FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
Match recap
FC Cincinnati beat CF Montreal 4–3 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Denkey scored for FC Cincinnati; Carmona, Owusu, and Owusu replied for CF Montreal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.58 for FC Cincinnati versus 2.05 for CF Montreal.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-1 FC Cincinnati win
Actual
4–3
Outcome probability
FC Cincinnati and CF Montreal are gearing up for an exciting MLS regular season encounter. With both teams boasting key offensive talents, fans can expect a lively match filled with goals and attacking flair.
Match factors
FC Cincinnati's potent attacking duo
Denkey and Evander combine strong scoring and assisting form, driving Cincinnati's attack effectively
Montreal relies heavily on Owusu for goals and assists
Owusu leads Montreal in goals (15) and assists (6), central to their offensive threat
Cincinnati's home scoring form is superior
Cincinnati averages 2.83 goals per home game, well above Montreal's 1.36, supporting predicted 4-1 score
Denkey's recent scoring streak
Denkey scored 5 goals in last 5 games, showing strong finishing form
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
This fixture marks the fifth round of the MLS regular season, where FC Cincinnati have demonstrated strong home form, averaging nearly three goals per game. CF Montreal, meanwhile, rely heavily on their leading scorer and assister, Prince-Osei Owusu, to provide offensive spark despite some struggles.
Key insights
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
Denkey leads the team with 13 goals this season and has scored 5 in the last 5 games, making him a lethal threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 21 appearances, 0.62 goals/game
Evander
FC Cincinnati
Evander is both a top scorer and assister, with 10 goals and 8 assists, driving Cincinnati’s attack effectively.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 8 assists in 21 appearances
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu is Montreal’s key offensive player, leading with 15 goals and 6 assists, though the team struggles overall.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals and 6 assists in 26 appearances
Analysis
FC Cincinnati's attacking duo, Kévin Denkey and Evander, have been in fine form, combining for a significant portion of the team's goals and assists. Denkey leads with 13 goals this season, including a recent streak of five goals in five games, while Evander contributes both goals and creativity. Montreal's offensive threat largely depends on Owusu, who tops their charts with 15 goals and 6 assists. However, Cincinnati's superior home scoring average and balanced attack give them a clear edge. The predicted 4-1 scoreline reflects Cincinnati's ability to break down Montreal's defence and capitalize on their chances.
Key facts
- 1.FC Cincinnati have won 9 of 15 meetings against CF Montreal.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, indicating high-scoring affairs.
- 3.Kévin Denkey leads FC Cincinnati with 13 goals this season.
- 4.Prince-Osei Owusu is CF Montreal's top scorer with 15 goals.
- 5.FC Cincinnati average 2.83 goals per home game this season.
- 6.Evander is FC Cincinnati's top assister with 8 assists.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, both squads at full strength.
Prediction
Expect FC Cincinnati to dominate this match, securing a 4-1 victory. The halftime score is likely to be 2-0, setting the tone early. The game should feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Cincinnati
Away — CF Montreal
The verdict
In summary, FC Cincinnati's attacking firepower and home advantage should see them comfortably outscore CF Montreal. While Montreal's Owusu will pose a threat, Cincinnati's overall form and goal-scoring depth make them the clear favourites to take all three points.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:23 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Carmona
Assist: Owusu
Goal
Owusu
Assist: Jaime
Synchuk
Yellow Card
Goal
Synchuk
Jaime
Robinson
Red Card
Yellow Card
Owusu
Penalty
Unknown
Unknown
Yellow Card
Carmona
Owusu
Unknown
Unknown
Goal
Hadebe
Yellow Card
Longstaff
Unknown
Denkey
Yellow Card
Denkey
Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 10EvanderF
- 12M. RobinsonD
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM
Substitutes
- 15T. HadebeD
- 24K. SmithD
CF Montreal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4B. VeraD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 10Iván JaimeM
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 18H. SynchukM
- 19B. HidalgoD
- 22V. LoturiM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 31T. GillierG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 3T. AvilésD
- 5B. CraigD
- 6S. PietteM
- 7K. OpokuF
- 14D. RíosF
- 17D. ÞórhallssonM
- 29O. EscobarF
- 39Aleksandr GubogloD
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kévin Denkey | F | 103 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Evander | F | 103 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/5 |
| Bryan Ramirez | M | 103 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Miles Robinson(C) | D | 60 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kyle Smith | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teenage Hadebe | D | 38 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince-Osei Owusu(C) | F | 74 | 9.6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 74 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Iván Jaime | M | 58 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3/5 |
| Victor Loturi | M | 103 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 103 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 103 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Bode Hidalgo | D | 103 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hennadiy Synchuk | M | 57 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 103 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Thomas Gillier | G | 103 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Brandan Craig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Avilés | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Olger Escobar | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Samuel Piette | M | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Cincinnati to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Cincinnati 4–1 CF Montreal.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's model gave FC Cincinnati a 95% chance of winning, CF Montreal a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.