FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05
Your time to shine.
Fancy your chances? Challenge a mate on this game.
Challenge a friendFC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05 face off in what promises to be a tight Bundesliga encounter. Both sides have shown similar form and league standing, setting the stage for a competitive match with plenty of goalmouth action.
The context
This fixture sees two teams with a balanced head-to-head record, each having won nine of their 20 meetings, with an average of nearly three goals per game. Mainz currently sit just above Augsburg in the league table, but the points gap is minimal, reflecting their comparable recent performances.
Match factors
Gregoritsch's home scoring form vs Mainz defense
Gregoritsch has scored 4 goals in 5 home games, exploiting Mainz's average defensive record at away matches
Rieder's creative output boosts Augsburg attack
Rieder leads Augsburg with 5 assists in 9 games, well above league average for midfielders
Mainz's Tietz maintains strong scoring consistency
Tietz has 6 goals in 9 games, including 4 away goals, showing consistent threat on the road
Becker's dual threat as scorer and assister
Becker contributes 2 goals and 4 assists, providing Mainz with versatile attacking options
No confirmed injuries, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed absences, allowing full strength lineups and tactical plans
Analysis
Augsburg's Michael Gregoritsch has been in fine form at home, netting four goals in five matches, making him a key threat against Mainz's average away defensive record. Fabian Rieder's creative spark, leading Augsburg with five assists, adds another dimension to their attack. Mainz will rely on Phillip Tietz, their top scorer with six goals, including four on the road, and Sheraldo Becker's dual role as scorer and assister to challenge Augsburg's defence. Both teams are expected to field full-strength lineups, which should make for an open and entertaining contest.
Key insights
Michael Gregoritsch
FC Augsburg
Gregoritsch has been clinical at home, scoring 4 goals in 5 matches, exploiting Mainz's average away defence.
Bundesliga 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 4 at home
Fabian Rieder
FC Augsburg
Rieder's creativity is a major boost, leading Augsburg with 5 assists in 9 games, well above average for midfielders.
Bundesliga 26/275 assists in 9 appearances
Phillip Tietz
FSV Mainz 05
Tietz maintains strong scoring consistency, with 6 goals in 9 games including 4 away, posing a constant threat.
Bundesliga 26/276 goals in 9 appearances, 4 away
Sheraldo Becker
FSV Mainz 05
Becker's dual threat as scorer and assister makes him a key creative force for Mainz.
Bundesliga 26/274 assists and 2 goals in 9 appearances
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for FC Augsburg with a 3-2 final scoreline, reflecting the likelihood of a closely fought match with goals at both ends. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, indicating an evenly matched first half before Augsburg pull ahead in the second.
Key facts
- 1.FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05 have each won 9 of their 20 meetings, with 2 draws.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating open play.
- 3.FSV Mainz 05 currently rank 11th in the league, just above FC Augsburg in 13th.
- 4.Michael Gregoritsch has scored 5 goals in 8 games, including 4 at home.
- 5.Phillip Tietz leads Mainz with 6 goals in 9 games, 4 of which are away.
- 6.Fabian Rieder tops Augsburg's assists chart with 5 in 9 games.
- 7.Sheraldo Becker leads Mainz in assists with 4 in 9 games.
- 8.Both teams are expected to have full squads available for this match.
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter with Augsburg just edging Mainz in a game that could easily have gone either way. Key players on both sides are poised to make an impact, promising an entertaining afternoon of Bundesliga football.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Augsburg
Away — FSV Mainz 05
Prediction generated 9 Nov 2026, 06:18 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 21 |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- Fipster's AI model predicts FC Augsburg to win against FSV Mainz 05.
- What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- Fipster predicts a final score of FC Augsburg 3–2 FSV Mainz 05.
- What are the win probabilities for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- Fipster's model gives FC Augsburg a 47% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 47% confidence — a medium-confidence call.