FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC
Match recap
Minnesota United FC beat FC Dallas 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Markanich scored for Minnesota United FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.72 for FC Dallas versus 1.03 for Minnesota United FC. FC Dallas sit 3rd in the Major League Soccer table while Minnesota United FC are 13th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 FC Dallas win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
FC Dallas and Minnesota United FC face off in a regular season MLS clash where the home side looks poised to dominate. With Dallas boasting a higher league position and potent attacking options, this match promises goals and tactical intrigue.
Match factors
FC Dallas' attacking trio synergy
Musa, Valiente, and Moreno form a potent attacking unit with strong recent form and assist connections
Petar Musa's prolific scoring
Musa leads league scoring with 19 goals, well above league average for attackers
Minnesota missing key playmaker Pereyra
Pereyra, Minnesota's top assister, is confirmed out, reducing their creative threat
Minnesota's recent scoring streak despite struggles
Minnesota has scored in their last 5 matches but concedes frequently, indicating defensive issues
FC Dallas' defensive solidity with Urhoghide
Urhoghide's strong defensive performances and occasional goals bolster FC Dallas' backline
The context
Currently, FC Dallas sit comfortably in 3rd place with 47 points from 28 games, while Minnesota United FC trail in 14th with 30 points. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, but Dallas have the edge in recent form and overall league standing.
Key insights
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
Musa leads the league with 19 goals, making him a constant threat and key to Dallas' attacking success.
Major League Soccer 26/2719 goals in 24 appearances, 0.79 goals/game
- J
Joaquín Valiente Cioli
FC Dallas
Valiente is the top assister with 9 assists, providing excellent service to Musa and others.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 26 appearances, 0.35 assists/game
- J
Joaquín Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
Pereyra's absence due to a muscle injury reduces Minnesota's creativity and attacking options.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists in 28 appearances
Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Yeboah is Minnesota's top scorer with 15 goals, a key offensive threat despite the team's struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 27 appearances, 0.56 goals/game
Analysis
FC Dallas' attacking trio, led by top scorer Petar Musa with 19 goals, is in fine fettle. Musa's partnership with Joaquín Valiente Cioli, the team's top assister, creates a formidable offensive threat. Minnesota United FC, missing key playmaker Joaquín Pereyra due to injury, will struggle to match Dallas' creativity. Defensively, FC Dallas benefit from Osaze Urhoghide's solidity, which should help contain Minnesota's Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah, the visitors' top scorer with 15 goals. Minnesota's recent scoring streak is undermined by defensive frailties, making Dallas favourites to secure a comfortable win.
Key facts
- 1.FC Dallas are 3rd in the league with 47 points from 28 games (W13 D8 L7).
- 2.Minnesota United FC are 14th with 30 points from 28 games (W7 D9 L12).
- 3.In 19 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas have won 5, Minnesota United FC 8, with 6 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals per game (25 for Dallas, 24 for Minnesota).
- 5.Petar Musa leads FC Dallas with 19 goals in 24 appearances this season.
- 6.Joaquín Valiente Cioli is FC Dallas' top assister with 9 assists in 26 games.
- 7.Minnesota's top scorer Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah has 15 goals in 27 appearances.
- 8.Minnesota's key playmaker Joaquín Pereyra is out with a muscle injury.
Prediction
We predict FC Dallas to take an early lead by halftime, going 1-0 up, and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Dallas
Away — Minnesota United FC
The verdict
All signs point to FC Dallas capitalising on their attacking prowess and defensive strength to claim a solid 3-1 win over Minnesota United FC. The visitors' injury woes and defensive lapses make it tough for them to keep pace, leaving Dallas to enjoy a well-earned victory.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Markanich
Yellow Card
Markanich
Moreno
Yellow Card
Duggan
Yellow Card
Norris
Yellow Card
Cappis
Moreno
Ibeagha
Markanich
Musa
Yeboah
Romero
Yellow Card
Chancalay
Johansson
Pereyra
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
Match Statistics
FC Dallas
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 9P. MusaF
- 10S. MorenoF
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 18S. MooreM
- 21J. ValienteF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 32N. NorrisD
- 55KaickM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 7L. DeedsonF
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 16Nicholas SimmondsF
- 17RamiroM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 40J. SiroisG
Minnesota United FC
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3K. DuncanM
- 5N. RomeroD
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 23M. DugganD
- 25N. TriantisM
- 26J. PereyraF
- 28J. DíazD
- 30O. GeneM
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 2D. PadelfordD
- 10J. RodríguezM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 20W. TrappM
- 21B. HlongwaneF
- 27D. TaylorD
- 29M.DiengF
- 33K. ChandlerD
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Michael Collodi | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolan Norris | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/2 |
| Shaq Moore(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Herman Johansson | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lalas Abubakar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louicius Don Deedson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sirois | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 29 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Patrickson Delgado | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Sam Sarver | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nicholas Simmonds | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Gene | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Drake Callender | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Joaquín Pereyra(C) | F | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kieran Chandler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Rodriguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D.J. Taylor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alec Smir | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio González | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Dallas to win against Minnesota United FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Dallas 3–1 Minnesota United FC.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster's model gave FC Dallas a 75% chance of winning, Minnesota United FC a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.