FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders
Kaick's strike secures Dallas narrow win
A solitary goal after the break was enough for FC Dallas to edge out Seattle Sounders.
FC Dallas claimed a tight 1-0 victory over Seattle Sounders thanks to Kaick's decisive goal in the 63rd minute. The match was a close contest with the single strike proving the difference. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders prepare for a tantalising encounter. Both teams have shown moments of quality, but form and goal difference suggest a tight contest with Dallas holding a slight edge.
Match factors
FC Dallas' potent attacking duo
Petar Musa and Logan Farrington combine high scoring rates and recent form, driving FC Dallas' attack.
Seattle's creative midfield engine
Albert Rusnák and Joaquín Valiente lead Seattle's assists, key to unlocking FC Dallas' defense.
Seattle's scoring streak
Seattle has scored in their last 5 matches, showing offensive consistency despite lower overall scoring.
Petar Musa's superior goal rate
Musa's 0.82 goals per game far exceeds league attacker average of 0.22, a key edge for FC Dallas.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans.
The context
This fixture is part of the 29th round of the regular season. FC Dallas currently sit 3rd in the league standings with 47 points, while Seattle Sounders occupy 7th place with 38 points. Historically, Seattle have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 10 of 20 matches compared to Dallas's 4, with 6 draws. Matches between these sides typically produce around 2.1 goals on average, indicating moderate scoring affairs.
Key insights
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
Leads team scoring with 18 goals, well above league attacker average, and is a key threat at home with 2 goals in last 4 home games.
Major League Soccer 26/2718 goals in 22 apps, 0.82 avg per game
Joaquín Valiente
FC Dallas
Top assister with 8 assists, strong recent creative output and high average minutes per game, crucial in setting up goals.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 25 apps, 0.32 avg per game
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Seattle's top assister with 10 assists, creative midfield hub and consistent starter with high minutes played.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists in 25 apps, 0.4 avg per game
Analysis
FC Dallas boast a superior goal difference (+8) compared to Seattle's neutral goal difference (0), reflecting stronger offensive and defensive performances this season. Their attacking duo, Petar Musa and Logan Farrington, have been in fine form, with Musa netting 18 goals this campaign and proving particularly effective at home. Seattle rely on creative midfielders Albert Rusnák and Joaquín Valiente, who lead the team in assists and are key to unlocking Dallas's defence. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed without disruption. The predicted halftime score of 1-1 aligns with the expectation of a competitive match, with four cards anticipated to keep things spicy.
Key facts
- 1.Seattle Sounders lead head-to-head with 10 wins to FC Dallas's 4 in 20 matches, with 6 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, indicating moderate scoring games.
- 3.FC Dallas rank 3rd in the league with 47 points from 27 games (W13 D8 L6).
- 4.Seattle Sounders rank 7th with 38 points from 27 games (W10 D8 L9).
- 5.FC Dallas have a +8 goal difference, better than Seattle's 0, showing stronger offense and defence.
- 6.Petar Musa leads FC Dallas with 18 goals this season, averaging 0.82 goals per game.
- 7.Albert Rusnák tops Seattle's assists chart with 10 assists this season.
Prediction
We foresee FC Dallas clinching a narrow 2-1 victory over Seattle Sounders. The home side's attacking prowess and better form should see them edge out their opponents after a balanced first half. Expect Petar Musa to be involved, given his goal-scoring exploits, while Seattle will push hard to keep the scoreline close.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Dallas
Away — Seattle Sounders
The verdict
In summary, this match promises a tight contest with FC Dallas just shading it thanks to their superior form and goal difference. Fans can look forward to an entertaining game with goals, tactical battles, and a few cards to keep the referees busy.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 01:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tolo
Kossa-Rienzi
Kaick
Assist: Urhoghide
Gomez
Moreno
Valiente
Delgado
Yellow Card
Kamungo
Hawkins
Brunell
Daniel
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
Match Statistics
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 9P. MusaF
- 10S. MorenoM
- 17RamiroM
- 18S. MooreD
- 21J. ValienteM
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 42DanielG
- 55KaickM
- 77B. KamungoM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 7D. JobM
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 32N. NorrisD
- 40J. SiroisG
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 7C. RoldanM
- 9D. JoveljićF
- 11A. RusnákM
- 17P. ArriolaM
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 37S. BrunellM
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 90S. GomezM
Substitutes
- 8C. ClarkM
- 13J. MorrisF
- 16A. RoldanD
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 27J. FerreiraF
- 28Y. GómezD
- 31H. DotsonM
- 45P. KingstonM
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 90 | 8.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Moore | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Moreno | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/5 |
| J. Valiente | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ramiro | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| B. Kamungo | M | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| H. Johansson | M | 8 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cappis | M | 16 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Delgado | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Binyamin | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| P. Musa | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| N. Norris | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Job | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Swann | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Abubakar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Sarver | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sirois | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rusnák | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 6 | — |
| J. Ragen | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hawkins | D | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Thomas | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Roldan | D | 31 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Tolo | D | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Ferreira | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | D | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 6 | 4 | — | — |
| P. Kingston | M | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Morris | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Clark | M | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Gomez | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| P. Arriola | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Brunell | M | 83 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Gómez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Musovski | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Dotson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Frei | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Dallas to win against Seattle Sounders.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Dallas 2–1 Seattle Sounders.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's model gave FC Dallas a 63% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders a 18% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 63% confidence — a medium-confidence call.