FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Augsburg fight back to deny Leverkusen
Gregoritsch's brace turns the tide before Schick's late reply.
Bayer Leverkusen took an early lead through Christian Kofane, but FC Augsburg stormed back after the break with two goals from M. Gregoritsch to seize control. P. Schick pulled one back for Leverkusen in the 89th minute, but it wasn't enough to secure the win. This 2-2 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving Augsburg's resilience on home turf.
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with FC Augsburg facing Bayer Leverkusen, known as the Werkself. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing opener.
Key facts
- 1.FC Augsburg have signed Hennes Behrens ahead of the new season.
- 2.Bayer Leverkusen have added Afonso Moreira, Kerim-Sam Alajbegović, and Miguel Gutiérrez to their squad.
- 3.Bayer Leverkusen have a significantly better goal difference (+21) compared to FC Augsburg (-16) from last season.
- 4.The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Bayer Leverkusen.
- 5.The forecast fulltime score is 1-2, with Bayer Leverkusen winning away.
- 6.Three cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
- 7.This is the first competitive fixture of the new Bundesliga season for both teams.
The context
FC Augsburg have strengthened their ranks with the signing of Hennes Behrens, while parting ways with D. Giannoulis, K. Schlotterbeck, and C. Zesiger. Bayer Leverkusen have bolstered their squad by bringing in Afonso Moreira, Kerim-Sam Alajbegović, and Miguel Gutiérrez, offsetting the departures of Álex Grimaldo and E. Poku, who is on loan. These changes suggest a fresh dynamic as both sides look to start the campaign positively.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FC Augsburg
No standout best passers flagged for FC Augsburg
Away — Bayer Leverkusen
Analysis
Looking at the teams' overall capabilities, Bayer Leverkusen hold a clear advantage in goal difference from last season, indicating a stronger offensive and defensive balance. The Werkself's summer acquisitions add depth and quality, likely giving them the edge in this encounter. The predicted halftime score of 0-1 reflects Leverkusen's ability to start strongly, while Augsburg's resilience is expected to keep them in the game until the final whistle.
Prediction
The forecast is for Bayer Leverkusen to claim a 2-1 victory, with the away side taking an early lead and maintaining their advantage despite Augsburg's efforts to equalise. The match is expected to feature three cards, suggesting a competitive but fair contest.
The verdict
As the Bundesliga season gets underway, this fixture promises a competitive start with Bayer Leverkusen's quality and summer reinforcements likely to prove decisive. Augsburg will be eager to challenge but may find the Werkself just a touch too strong on the day.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Christian Kofane
Assist: Tapsoba
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
Yellow Card
Gregoritsch
Assist: Behrens
Gregoritsch
Assist: Rieder
Ibrahimović
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Christian Kofane
Quansah
Doué
Yellow Card
Moreira
Fernández
Wolf
Fellhauer
Medina
Massengo
Gregoritsch
Schick
Assist: Tillman
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
Match Statistics
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. DahmenG
- 2C. BrackelmannD
- 4H. MassengoM
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 19R. FellhauerM
- 21A. IbrahimovićM
- 27M. WolfM
- 32F. RiederM
- 40Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksD
Substitutes
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 7Seol Young-WooD
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 10M. KömürM
- 14Y. KeitelM
- 20A. Claude-MauriceM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 35Abdulay BahD
- 39U. OgunduF
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. FlekkenG
- 2F. MedinaD
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 4J. QuansahD
- 6E. FernándezM
- 9Afonso MoreiraM
- 12E. TapsobaD
- 19M. DiabyM
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 30I. MazaM
- 35Christian KofaneF
Substitutes
- 5L. BadéD
- 7J. HofmannM
- 8R. AndrichM
- 10M. TillmanM
- 11M. TerrierF
- 14P. SchickF
- 17Lucas VázquezD
- 20G. DouéD
- 28J. BlaswichG
FC Augsburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 85 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Rieder | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Brackelmann | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Matsima | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Massengo | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennes Behrens | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Fellhauer | M | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Kömür | M | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Claude-Maurice | M | 32 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Dahmen | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Keitel | M | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seol Young-Woo | D | 13 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ibrahimović | M | 58 | 5.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Labrović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Ogundu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schick | F | 27 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Christian Kofane | F | 63 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aleix García | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1/1 |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 76 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| J. Quansah | D | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Terrier | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Flekken | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diaby | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| F. Medina | D | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Maza | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Doué | D | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 14 | 6.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Blaswich | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hofmann | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Andrich | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Badé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bayer Leverkusen to win against FC Augsburg.
- What score did Fipster predict for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FC Augsburg 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen.
- What were the win probabilities for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's model gave FC Augsburg a 10% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen a 80% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 80% confidence — a high-confidence call.