FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
Augsburg's clinical display stuns Schalke
Gregoritsch and late goals seal a convincing home victory.
FC Augsburg delivered a commanding 3-0 win over FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga, with M. Gregoritsch opening the scoring in the first half. A. Kade and Rodrigo Ribeiro added to the tally after the break, including a stoppage-time finish to cap off the dominant performance. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Schalke away win, turning the fixture into a surprising home triumph.
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with FC Augsburg facing off against FC Schalke 04. Both sides are eager to set the tone early, with Augsburg looking to build on last season's mid-table finish and Schalke aiming to make a strong impression after their promotion.
Key facts
- 1.FC Augsburg finished 9th in the Bundesliga last season with 43 points from 34 games.
- 2.FC Schalke 04 have a better goal difference than Augsburg from last season.
- 3.D. Giannoulis departed Augsburg during the summer transfer window.
- 4.This is the first competitive match of the 2026-27 season for both teams.
- 5.The predicted total number of cards in the match is four.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the 2026-27 season for both teams. Augsburg finished ninth last season with 43 points from 34 games, while Schalke return to this level after a spell away. Augsburg have parted ways with D. Giannoulis over the summer, which could impact their defensive options.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Augsburg
Away — FC Schalke 04
Analysis
The prediction leans towards an away win for Schalke, supported by their superior goal difference last season and a slightly higher aggregate probability for victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in Schalke's favour, suggesting a closely contested match with both sides finding the net. Expect a moderately physical game, with around four cards anticipated.
Prediction
We see Schalke 04 clinching a 2-1 win over Augsburg in this season opener. The visitors' attacking edge and overall team strength should just about tip the balance in their favour, despite Augsburg's home advantage and solid league standing last term.
The verdict
As the Bundesliga season gets underway, this match promises a competitive start with Schalke narrowly prevailing. Fans can look forward to a spirited contest that sets the tone for what should be an intriguing campaign ahead.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gregoritsch
Assist: Kade
Rieder
Yellow Card
Kuruçay
Becker
Adamu
Schallenberg
Red Card
Fellhauer
Katić
Kade
Assist: Rieder
Rieder
Gregoritsch
Aouchiche
Wolf
Ribeiro
Assist: Seol Young-Woo
Brackelmann
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
Match Statistics
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. DahmenG
- 2C. BrackelmannD
- 4H. MassengoM
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 19R. FellhauerF
- 27M. WolfM
- 30A. KadeF
- 32F. RiederM
- 40Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksD
Substitutes
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 7Seol Young-WooD
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 10M. KömürM
- 14Y. KeitelM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 34N. MbukuF
- 37T. SchnitzerM
- 39U. OgunduF
FC Schalke 04
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1L. KariusG
- 4H. KuruçayD
- 5T. BeckerD
- 6R. SchallenbergM
- 9M. SyllaF
- 20J. AdamuF
- 21D. LjubičićM
- 23S. El-FaouziM
- 24A. AouchicheF
- 25N. KatićD
- 33Vitalie BeckerM
Substitutes
- 8R. GosensD
- 10E. DžekoF
- 13S. TanakaM
- 14J. BachmannM
- 22K. MüllerG
- 29J. Dina EbimbeM
- 38L. VozarM
- 39M. WöberD
- 43M. AyhanD
FC Augsburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Kade | F | 90 | 9.3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Marius Wolf | M | 90 | 8.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1/1 |
| Finn Dahmen | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Gregoritsch | F | 83 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Fabian Rieder(C) | M | 83 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Chrislain Matsima | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Han-Noah Massengo | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Noahkai Banks | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Robin Fellhauer | F | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Hennes Behrens | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nediljko Labrović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Gouweleeuw | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathanaël Mbuku | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Young-woo Seol | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Uchenna Ogundu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannik Keitel | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Schnitzer | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Kömür | M | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
FC Schalke 04
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loris Karius | G | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Katić | D | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Soufiane El-Faouzi | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Vitalie Becker | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Dejan Ljubičić | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Adil Aouchiche | F | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/3 |
| Hasan Kuruçay | D | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Sylla | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ron Schallenberg | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Timo Becker(C) | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Adamu | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luca Vozar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mertcan Ayhan | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Satoshi Tanaka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Janik Bachmann | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Müller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ebimbe | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Robin Gosens | D | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Edin Džeko | F | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Wöber | D | 28 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Schalke 04 to win against FC Augsburg.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Augsburg 1–2 FC Schalke 04.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
- Fipster's model gave FC Augsburg a 7% chance of winning, FC Schalke 04 a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.