FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
Match recap
FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 3–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Moreno, Kaick, and Sarver scored for FC Dallas; Luna replied for Real Salt Lake. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.05 for FC Dallas versus 0.59 for Real Salt Lake. FC Dallas sit 3rd in the Major League Soccer table while Real Salt Lake are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 FC Dallas win
Actual
3–1
Outcome probability
FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake face off in this regular season clash, with Dallas showing strong form and a clear edge in attacking talent.
Match factors
FC Dallas' dominant striker form
Petar Musa leads with 19 goals this season, significantly outscoring Real Salt Lake forwards, giving Dallas a clear attacking edge
Real Salt Lake missing key midfielder Diego Luna
Luna is out with a knee injury, removing a key goal threat and playmaker from Real Salt Lake's lineup
Joaquín Valiente's creative influence
Valiente's 9 assists and strong recent form make him a key provider for FC Dallas' expected goals
FC Dallas' positive scoring streak at home
Dallas has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting the predicted 3-0 home win
Real Salt Lake's creative midfield depth limited
With Luna out and other key creators less prolific, Real Salt Lake's attacking threat is diminished
The context
FC Dallas currently sit 3rd in the league with 47 points from 28 games, boasting a positive goal difference of 12. Real Salt Lake are 11th with 32 points, struggling to match Dallas' consistency and goal output. This fixture is part of the regular season's 13th round.
Key insights
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
Petar Musa's 19 goals this season give FC Dallas a clear attacking advantage over Real Salt Lake.
Major League Soccer 26/2719 goals in 24 apps, 0.79 goals/game
Joaquín Valiente
FC Dallas
Joaquín Valiente's 9 assists and strong recent form make him a key creative force for FC Dallas.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 26 apps, 0.35 assists/game
- D
Diego Luna
Real Salt Lake
Diego Luna is out with a knee injury, removing a key goal threat and playmaker from Real Salt Lake's lineup.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 26 apps
Analysis
FC Dallas' attacking threat is led by Petar Musa, who has netted 19 goals this season, significantly outscoring Real Salt Lake's forwards. Their top assister Joaquín Valiente, with 9 assists, provides creative spark. Real Salt Lake are hampered by the absence of key midfielder Diego Luna due to a knee injury, weakening their offensive options. Dallas have scored in four of their last five home games, reinforcing their expected dominance. The data strongly supports a decisive home win with a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.FC Dallas are 3rd in the league with 47 points from 28 games (W13 D8 L7).
- 2.Real Salt Lake are 11th with 32 points from 28 games (W9 D5 L14).
- 3.FC Dallas have a goal difference of +12, significantly better than Real Salt Lake.
- 4.Petar Musa leads FC Dallas with 19 goals this season.
- 5.Joaquín Valiente has provided 9 assists, the highest for FC Dallas.
- 6.Real Salt Lake's Diego Luna is out with a knee injury, reducing their attacking threat.
- 7.FC Dallas have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-0 victory for FC Dallas. The home side's superior goal-scoring form and Real Salt Lake's limited attacking threat due to injury make this a likely outcome. The halftime score is expected to reflect Dallas' early dominance, setting the tone for a comfortable win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Dallas
Away — Real Salt Lake
The verdict
In summary, FC Dallas' combination of prolific scoring and creative midfield play, alongside Real Salt Lake's injury setbacks, points to a straightforward 3-0 home win. Fans can expect a confident Dallas performance with goals and control throughout.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:47 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moreno
Assist: Musa
Urhoghide
Yellow Card
Kaick
Guilavogui
Yellow Card
Luna
Yellow Card
Solans
Moreno
Sanabria
Spierings
Musa
Valiente
Yedlin
Yellow Card
Yedlin
Luna
Assist: Guilavogui
Binyamin
Sarver
Yellow Card
Sarver
Assist: Ibeagha
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
Match Statistics
FC Dallas
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 9P. MusaF
- 10S. MorenoF
- 14H. JohanssonD
- 17RamiroM
- 18S. MooreD
- 21J. ValienteM
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 32N. NorrisD
- 55KaickM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 12C. CappisM
- 16Nicholas SimmondsF
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 27C. SwannM
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 40J. SiroisG
Real Salt Lake
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 10D. LunaF
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 29S. JunquaD
- 72Z. GozoM
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 3K. HenryD
- 7P. RuizM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 27G. DillonM
- 31M. StajduharG
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 98A. KatránisD
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaick | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Herman Johansson | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 67 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Petar Musa | F | 76 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/4 |
| Michael Collodi | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolan Norris | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaq Moore | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramiro(C) | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Patrickson Delgado | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sirois | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Swann | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Simmonds | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lalas Abubakar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 14 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Luna | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Philip Quinton | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sergi Solans | F | 58 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Griffin Dillon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ruíz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobi Henry | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Booth | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Dallas to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Dallas 3–0 Real Salt Lake.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's model gave FC Dallas a 95% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.