FC Dallas vs Nashville SC
Match recap
FC Dallas and Nashville SC drew 0–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.68 for FC Dallas versus 0.49 for Nashville SC.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 FC Dallas win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
The early stages of the 2026 MLS season see FC Dallas and Nashville SC locked in a competitive encounter. Both teams boast potent attacking options, but the prediction leans towards a home victory for Dallas, who are expected to take the lead by halftime and hold on for a 2-1 win.
Match factors
FC Dallas' potent strike duo in form
Petar Musa and Logan Farrington lead scoring with strong recent form, key to home win prediction
Nashville's attacking threat led by Surridge and Mukhtar
Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar provide consistent goal threat, challenging Dallas defense
Joaquín Valiente's creative influence for FC Dallas
Top assister with 9 assists, driving FC Dallas' attacking chances effectively
Cristian Espinoza's assist contribution for Nashville
Leading Nashville assister with 11 assists, key in creating scoring opportunities
Nashville missing Warren Madrigal reduces attacking depth
Madrigal is confirmed out, weakening Nashville's forward options and goal threat
The context
This match is part of the regular season's second round, with FC Dallas currently sitting third in their league standings. Historically, Nashville SC have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning five of nine encounters, but recent form and home advantage could tip the scales in Dallas's favour.
Key insights
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
Leads FC Dallas with 18 goals, including 6 in the last 10 games, making him a key factor in their attacking threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2718 goals in 23 appearances, 0.78 goals/game
Samuel Surridge
Nashville SC
Top scorer for Nashville with 16 goals and strong recent form, posing a consistent challenge to Dallas' defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 21 appearances, 0.76 goals/game
Joaquín Valiente
FC Dallas
Creative hub for Dallas with 9 assists, including 6 in the last 10 games, driving their attacking chances effectively.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 25 appearances, 0.36 assists/game
Cristian Espinoza
Nashville SC
Leading assister for Nashville with 11 assists, consistently creating scoring opportunities for his team.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 23 appearances, 0.48 assists/game
Analysis
FC Dallas' attacking duo, Petar Musa and Logan Farrington, have been in fine form this season, combining for a significant portion of the team's goals. Musa, with 18 goals in 23 appearances, is a key threat, supported by Joaquín Valiente's creativity from midfield. Nashville SC counter with Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, both prolific scorers and assist providers. However, Nashville's attacking depth is slightly compromised with Warren Madrigal ruled out, which may affect their goal threat. The prediction of a 2-1 scoreline aligns with the expected halftime lead for Dallas and a closely contested second half.
Key facts
- 1.FC Dallas are currently 3rd in the league with 47 points from 28 games.
- 2.Nashville SC have won 5 of the 9 head-to-head matches against FC Dallas.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 1.8 goals per game, with Nashville scoring 12 and Dallas 4 in total.
- 4.Petar Musa leads FC Dallas with 18 goals this season.
- 5.Samuel Surridge is Nashville's top scorer with 16 goals.
- 6.Joaquín Valiente is FC Dallas' top assister with 9 assists.
- 7.Cristian Espinoza leads Nashville with 11 assists.
- 8.Warren Madrigal is ruled out for Nashville, reducing their attacking options.
Prediction
Expect FC Dallas to take an early lead, likely going into halftime 1-0 up. Nashville SC will push back in the second half, but Dallas should hold firm to secure a 2-1 victory. The match is also expected to be moderately physical, with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Dallas
Away — Nashville SC
The verdict
In summary, FC Dallas have the edge thanks to their attacking form and home advantage. Nashville SC will provide a stern test, but the home side's ability to convert chances and maintain composure should see them through to a narrow win.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kaick
Yellow Card
Delgado
Kamungo
Farrington
Johansson
Tagseth
Corcoran
Yellow Card
Urhoghide
Yellow Card
Lovitz
Yellow Card
Madrigal
Corcoran
Yellow Card
Corcoran
Red Card
Cappis
Mukhtar
Najar
Espinoza
Sarver
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
Match Statistics
FC Dallas
5-3-2Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 9P. MusaF
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonD
- 18S. MooreD
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 55KaickM
- 77B. KamungoD
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 7L. DeedsonF
- 11A. JulioF
- 17RamiroM
- 21J. ValienteM
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 31B. ThompsonG
- 32N. NorrisD
Nashville SC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 7C. EspinozaF
- 8P. YazbekM
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 31A. NajarD
- 41W. MadrigalF
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 17W. PaciusF
- 19A. MuylM
- 22J. BauerD
- 23J. KnightD
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 37A. QasemF
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Herman Johansson | D | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Shaq Moore(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Bernard Kamungo | D | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Michael Collodi | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrickson Delgado | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Logan Farrington | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ran Binyamin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolan Norris | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooks Thompson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lalas Abubakar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ramiro | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Louicius Don Deedson | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anderson Julio | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Najar | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hany Mukhtar(C) | F | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Edvard Sandvik Tagseth | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Patrick Yazbek | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Espinoza | F | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Reed Baker-Whiting | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Josh Bauer | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Knight | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Dallas to win against Nashville SC.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Dallas 2–1 Nashville SC.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's model gave FC Dallas a 63% chance of winning, Nashville SC a 18% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 63% confidence — a medium-confidence call.