FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas edge out LA FC in tight contest
O. Urhoghide's first-half strike secures a narrow victory for Dallas.
FC Dallas claimed a slender 1-0 win over Los Angeles FC thanks to O. Urhoghide's goal in the 34th minute. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a more comfortable 4-1 scoreline, the match proved much tighter than expected. Nonetheless, the prediction of a home win was spot on.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC face off in a match that promises goals and drama. Both sides have shown quality this season, but the scales tip towards Dallas with their strong home form and attacking firepower.
Match factors
FC Dallas' potent home attack led by Petar Musa
Musa's 18 goals this season and strong home scoring form give Dallas a clear attacking edge at home
Joaquín Valiente's creative influence
Valiente leads FC Dallas with 7 assists and high key passes, boosting scoring chances
LA FC's Denis Bouanga in good scoring form
Bouanga has 3 goals in last 4 away games, showing strong recent scoring momentum
FC Dallas missing Anderson Julio reduces attacking depth
Confirmed out attacker Julio's absence limits Dallas' attacking options off the bench
Son Heung-Min's dual threat as scorer and assister
Son's 5 goals and 9 assists this season make him a key creative and scoring threat for LA FC
The context
This fixture is a regular season encounter where FC Dallas sit 3rd with 43 points, just ahead of Los Angeles FC in 6th place with 40 points. Historically, LA FC have the upper hand in head-to-heads with 8 wins to Dallas's 4 in 15 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could shift the balance.
Key insights
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
Musa's 18 goals this season and strong home scoring form give Dallas a clear attacking edge at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2718 goals in 21 appearances, 0.86 goals/game
Joaquín Valiente
FC Dallas
Valiente leads FC Dallas with 7 assists and high key passes, boosting scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 23 appearances, 0.30 assists/game
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Bouanga has 3 goals in last 4 away games, showing strong recent scoring momentum.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 23 appearances, 0.52 goals/game
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Son's 5 goals and 9 assists this season make him a key creative and scoring threat for LA FC.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals and 9 assists in 22 appearances
Analysis
FC Dallas boast a +7 goal difference and have been particularly effective at home, led by Petar Musa who has netted 18 goals this season. Musa's clinical finishing and strong home scoring record make him a key threat. Midfielder Joaquín Valiente's creativity, with 7 assists, further boosts Dallas's attacking options. Los Angeles FC, despite a superior +14 goal difference overall, have struggled to contain Dallas at their ground. Their leading scorer Denis Bouanga has been in good form with 3 goals in the last 4 away games, but Dallas's defensive stability and attacking depth are expected to prevail.
Key facts
- 1.FC Dallas rank 3rd with 43 points; Los Angeles FC 6th with 40 points this season.
- 2.Los Angeles FC lead head-to-head with 8 wins to FC Dallas's 4 in 15 meetings.
- 3.FC Dallas have a +7 goal difference; Los Angeles FC have +14 this season.
- 4.Petar Musa is FC Dallas's top scorer with 18 goals in 21 appearances.
- 5.Joaquín Valiente leads FC Dallas with 7 assists this season.
- 6.Denis Bouanga is LA FC's top scorer with 12 goals, including 3 in last 4 away games.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-0 in favour of FC Dallas.
- 8.The match is expected to see a total of 4 cards.
Prediction
Expect FC Dallas to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before extending their advantage to a 4-1 fulltime victory. The match should feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Musa is likely to be on the scoresheet, supported by Valiente's assists, while LA FC will find it tough to keep pace.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Dallas
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
In summary, FC Dallas's home prowess and attacking talent make them the clear favourites to secure a convincing win over Los Angeles FC. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match with plenty of goals and a dominant Dallas performance.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 02:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sieb
Yellow Card
Urhoghide
Assist: Valiente
Porteous
Yellow Card
Tafari
Boyd
Johansson
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Hollingshead
Farrington
Moreno
Valiente
Delgado
Yellow Card
Ebobisse
Delgado
Norris
Yellow Card
Raposo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +12 | 47 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 45 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 44 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 41 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 36 |
Match Statistics
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 10S. MorenoM
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 18S. MooreM
- 21J. ValienteM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 32N. NorrisD
- 40J. SiroisG
- 55KaickM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 7D. JobM
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 11A. JulioF
- 16Nicholas SimmondsF
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 33C. HolstadM
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 4E. SeguraM
- 5R. PorteousD
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 9A. SiebF
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 19T. BoydF
- 23Y. CheberkoM
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 91N. TafariD
Substitutes
- 6Igor JesusM
- 20S. VasquezM
- 21R. RaposoM
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 44C. DiazD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 49C. KosakoffF
- 90Tommy MihalicF
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Urhoghide | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valiente | M | 81 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/3 |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Norris | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Sirois | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Moreno | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| P. Delgado | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Job | M | 9 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Sarver | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Moore | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| C. Cappis | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| L. Farrington | F | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Johansson | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Julio | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Abubakar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Collodi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Holstad | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Swann | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Simmonds | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vasquez | M | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Hollingshead | D | 76 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| H. Lloris | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Cheberko | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| N. Tafari | D | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Segura | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| R. Porteous | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ebobisse | F | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Boyd | F | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| R. Raposo | M | 4 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 86 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tommy Mihalic | F | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Igor Jesus | M | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sieb | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Kosakoff | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cabral Carter | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Diaz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Nielsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Dallas to win against Los Angeles FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Dallas 4–1 Los Angeles FC.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's model gave FC Dallas a 95% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.