FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin
Augsburg and Union Berlin share spoils
A late flurry of goals sees both sides settle for a point.
FC Augsburg and Union Berlin played out a 1-1 draw in the Bundesliga, with H. Massengo putting Augsburg ahead in the 71st minute before J. Haberer quickly equalised for Union Berlin three minutes later. The match defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-1 home win, resulting instead in a balanced outcome that neither side could break beyond.
Outcome probability
As the Bundesliga regular season reaches its seventh round, FC Augsburg and Union Berlin face off in a match that promises goals and drama. Augsburg's recent form and league standing suggest they have the upper hand, while Union Berlin will need to dig deep to challenge their hosts.
Match factors
Key attackers missing for FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg confirmed out includes striker S. Mounié, reducing attacking options and goal threat.
Defensive solidity from Brackelmann and Rieder
Brackelmann and Rieder show tackling and duel win rates well above league averages, bolstering Augsburg's defense.
Augsburg's midfield defensive dominance
Rieder and Behrens provide strong defensive midfield presence with high tackles and interceptions, likely to disrupt Union Berlin's attack.
Union Berlin missing key defenders and attackers
Union Berlin's confirmed outs include key defenders and attackers, weakening their defensive and offensive capabilities.
Augsburg's positive scoring streak at home
Augsburg has scored in all recent home matches, supporting the predicted 4-goal output.
The context
FC Augsburg currently sit 6th in the league with 8 points from 5 games, boasting a significantly better goal difference of 17 compared to Union Berlin's 16th place with 4 points. Historically, Augsburg hold a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won 6 of their 16 encounters against Union Berlin's 5 victories, with 5 draws.
Key insights
- C
C. Brackelmann
FC Augsburg
Brackelmann's passing accuracy and duel win rate significantly bolster Augsburg's defence.
Bundesliga 26/27Passing accuracy 77% above league average; duel win rate 70.8% vs 52.7%
- F
F. Rieder
FC Augsburg
Rieder's tackling and defensive contributions disrupt Union Berlin's attacks effectively.
Bundesliga 26/273 tackles per game vs league avg 1.18; duel win rate 67.4% vs 50.7%
- M
M. Gregoritsch
FC Augsburg
Gregoritsch remains a strong goal threat despite recent injury absence, boosting Augsburg's attack.
Bundesliga 26/27Top scorer in recent matches with high match ratings
Analysis
Augsburg's defensive solidity is bolstered by standout performers like C. Brackelmann and F. Rieder, whose tackling and duel win rates are well above league averages. Their midfield dominance, particularly through Rieder and Behrens, is likely to disrupt Union Berlin's attacking rhythm. Meanwhile, Union Berlin face challenges with key defenders and attackers missing, weakening both their defensive and offensive capabilities. Augsburg's positive scoring streak at home further supports the prediction of a high-scoring game in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.FC Augsburg have won 6 of 16 head-to-head matches against Union Berlin, who have 5 wins.
- 2.Augsburg rank 6th with 8 points from 5 games; Union Berlin are 16th with 4 points.
- 3.Augsburg's goal difference of 17 is significantly better than Union Berlin's this season.
- 4.C. Brackelmann boasts a passing accuracy 77% above league average for defenders.
- 5.F. Rieder averages 3 tackles per game, well above the league average of 1.18.
- 6.Union Berlin are missing key defenders and attackers, weakening their squad.
- 7.Augsburg have scored in all recent home matches, indicating strong attacking form.
Prediction
The forecast is a confident 4-1 victory for FC Augsburg, with a halftime lead of 2-0. This scoreline aligns with the highest probability among home win outcomes and reflects Augsburg's superior form and tactical advantages. Expect Augsburg to assert control early and maintain their dominance throughout the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Augsburg
Away — Union Berlin
The verdict
In summary, FC Augsburg's combination of strong league performance, key player contributions, and home advantage sets the stage for a convincing win over Union Berlin. While the visitors will strive to upset the odds, the evidence points to a comfortable home victory with plenty of goals to enjoy.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 15:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Brackelmann
Uduokhai
Red Card
Burcu
Haberer
Yellow Card
Querfeld
Yellow Card
Skarke
Abdulay Bah
Red Card
Massengo
Assist: Rieder
Ibrahimović
Wolf
Haberer
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Gray
Yellow Card
Kade
Massengo
Aebischer
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Match Statistics
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. DahmenG
- 2C. BrackelmannD
- 4H. MassengoM
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 21A. IbrahimovićM
- 27M. WolfM
- 30A. KadeM
- 32F. RiederM
- 35Abdulay BahD
Substitutes
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 7Seol Young-WooD
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 10M. KömürM
- 14Y. KeitelM
- 19R. FellhauerM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 37T. SchnitzerM
- 39U. OgunduF
Union Berlin
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1F. RønnowG
- 2F. UduokhaiD
- 4Z. Van Den BoschD
- 8R. KhediraM
- 9Livan BurcuM
- 11Jeong Woo-YeongM
- 13A. SchäferM
- 15T. RotheD
- 19J. HabererD
- 20M. AebischerM
- 21T. SkarkeF
Substitutes
- 6A. KemleinM
- 7O. BurkeF
- 14L. QuerfeldD
- 17D. KöhnD
- 27M. LjubiÄiÄF
- 28C. TrimmelD
- 29E. Latte LathF
- 31M. RaabG
- 32M. GrayF
FC Augsburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Massengo | M | 89 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Rieder | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| C. Matsima | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Fellhauer | M | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | — |
| F. Dahmen | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Ogundu | F | 1 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennes Behrens | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| C. Brackelmann | D | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kade | M | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| M. Kömür | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Ibrahimović | M | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Seol Young-Woo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Keitel | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Schnitzer | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Labrović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Union Berlin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Querfeld | D | 65 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Rønnow | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeong Woo-Yeong | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Skarke | F | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Burke | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Schäfer | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Haberer | D | 90 | 6.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Livan Burcu | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Gray | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Van Den Bosch | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rothe | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Khedira | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| F. Uduokhai | D | 19 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. LjubiÄiÄ | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kemlein | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Trimmel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Köhn | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Raab | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Augsburg to win against Union Berlin.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Augsburg 4–1 Union Berlin.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
- Fipster's model gave FC Augsburg a 85% chance of winning, Union Berlin a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.