FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
Match recap
FC Cincinnati beat Philadelphia Union 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Jabbari scored for FC Cincinnati. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.10 for FC Cincinnati versus 1.14 for Philadelphia Union.
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture promises goals and drama as Philadelphia Union take on FC Cincinnati. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, setting the stage for a lively contest.
Match factors
Philadelphia's superior goal-scoring form
Philadelphia averages 2.3 goals away, higher than Cincinnati's 1.65 at home, supporting predicted 3 goals
Philadelphia's attacking trio in form
Iloski, Damiani, and Sullivan show strong recent scoring and assist form, posing a threat to Cincinnati's defense
Evander's consistent attacking contributions
Evander's recent high ratings and goal involvements boost Cincinnati's attacking potential despite overall team struggles
Philadelphia missing key midfielders
Confirmed outs Sullivan and Bueno reduce midfield creativity, possibly limiting assist potential
The context
Philadelphia Union have been impressive on the road, averaging 2.3 goals per away game this season, while FC Cincinnati score 1.65 goals at home. Historically, their encounters have been goal-rich affairs, averaging 3.3 goals per match across 20 meetings.
Key insights
- M
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Iloski is a primary attacking outlet with multiple recent goals, making him a key threat away from home.
Major League Soccer 26/27Multiple goals recently in competition 253, season 2026
- B
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
Damiani leads Philadelphia’s scoring with consistent impact and high match ratings.
Major League Soccer 26/27Top scorer with multiple goals in recent games, competition 253, season 2026
- C
Cavan Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
Recently returned from injury, Sullivan contributes assists and key passes, boosting midfield creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/27Strong performances post-injury with assists and key passes, competition 253, season 2026
- E
Evander
FC Cincinnati
Evander’s consistent high ratings and goal involvements enhance Cincinnati’s attacking potential despite team struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/27Multiple goals and assists recently, competition 253, season 2026
Analysis
Philadelphia's attacking trio of Milan Iloski, Bruno Damiani, and Cavan Sullivan have been in fine form, contributing multiple goals and assists recently. Despite Sullivan's recent return from injury, his creativity remains a key asset. FC Cincinnati's Evander also brings consistent attacking threat with high match ratings and goal involvements. However, Philadelphia's superior goal-scoring form and tactical edge suggest they will narrowly outscore Cincinnati in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union average 2.3 goals per away game this season.
- 2.FC Cincinnati score 1.65 goals per home game this season.
- 3.Their 20 head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals per game.
- 4.Philadelphia Union have won 10 of the 20 head-to-head meetings.
- 5.FC Cincinnati have won 7 of the 20 head-to-head meetings.
- 6.Three draws have occurred in their 20 meetings.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-2 in favour of Philadelphia.
- 8.The match is expected to see a total of 3 cards.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Philadelphia Union with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of Philadelphia, reflecting a competitive first half. The match is likely to feature three cards, adding to the intensity of this closely fought contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Cincinnati
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
Expect a thrilling, high-scoring match with Philadelphia Union just edging out FC Cincinnati. Both sides will push hard, but the visitors' attacking prowess should prove decisive in this MLS regular season fixture.
Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 02:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gidi
Bender
Alladoh
Barlow
Mboma Dem
Jabbari
Vassilev
Hadebe
Denkey
Lukić
Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 4N. HagglundD
- 5O. NwobodoM
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 11S. GidiM
- 15T. HadebeD
- 16T. BarlowF
- 17K. Mboma DemM
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 20P. BuchaM
- 24K. SmithD
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM
Substitutes
- 2A. PowellD
- 10EvanderM
- 13E. LouroG
- 22G. ValenzuelaM
- 27B. AnungaM
- 66E. EcheniqueF
- 70J. MartínezM
- 88A. ChirilaD
- 99A. JabbariF
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 16B. BenderM
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 8J. BuenoM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 28A. AnelloF
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 66F. SundstromD
- 68J. GriffinD
- 76A. RickG
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Celentano | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hagglund | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jabbari | F | 26 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Evander | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| T. Hadebe | D | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Powell | D | 10 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| P. Bucha | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 2 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Gidi | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| K. Mboma Dem | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/6 |
| E. Echenique | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Barlow | F | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| K. Smith | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Louro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Chirila | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Martínez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | M | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| I. Vassilev | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| B. Damiani | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| E. Alladoh | F | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Anello | F | 16 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Griffin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Martínez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Sundstrom | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against FC Cincinnati.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Cincinnati 2–3 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave FC Cincinnati a 8% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 83% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 83% confidence — a high-confidence call.