis scored 4 goals in 3 away games, exploiting Porto's defense
Porto's attacking depth
Multiple Porto attackers have 3 goals each, providing varied scoring threats
Benfica's clean sheet record away
Benfica kept clean sheets in all 3 recent away games, showing defensive solidity
The context
Currently, FC Porto sit at the summit of the league with a perfect record of six wins from six games, while Benfica trail closely in second place with five wins and a single draw. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Porto having won 10 of their 20 meetings, Benfica six, and four draws. Matches between these two typically produce goals, averaging 2.7 per game.
Key insights
Gabri Veiga
Benfica
Veiga is a dual threat with 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, making him a key playmaker and scorer for Benfica.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 6 appearances
V. Pavlidis
FC Porto
Pavlidis has been clinical away from home, scoring 4 of his 6 goals in just 3 away games, posing a real threat to Benfica's defence.
Primeira Liga 26/276 goals in 5 appearances, with 4 goals in 3 away games
Analysis
Benfica's recent away performances have been particularly solid, boasting clean sheets in their last three away matches. Their attacking prowess is notable, averaging 3.6 goals per game compared to Porto's 2.2. Key players like Gabri Veiga have been instrumental, contributing both goals and assists consistently. Meanwhile, Porto's attacking depth, including the likes of V. Pavlidis who has a strong away scoring record, ensures they remain a threat. The statistical edge slightly favours Benfica, but the match is expected to be closely contested.
Key facts
- 1.FC Porto have won 10 of 20 matches against Benfica, with 6 Benfica wins and 4 draws.
- 2.FC Porto are 1st in the league with 18 points from 6 games (W6 D0 L0).
- 3.Benfica are 2nd in the league with 16 points from 6 games (W5 D1 L0).
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals per game.
- 5.Benfica have kept clean sheets in their last 3 away games.
- 6.Benfica average 3.6 goals per game compared to Porto's 2.2.
- 7.Gabri Veiga has 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games this season.
- 8.V. Pavlidis has scored 4 goals in 3 away games this season.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Benfica with a 2-1 scoreline. While the probabilities are close, Benfica's superior scoring form and defensive solidity on the road give them the slight edge. Expect a tight game with moments of quality from key players deciding the outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Porto
Away — Benfica
The verdict
In summary, this fixture is set to be a classic battle between two top contenders. Benfica's ability to perform away from home and their attacking efficiency should see them narrowly overcome FC Porto. Fans can look forward to an entertaining match with a few goals and plenty of drama.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gabri Veiga
Yellow Card
Lenglet
Yellow Card
Gabri Veiga
Assist: Pepê Aquino
Prestianni
Yellow Card
Lenglet
Red Card
Gabri Veiga
Sudakov
Bah
Assist: Prestianni
Mow Froholdt
Assist: André Silva
Hwang In-Beom
Assist: André Silva
William
Fernandes
Prestianni
Aursnes
Rafa
Hwang In-Beom
Yellow Card
Dahl
André Silva
Pepê Aquino
Pietuszewski
Yellow Card
Bah
Yellow Card
Araújo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
Match Statistics
FC Porto
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 7WilliamF
- 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
- 10Gabri VeigaM
- 11Pepê AquinoF
- 13P. RosarioM
- 19André SilvaF
- 20Alberto BaioD
- 52Martim FernandesD
- 99Diogo CostaG
Substitutes
- 9SamuF
- 14Cláudio RamosG
- 16Hwang In-BeomM
- 17Borja SainzF
- 21D. PrpićD
- 22A. VarelaM
- 29S. GiménezF
- 33SouzaD
- 37Gabriel MecF
- 64Luís GomesD
- 74Francisco MouraD
- 77O. PietuszewskiF
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2C. LengletD
- 6A. BahD
- 8F. AursnesM
- 10H. SudakovM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 26S. DahlD
- 27RafaM
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 44Tomás AraújoD
Substitutes
- 1A. TrubinG
- 3A. CircatiD
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 13J. KamińskiF
- 16ManuM
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 21A. SchjelderupF
- 22J. DuránF
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 58Daniel BanjaquiD
- 72A. CabralF
FC Porto
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Silva | F | 85 | 8.1 | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 52 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 85 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 38 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Moura | D | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Pietuszewski | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Martim Fernandes | D | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Samu | F | 5 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William | F | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Luís Gomes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Ramos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Giménez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Varela | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Prpić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bah | D | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Samuel Soares | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 16 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Circati | D | 52 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Prestianni | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Rafa | M | 74 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| S. El Karouani | D | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 16 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 38 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| C. Lenglet | D | 35 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Trubin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Banjaqui | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Echeverri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kamiński | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Durán | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Porto vs Benfica?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against FC Porto.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Porto vs Benfica?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Porto 1–2 Benfica.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Porto vs Benfica?
- Fipster's model gave FC Porto a 30% chance of winning, Benfica a 39% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 39% confidence — a low-confidence call.