FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia
Nordsjaelland and CSKA share spoils in thriller
Ibrahim Adel's brace nearly secured victory but S. Godoy's late strike rescued CSKA Sofia.
FC Nordsjaelland looked set for a comfortable win after Ibrahim Adel scored twice after the break, putting the home side 2-1 up. However, S. Godoy's early opener for CSKA Sofia and his late equaliser ensured the visitors snatched a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-0 home win, turning what looked like a straightforward victory into a hard-fought share of the spoils.
Outcome probability
FC Nordsjaelland face CSKA Sofia in a Group Stage clash where the home side's recent performances suggest a dominant display is on the cards.
Match factors
Midfield dominance with Røjkjær and Berthelsen
N. Røjkjær and V. Berthelsen combine scoring and assisting well above league averages, controlling attacking midfield roles
Strong home scoring form for FC Nordsjaelland
Team averages 4 goals per home game with 80% clean sheets, indicating offensive and defensive balance
Consistent scoring streak at home
FC Nordsjaelland has scored in last 3 home matches, showing positive momentum for multiple goal scorers
Full squad availability boosts attacking options
No confirmed injuries or doubtful players, ensuring all top scorers and assisters are available
The context
In this competition, FC Nordsjaelland have played six matches, winning five and losing just one, scoring 17 goals and conceding only three. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity have been key to their success so far. CSKA Sofia, meanwhile, will be looking to disrupt this rhythm but face a tough challenge against a well-balanced opponent.
Key insights
N. Røjkjær
FC Nordsjaelland
Leads team scoring with 3 goals and contributes 2 assists, showing strong creative and finishing ability.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 6 apps
V. Berthelsen
FC Nordsjaelland
Top assister with 2 assists and also scored 2 goals, providing key creativity and goal threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 assists and 2 goals in 5 apps
R. Norheim
FC Nordsjaelland
Consistent home scorer with 2 goals and strong defensive contributions, playing key minutes.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 5 apps, 85.6 avg minutes per game
Analysis
Nordsjaelland's midfield duo of N. Røjkjær and V. Berthelsen have been instrumental, combining goal-scoring and creative assists well above league averages. The team averages four goals per home game with an 80% clean sheet rate, highlighting their balance between attack and defence. Their consistent scoring streak at home, with goals in the last three matches, adds to their momentum. With a full squad available, their attacking options remain potent, making a clean sheet and multiple goals highly likely.
Key facts
- 1.FC Nordsjaelland have won 5 of 6 matches in this competition, scoring 17 goals and conceding 3.
- 2.Nordsjaelland average 4 goals per home game with an 80% clean sheet rate.
- 3.N. Røjkjær leads Nordsjaelland with 3 goals and 2 assists this season.
- 4.V. Berthelsen is the top assister with 2 assists and has scored 2 goals.
- 5.Nordsjaelland have scored in their last 3 home matches, showing strong momentum.
- 6.Full squad availability ensures all key attackers and creators are fit to play.
- 7.Halftime score of 1-0 is the most probable scenario, leading to a 3-0 fulltime result.
- 8.The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a moderately physical match.
Prediction
Expect FC Nordsjaelland to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 1-0 halftime score. Their dominance should continue into the second half, culminating in a 3-0 victory. Key players like N. Røjkjær, R. Norheim, and P. Amoako are poised to contribute goals, supported by creative assists from V. Berthelsen and Røjkjær himself.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Nordsjaelland
Away — CSKA Sofia
No standout top scorers flagged for CSKA Sofia
The verdict
All signs point to a comfortable home win for FC Nordsjaelland. Their form, player contributions, and tactical edge suggest CSKA Sofia will struggle to find a foothold, making this a match to watch for a confident and clinical performance.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Godoy
Assist: Sensi
Almeida
Yellow Card
Nelsson
Acquah
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Ibrahim Adel
Assist: Markmann
Janssen
Yellow Card
Røjkjær
Berthelsen
Panayotov
Ibrahim Adel
Assist: Lind
Janssen
Yellow Card
Janssen
Red Card
Ebong
Almeida
Ibrahim Adel
Lähteenmäki
Ivanov
Yellow Card
Pastor
Godoy
Markmann
Yellow Card
Bruno Jordão
Yellow Card
Solet Bomawoko
Yellow Card
Hansen
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 22 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Match Statistics
FC Nordsjaelland
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 5J. LähteenmäkiM
- 8N. RøjkjærM
- 11A. LindF
- 13A. HansenG
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 15S. AcquahD
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 23R. NorheimM
- 25V. NelssonD
- 29V. BerthelsenF
Substitutes
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 3T. SalquistD
- 6M. BrinkM
- 9O. SolbakkenF
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 16J. BuskG
- 21M. HeydeM
- 22C. ErikssonG
- 28M. WalkerD
- 35V. RutkjaerD
- 37Lamine SadioM
- 40H. Boe RasmussenM
CSKA Sofia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2PastorD
- 4Dinis AlmeidaD
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 7M. EbongM
- 8S. SensiM
- 9S. GodoyF
- 17Á. MartinoD
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 28I. PittasF
- 30P. PanayotovF
- 32Facundo Santiago RodríguezD
Substitutes
- 14T. IvanovD
- 19A. YordanovD
- 25D. EvtimovG
- 31D. NikolovG
- 34V. KaymakanovF
- 67C. ItuM
- 91A. TunchevD
- 94I. Solet BomawokoM
- 99J. Eto'oM
FC Nordsjaelland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 81 | 10.0 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 7/8 |
| Andreas Hansen | G | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Lind | F | 84 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Justin Janssen(C) | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Runar Robinsonn Norheim | M | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nicklas Røjkjær | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Markmann | D | 84 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Stephen Acquah | D | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Villum Berthelsen | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 30 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Peter Ankersen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Brink | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jakob Busk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ola Solbakken | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carljohan Eriksson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Walker | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Prince Amoako Junior | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Villads Rutkjær | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Sadio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malte Heyde | M | 22 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Tobias Salquist | D | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hjalte Boe Rasmussen | M | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
CSKA Sofia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Godoy | F | 84 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Fedor Lapoukhov | G | 84 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sensi | M | 84 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Jordão(C) | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Facundo Rodríguez | D | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ángelo Martino | D | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Dinis Almeida | D | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Max Ebong | M | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ioannis Pittas | F | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Petko Panayotov | F | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pastor | D | 84 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Andrey Yordanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitar Evtimov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Solet | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| James Eto'o | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teodor Ivanov | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleks Tunchev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasil Kaymakanov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Nikolov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cătălin Itu | M | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Nordsjaelland to win against CSKA Sofia.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Nordsjaelland 3–0 CSKA Sofia.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?
- Fipster's model gave FC Nordsjaelland a 95% chance of winning, CSKA Sofia a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.