FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes

Major League SoccerMatchweek 18
Ref: V. RivasTQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio · 26,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Full-time story

FC Cincinnati storms back to beat San Jose

A thrilling six-goal clash sees Cincinnati overturn an early deficit with a late flurry.

San Jose Earthquakes took an early lead through D. Munie before Bryan Josías Ramírez León levelled for FC Cincinnati just before half-time. After the break, T. Werner restored San Jose's advantage, but Cincinnati responded with three late goals from T. Barlow, Evander, and an unknown scorer deep into stoppage time to secure a 4-2 victory. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was slightly off.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
43
HT 2–2
Final Result
42
HT 1–1
86%Excellent
A
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review2 Aug 2026

Analysis

FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes are set for an electrifying regular season clash. Both teams boast potent attacks, promising a match full of goals and excitement.

San Jose Earthquakes currently sit second in their league with 32 points from 16 games, showcasing solid form. FC Cincinnati, meanwhile, have been scoring freely at home, though their defence has shown some cracks, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per home game.

The attacking trio of Evander, Kévin Denkey, and Pavel Bucha have been in fine form for FC Cincinnati, combining for multiple goals and assists recently. San Jose's Preston Judd leads their scoring charts and has been consistent on the road, scoring in all of their last five away matches. However, San Jose faces a challenge with four key players confirmed out, which could impact their defensive solidity. The predicted halftime score of 2-2 suggests an open and competitive first half, with the fulltime forecast of 4-3 favouring the home side in a thrilling encounter.


Prediction

With an 85% confidence level, FC Cincinnati are tipped to clinch a narrow 4-3 victory. The home side's attacking prowess and creative midfield link-ups are expected to outscore San Jose, despite the visitors' strong away scoring streak.

Outcome probability

FC Cincinnati 85%Draw 8%San Jose Earthquakes 7%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Home team's attacking trio in strong form

Evander, Denkey, and Bucha have combined for multiple goals and assists recently, driving home attack

Statistical Edgemedium

Away team's defensive vulnerabilities

FC Cincinnati averages 2.5 goals conceded at home, indicating potential for away scorers

Form Momentumhigh

San Jose's strong away scoring streak

San Jose has scored in all last 5 away matches, showing consistent offensive threat

Injury Impacthigh

San Jose missing key players

San Jose has 4 confirmed outs including attackers and defenders, weakening squad depth

Key Takeaways

This match promises end-to-end action with plenty of goals. FC Cincinnati's firepower and home advantage should just edge out San Jose Earthquakes in what could be a memorable contest for fans.

  • San Jose Earthquakes are 2nd in the league with 32 points from 16 games (W10 D2 L4).
  • FC Cincinnati averages 2.5 goals conceded per home game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Evander is the top scorer and assist provider for FC Cincinnati with multiple recent goals and assists.
  • Kévin Denkey has been a consistent goal scorer with good shot accuracy for FC Cincinnati.
  • Preston Judd leads San Jose's scoring with recent goals in away matches.
  • San Jose has scored in all of their last 5 away matches, showing strong offensive form.
  • Four key San Jose players are confirmed out, weakening their squad depth.
  • The predicted halftime score is 2-2, consistent with a high-scoring fulltime result of 4-3.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeFC Cincinnati

Evander

Evander

F

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
10
League avg: 0.93
15 played
14 starts
1233 mins
~82 mins/game
Kévin Denkey

Kévin Denkey

F

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
10
League avg: 0.93
15 played
14 starts
1296 mins
~86 mins/game

AwaySan Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd

Preston Judd

F

San Jose Earthquakes

Total Goals
11
League avg: 0.93
16 played
15 starts
1298 mins
~81 mins/game
Ousseni Bouda

Ousseni Bouda

M

San Jose Earthquakes

Total Goals
5
League avg: 0.93
16 played
14 starts
1295 mins
~81 mins/game