FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round

FC Levadia Tallinn

Full Time
5–0
HT: 3–0

Caernarfon Town

Ref: R. LeeA. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · 14,405 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Caernarfon Town 0 5 FC Levadia Tallinn
Aggregate:
Caernarfon Town 0 10 FC Levadia Tallinn
Advances:
FC Levadia Tallinn

Match recap

FC Levadia Tallinn beat Caernarfon Town 5–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

3-0 FC Levadia Tallinn win

Actual

5–0

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

FC Levadia Tallinn 35%Draw 33%Caernarfon Town 32%

FC Levadia Tallinn and Caernarfon Town face off in the 1st Qualifying Round of competition 848. Levadia have shown strong attacking prowess recently, while Caernarfon Town have struggled to find the net.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

FC Levadia Tallinn's dominant recent scoring vs Caernarfon Town

Levadia scored 5-0 and 5-0 in recent home and away matches against Caernarfon, showing clear attacking superiority

Tactical Advantagehigh

Levadia's attacking midfield trio outperforms league averages

Midfielders like M. Ainsalu and R. Peetson exceed league averages in goals and assists, providing creative edge

Form Momentumhigh

Wendell Gabriel's recent goal-scoring form is strong

Gabriel scored multiple goals in last two matches vs Caernarfon, indicating high confidence in scoring chances

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from absences expected

The context

This is the first qualifying round of the competition, where FC Levadia Tallinn have already demonstrated solid form with three wins and one loss in four matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2. Caernarfon Town, on the other hand, have lost both their matches in this competition, conceding 10 goals without scoring.

Key insights

  • W

    Wendell Gabriel

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Gabriel's recent goal-scoring form is strong, having scored multiple goals in the last two matches against Caernarfon Town, indicating high confidence in his scoring chances.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Multiple goals in recent matches vs Caernarfon Town

  • M

    M. Ainsalu

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Ainsalu is a key midfielder with high assist involvement, exceeding league averages in goals and assists, providing a creative edge for Levadia.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27High assist involvement and above average midfielder in assists and goal creation

  • R

    R. Peetson

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Peetson contributes both goals and assists, linking midfield and attack effectively, boosting Levadia's offensive threat.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored and assisted in recent matches vs Caernarfon Town

Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn have dominated Caernarfon Town in their recent head-to-head clashes, winning both matches with a combined score of 10-0. Key players like Wendell Gabriel and midfielders M. Ainsalu and R. Peetson have been instrumental in creating and converting chances. Levadia's attacking midfield trio outperforms league averages in goals and assists, providing a creative edge. Caernarfon Town's defence has struggled to contain Levadia's forwards, and their inability to score in this competition highlights their difficulties.

Key facts

  1. 1.FC Levadia Tallinn have won both head-to-head matches against Caernarfon Town with a combined score of 10-0.
  2. 2.FC Levadia Tallinn have played 4 matches in this competition (W3 D0 L1), scoring 12 goals and conceding 2.
  3. 3.Caernarfon Town have lost both matches in this competition, conceding 10 goals without scoring.
  4. 4.Wendell Gabriel has scored multiple goals in recent matches against Caernarfon Town.
  5. 5.Midfielders M. Ainsalu and R. Peetson provide strong attacking contributions for FC Levadia Tallinn.
  6. 6.Caernarfon Town have yet to score in this competition this season.
  7. 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.

Prediction

The prediction favours a home win by 3-0 for FC Levadia Tallinn. Despite the strong home win odds, the confidence is low due to limited match data and missing team standings information. However, the model's expected goals align well with this outcome, making a 3-0 victory the most probable exact scoreline.

The verdict

In summary, FC Levadia Tallinn are expected to continue their dominant run against Caernarfon Town with a convincing 3-0 win. Their attacking strength and recent form in this competition make them the clear favourites, while Caernarfon Town will need to improve significantly to challenge them.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:23 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Fipster's AI model predicted FC Levadia Tallinn to win against Caernarfon Town.
What score did Fipster predict for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Fipster predicted a final score of FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0 Caernarfon Town.
What were the win probabilities for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Fipster's model gave FC Levadia Tallinn a 35% chance of winning, Caernarfon Town a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.
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