FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte

Major League SoccerMatchweek 25
Ref: P. LauziereTQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio · 26,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Charlotte snatches draw in six-goal thriller

A pulsating MLS clash sees FC Cincinnati's late strike cancelled out in stoppage time.

FC Cincinnati and Charlotte served up a six-goal spectacle ending 3-3, with K. Denkey grabbing a brace for the hosts including a stoppage-time equaliser. Charlotte fought back through L. Abada, Pep Biel's penalty, and I. Toklomati Giorno to deny Cincinnati a win. The result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 4-3 home victory, leaving the points shared in a thrilling encounter.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
43
Final Result
33
HT 1–2
36%Poor
F
OutcomeExact scoreBoth scoredGoalsHalftime
Fipster's self review13 Sept 2026

Outcome probability

FC Cincinnati 35%Draw 33%Charlotte 32%

FC Cincinnati and Charlotte are set for a mouth-watering encounter in the 25th round of the regular season. Both teams boast attacking talents capable of lighting up the scoreboard, promising an entertaining spectacle for fans.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Evander's dual threat at home

Evander's strong home scoring and assist form gives FC Cincinnati a creative edge in attack

Statistical Edgehigh

Denkey's prolific scoring record

Denkey leads FC Cincinnati with 11 goals, showing consistent scoring ability especially at home

Form Momentummedium

Charlotte's Pep Biel in good form

Pep Biel has scored 10 goals and provided 6 assists this season, maintaining consistent attacking output

Injury Impacthigh

Full squad availability for both teams

No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so all key players are available

Tactical Advantagemedium

High assist potential from Charlotte midfield

Pep Biel and Ashley Westwood provide creative passing and set-piece threat for Charlotte

The context

This fixture sees FC Cincinnati and Charlotte face off with a history of competitive matches. Their previous nine meetings have been fairly balanced, with Charlotte holding a slight edge in wins. The average goals per game in their head-to-head stands at 2.7, hinting at an open game with plenty of goalmouth action.

Analysis

FC Cincinnati's attacking duo, K. Denkey and Evander, have been in fine form at home, combining for 21 goals this season. Denkey leads with 11 goals, while Evander adds 10, both showing strong home performances. Charlotte counters with Pep Biel, their top scorer and assister, who has been consistent throughout the season. The prediction of a 4-3 scoreline reflects the attacking prowess on display and suggests a match where defences might be left chasing shadows. Moderate discipline is expected, with around three cards likely to be shown.

Key facts

  1. 1.FC Cincinnati and Charlotte have met 9 times: 2 wins for Cincinnati, 4 for Charlotte, 3 draws.
  2. 2.Their head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals per game.
  3. 3.K. Denkey leads FC Cincinnati with 11 goals this season.
  4. 4.Evander has contributed 10 goals and 8 assists for FC Cincinnati.
  5. 5.Pep Biel is Charlotte's top scorer and assister with 10 goals and 6 assists.
  6. 6.The predicted total cards count is 3, indicating moderate discipline.
  7. 7.The highest probability fulltime scoreline is 4-3 in favour of FC Cincinnati.

Prediction

The forecast leans towards a home win for FC Cincinnati in a thrilling 4-3 result. The attacking firepower of Cincinnati, especially at home, is expected to just edge out Charlotte's efforts. Fans should brace themselves for a rollercoaster of goals and moments of individual brilliance.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeFC Cincinnati

K. Denkey

K. Denkey

Attacker

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
11
League avg: 1.12
18 played
17 starts
1535 mins
~85 mins/game
Evander

Evander

Midfielder

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
10
League avg: 1.12
18 played
17 starts
1487 mins
~83 mins/game
P. Bucha

P. Bucha

Midfielder

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.12
4 played
4 starts
355 mins
~89 mins/game

AwayCharlotte

Pep Biel

Pep Biel

Midfielder

Charlotte

Total Goals
10
League avg: 1.12
23 played
23 starts
1948 mins
~85 mins/game
I. Toklomati Giorno

I. Toklomati Giorno

Attacker

Charlotte

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.12
23 played
21 starts
1666 mins
~72 mins/game
L. Abada

L. Abada

Attacker

Charlotte

Total Goals
3
League avg: 1.12
17 played
11 starts
885 mins
~52 mins/game

The verdict

In summary, this fixture promises excitement and goals, with FC Cincinnati predicted to clinch a narrow victory. Key players like Denkey and Evander will be pivotal, while Charlotte's Pep Biel will look to keep his side in the hunt. Expect a match that keeps everyone on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.