Famalicao vs Maritimo
Maritimo snatch late win at Famalicao
Maurice Osei Boakye's stoppage-time strike seals a dramatic 2-1 victory.
Famalicao started brightly with an early goal from F. van Breemen, but Maritimo responded through M. Diouri before the break. The visitors clinched the win in stoppage time thanks to Maurice Osei Boakye's decisive strike, overturning Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win. A tough day for the hosts as Maritimo steal the points at the death.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Famalicao and Maritimo face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. With fresh summer business and a chance to set the tone early, both sides will be eager to start on the front foot.
Key insights
- P
Paulo Moreira
Famalicao
The arrival of Paulo Moreira adds fresh options to Famalicao’s attacking lineup.
Primeira Liga 26/27Signed on a free transfer
- G
G. Szalai
Maritimo
G. Szalai on loan aims to boost Maritimo’s attacking threat in their top-flight return.
Primeira Liga 26/27Loan signing
The context
Famalicao remain in the Primeira Liga after finishing 5th last season with 56 points, showcasing solid form and a positive goal difference. Maritimo, newly promoted, enter this top-flight challenge with fresh faces but no prior league data this season, making their prospects less certain.
Key facts
- 1.Famalicao finished 5th last season with 56 points and a +13 goal difference.
- 2.Maritimo are newly promoted with no current-season league data.
- 3.Famalicao signed Paulo Moreira on a free transfer during the summer.
- 4.Maritimo added G. Szalai on loan ahead of the new season.
- 5.Famalicao released J. de Haas and Rafa Soares in the off-season.
- 6.The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Famalicao.
- 7.Home win probability significantly exceeds draw and away win probabilities.
- 8.Famalicao have a points-per-game advantage over Maritimo from last season.
Analysis
Famalicao have strengthened their squad with the arrival of Paulo Moreira on a free transfer, while releasing a few players including J. de Haas and Rafa Soares. Maritimo have brought in G. Szalai on loan to bolster their ranks. The home side's superior league standing and squad depth suggest they hold the advantage, with a likely tight scoreline reflecting Maritimo's resilience.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Famalicao. The home win is the most probable outcome, supported by the highest aggregate probability and the most likely full-time scoreline. Expect a closely contested match with Famalicao edging it by a single goal.
The verdict
Famalicao's experience and summer reinforcements should see them through a competitive opener against Maritimo. While the newcomers will put up a fight, the home side's quality and form point to a deserved 2-1 win to kick off their campaign.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
van Breemen
Assist: Aranda
Diouri
Butzke
Yellow Card
Paulo Moreira
Francisco
Aranda
van Breemen
Yellow Card
Julião
Yellow Card
Tejón
Butzke
Koutsias
Diouri
Sorriso
Rodrigo Andrade
Danilović
Maurice Osei Boakye
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 5 |  GIL Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Maritimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Estrela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Academico Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. RealpeD
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 6T. van de LooiM
- 7SorrisoM
- 11Óscar ArandaM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 19Paulo MoreiraM
- 25L. CarevićG
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
- 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 5L. MeyerD
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 9U. AbubakarF
- 10Pedro SantosF
- 18R. BeneyF
- 21Tamás SzücsM
- 23Gil DiasF
- 30V. SerafimovićD
- 36M. MattaraD
- 91R. AlmeidaF
Maritimo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Igor JuliãoD
- 4Rafael FernandesD
- 6Rodrigo AndradeM
- 10Martín TejónF
- 11M. DiouriF
- 13Alfonso PastorG
- 14Raphael GuzzoM
- 17Adrián ButzkeF
- 18V. DanilovićM
- 23Paulo HenriqueD
- 44Romain CorreiaD
Substitutes
- 1Gonçalo TabuaçoG
- 15Tomás TavaresD
- 22G. SzalaiD
- 27S. BambaF
- 30Fran VieitesG
- 35B. LimbombeF
- 66I. AyumaM
- 68N. BatistaM
- 90Maurice Osei BoakyeF
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn van Breemen | D | 92 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Léo Realpe | D | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tom Van De Looi(C) | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Óscar Aranda | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sorriso | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 3/4 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Pedro Bondo | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Georgios Koutsias | F | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Carević | G | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vojin Serafimović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romeo Beney | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Zlobin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tamás Szűcs | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudi Almeida | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Mattara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leny Meyer | D | 47 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Santos | F | 47 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Umar Abubakar | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Dias | F | 47 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
Maritimo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simo Bouzaidi | F | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Martín Tejón | F | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Romain Correia(C) | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Vladan Danilović | M | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Julião | D | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bryan Limbombe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Vieites | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Tabuaço | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gábor Szalai | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Israel Ayuma | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelio Batista | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Tavares | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Boakye | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Samuel Bamba | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |