Faroe Islands vs Slovakia
Faroe Islands snatch draw against Slovakia
A late equaliser cancels out an own goal in a tight Nations League clash.
The UEFA Nations League encounter between Faroe Islands and Slovakia ended in a 1-1 stalemate. Slovakia's G. Vatnhamar inadvertently put his side behind with an own goal just before half-time, but A. Justinussen restored parity for the hosts in the second half. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, as the Faroese held firm to claim a share of the spoils.
Outcome probability
The upcoming League C fixture between Faroe Islands and Slovakia promises a closely contested battle. Both teams have shown solid form in the competition so far, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.
Match factors
Faroe Islands' top scorer in form
Áki Debes Samuelsen has scored 1 goal in 1 home game this season, exceeding league attacker average
Slovakia's defender Ivan Schranz scoring threat
Ivan Schranz has 1 goal in 1 appearance, an unusually high rate for a defender
Slovakia's strong recent form
Slovakia has won both recent matches scoring 2 goals per game on average
Faroe Islands' assist leader Edmundsson key for set-pieces
Andrias Edmundsson provides strong crossing and set-piece delivery, aiding scoring chances
Slovakia's creative midfielder Suslov to unlock defense
Tomáš Suslov's assist record and passing suggest key role in creating scoring opportunities
The context
Faroe Islands have drawn both of their matches in this competition, scoring and conceding two goals. Slovakia, on the other hand, have won both their games, netting four goals and conceding just one. This sets up a fascinating clash between a resilient home side and a confident away team.
Key insights
Áki Debes Samuelsen
Faroe Islands
Has scored 1 goal in 1 home game this season, exceeding the league attacker average and acting as a key focal point in attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance, 0.5 goals/90 last 5 games
Ivan Schranz
Slovakia
Unusually high scoring defender with 1 goal in 1 appearance, posing a threat on set pieces and offensive plays.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance, 0.5 goals/90 last 5 games
Andrias Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
Top assister with strong crossing and set-piece delivery, crucial for creating scoring chances.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 1 appearance, 0.5 assists/90 last 5 games
Tomáš Suslov
Slovakia
Creative midfielder with a key role in unlocking defences, providing assists and high involvement in attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 1 appearance, 0.5 assists/90 last 5 games
Analysis
The probabilities for this match are finely balanced, with home and away wins both holding a 32% chance and draws close behind at 30%. Among potential scorelines, a 2-1 win for Faroe Islands stands out as the most likely outcome. Key to the hosts' chances is Áki Debes Samuelsen, who boasts a strong scoring record at home, while Slovakia's Ivan Schranz offers an unusual goal threat from defence. Assist leaders Andrias Edmundsson and Tomáš Suslov will also be pivotal in creating chances for their sides.
Key facts
- 1.Faroe Islands have drawn both matches in this competition, scoring 2 and conceding 2 goals.
- 2.Slovakia have won both matches in this competition, scoring 4 and conceding 1 goal.
- 3.Home and away wins both have aggregated probabilities of 0.32, draws close at 0.30, indicating a balanced match with slight home advantage.
- 4.Áki Debes Samuelsen scored in the last home match and has a scoring rate of 0.5 goals per 90 minutes in this competition.
- 5.Ivan Schranz, a defender for Slovakia, has an unusually high scoring rate with 1 goal in 1 appearance.
- 6.Andrias Edmundsson leads assists for Faroe Islands with 1 assist in 1 game, excelling in set-piece delivery.
- 7.Tomáš Suslov is a key creative midfielder for Slovakia with 1 assist in 1 game.
Prediction
Despite the tight odds, the prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Faroe Islands. Their home advantage and recent form, combined with the attacking contributions of Samuelsen and Edmundsson, give them a slight edge over Slovakia's solid but less prolific defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Faroe Islands
Away — Slovakia
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with moments of quality from both sides. Faroe Islands are tipped to clinch a narrow win, but Slovakia will be no pushovers. Fans should prepare for a game where every goal counts.
Prediction generated 29 Sep 2026, 20:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Vatnhamar (OG)
Danielsen
Yellow Card
Sauer
Kallsberg
Knudsen
Ďuriš
Rigo
Turi
Yellow Card
Justinussen
Edmundsson
Yellow Card
Boženík
Valjent
Bjartalíð
Match Statistics
Faroe Islands
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1M. LamhaugeG
- 2J. DanielsenD
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 7J. BjartalíðM
- 11P. KnudsenF
- 13M. AgnarssonD
- 14P. KallsbergM
- 15O. FærøD
- 16G. VatnhamarD
- 20H. SørensenM
- 21G. TuriM
Substitutes
- 3V. í DavidsenD
- 4S. ChukwudiD
- 6E. JoensenM
- 8H. VatnsdalD
- 9J. NielsenF
- 10Á. SamuelsenF
- 12A. PetersenG
- 17A. JustinussenF
- 18A. BenjaminsenF
- 19J. BenjaminsenD
- 22M. HellisdalM
- 23B. ReynatrodG
Slovakia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2I. MesíkD
- 3D. VavroD
- 4M. ValjentD
- 7L. SauerF
- 9R. BoženíkF
- 10T. SuslovM
- 14M. ŠkriniarD
- 19T. RigoM
- 20D. ĎurišF
- 22S. LobotkaM
- 23D. GreifG
Substitutes
- 1M. DúbravkaG
- 5Ľ. ŠatkaD
- 6P. PokornýM
- 8O. DudaM
- 11T. BobčekF
- 12D. TakáčG
- 13A. KaprálikF
- 15D. StrelecF
- 16D. HanckoD
- 17L. HaraslínM
- 18I. SchranzF
- 21E. PrekopF
Faroe Islands
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Justinussen | F | 35 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Færø | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Á. Samuelsen | F | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| P. Knudsen | F | 55 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| H. Sørensen | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| A. Edmundsson | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| M. Agnarsson | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nielsen | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Turi | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Lamhauge | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bjartalíð | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Danielsen | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Vatnhamar | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Kallsberg | M | 55 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Chukwudi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Joensen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hellisdal | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Benjaminsen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. í Davidsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Reynatrod | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Vatnsdal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Petersen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Benjaminsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Slovakia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Suslov | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| M. Škriniar | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Vavro | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Valjent | D | 82 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 63 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| D. Strelec | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Sauer | F | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| I. Mesík | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Lobotka | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Hancko | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Schranz | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Haraslín | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| D. Ďuriš | F | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| R. Boženík | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Duda | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ľ. Šatka | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dúbravka | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pokorný | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Takáč | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kaprálik | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Prekop | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bobček | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Faroe Islands to win against Slovakia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Faroe Islands 2–1 Slovakia.
- What were the win probabilities for Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
- Fipster's model gave Faroe Islands a 35% chance of winning, Slovakia a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.