FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
Revolution edge thrilling win at Cincinnati
New England's Turgeman shines with a brace to clinch a narrow victory.
FC Cincinnati started brightly with an early goal from T. Barlow, but New England Revolution responded swiftly through D. Turgeman and J. Wynder before the break. Turgeman's second-half strike sealed the win despite K. Denkey's effort for Cincinnati. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, as New England snatched the three points in a closely contested encounter.
Outcome probability
As the MLS regular season nears its climax, FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution prepare to face off in what promises to be a lively encounter. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for an entertaining match.
Match factors
Denkey's home scoring streak boosts FC Cincinnati attack
Denkey has scored 2 goals in his last home game and maintains a strong home scoring rate, providing a key edge.
Evander's dual threat as scorer and assister
Evander's 10 goals and 8 assists this season highlight his pivotal role in both scoring and creating chances.
Carles Gil's recent goal contributions for New England
Gil has 3 goals in last 5 games and consistently creates chances, driving New England's offense.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical options.
The context
This fixture marks the 29th round of the MLS regular season, with both teams eager to climb the table. Historically, their meetings have been closely contested, with a fairly balanced head-to-head record and an average of 3.5 goals per game, suggesting an open and attacking game.
Key insights
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
Denkey's home scoring streak boosts FC Cincinnati attack with 5 goals in last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 21 appearances, 5 goals last 5 games
Evander
FC Cincinnati
Evander's dual threat as scorer and assister makes him pivotal with 10 goals and 8 assists this season.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 8 assists in 21 appearances
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil's recent goal contributions keep New England competitive, scoring 3 goals in last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 appearances, 3 goals last 5 games
Analysis
FC Cincinnati boast a potent home attack led by K. Denkey, who has netted 13 goals this season, including five in his last five games, making him a key threat. Midfielder Evander complements the attack with 10 goals and 8 assists, highlighting his dual role as scorer and creator. New England's Carles Gil, their leading scorer with 11 goals, has been in good form recently, contributing three goals in his last five outings. The predicted 3-2 scoreline aligns with the high-scoring nature of their past encounters, and a halftime score of 2-1 suggests an early flurry of goals before a tense finish.
Key facts
- 1.In 17 meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 6, New England Revolution 7, with 4 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.5 total goals, indicating high-scoring encounters.
- 3.K. Denkey is FC Cincinnati's top scorer with 13 goals this season, including 5 in the last 5 games.
- 4.Evander has contributed 10 goals and 8 assists, showcasing his importance in attack.
- 5.Carles Gil leads New England with 11 goals and has scored 3 in the last 5 games.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 2-1, consistent with an open first half.
- 7.A total of 3 cards is expected, reflecting a competitive match atmosphere.
Prediction
We expect FC Cincinnati to clinch a narrow 3-2 victory, with Denkey and Evander likely to be pivotal in breaking down New England's defence. The match should feature three cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Cincinnati
Away — New England Revolution
The verdict
In summary, this MLS clash is set to deliver goals and excitement, with FC Cincinnati's attacking prowess at home giving them the edge. Fans can look forward to a closely fought game with plenty of action on the pitch.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 01:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Feingold
Yellow Card
Barlow
Assist: Malacia
Turgeman
Assist: Miller
Malacia
Yellow Card
Wynder
Assist: Gil
Barlow
Yellow Card
Barlow
Nwobodo
Malatini
Turgeman
Assist: Miller
Goal confirmed
Denkey
Assist: Malacia
Malacia
Gazdag
Feingold
Smith
Yellow Card
Evander
Yellow Card
Miller
Turgeman
Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3T. MalaciaM
- 5O. NwobodoM
- 6J. MalatiniD
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 13E. LouroG
- 15T. HadebeD
- 16T. BarlowF
- 22G. ValenzuelaM
- 24K. SmithD
- 27B. AnungaM
- 66E. EcheniqueM
Substitutes
- 4N. HagglundD
- 10EvanderM
- 11S. GidiM
- 17K. Mboma DemF
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 20P. BuchaM
- 23D. DouděraM
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónD
- 99A. JabbariF
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8M. PolsterM
- 10Carles GilM
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 16D. GazdagM
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerM
- 30M. TurnerG
- 66J. WynderD
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 14J. YueillM
- 15C. BakerD
- 27W. HarrisF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 65J. SiqueiraM
- 77D. FagundezM
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Malacia | M | 68 | 8.0 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| T. Barlow | F | 46 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| S. Gidi | M | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Jabbari | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Malatini | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Hadebe | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Bucha | M | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Echenique | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Louro | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evander | M | 22 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Douděra | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hagglund | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Celentano | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Turgeman | F | 89 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| P. Miller | M | 89 | 8.0 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Langoni | F | 21 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| I. Feingold | D | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Polster | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 69 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 16 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Beason | D | 1 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Baker | D | 1 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Parisian | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Siqueira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Yow | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Cincinnati to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Cincinnati 3–2 New England Revolution.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's model gave FC Cincinnati a 95% chance of winning, New England Revolution a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.