Famalicao vs Alverca
Match recap
Famalicao beat Alverca 1–0 in their Primeira Liga fixture. Abubakar scored for Famalicao. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.56 for Famalicao versus 0.46 for Alverca. Famalicao sit 5th in the Primeira Liga table while Alverca are 11th.
Analysis
As the regular season nears its climax, Famalicao host Alverca in a match where home advantage and form suggest a narrow victory for the hosts.
Famalicao sit comfortably in 5th place with 56 points, well ahead of 11th-placed Alverca on 39 points. Historically, Famalicao have dominated this fixture, winning two of their three previous encounters without a single draw.
Famalicao's superior goal difference (+13) compared to Alverca's -17 highlights their stronger offense and defense. Key players like midfielder Sorriso, with 5 goals and 4 assists this season, and defender J. de Haas, an unusually high-scoring defender, bolster their chances. Alverca's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding 1.7 goals per away game, further tip the scales in Famalicao's favour.
Prediction
Expect a tight contest with Famalicao edging a 1-0 win. The halftime score is likely to mirror this with a 1-0 lead, reflecting their ability to maintain defensive discipline and capitalise on scoring opportunities. The match should see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Famalicao's Defensive Solidity at Home
Famalicao concedes only 0.7 goals per home game, better than league average, likely to contain Alverca's attack.
Superior Goal Conversion from Midfielders
Famalicao midfielders like Sorriso and Gil Dias have above-average goal and assist rates, boosting scoring chances.
Famalicao's Positive Home Scoring Streak
Famalicao has scored in all last 5 home games, indicating strong attacking momentum at home.
Alverca's Defensive Vulnerabilities Away
Alverca concedes 1.7 goals per away game, significantly higher than league average, exposing defensive weakness.
Key Player Matchups Favor Famalicao
Famalicao's defenders like Justin De Haas outperform Alverca attackers in duels and tackles, likely to disrupt attacks.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Famalicao's home strength, better form, and key player contributions make them favourites to secure a narrow 1-0 victory over Alverca, continuing their positive momentum as the season closes.
- Famalicao are 5th with 56 points; Alverca are 11th with 39 points.
- Famalicao have won 2 of 3 previous meetings against Alverca, with no draws.
- Famalicao's goal difference (+13) is substantially better than Alverca's (-17).
- Famalicao concede only 0.7 goals per home game, better than league average.
- Alverca concede 1.7 goals per away game, indicating defensive weakness.
- Sorriso has 5 goals and 4 assists this season, key to Famalicao's attack.
- J. de Haas, a defender, has scored 5 goals this season, a notable threat on set pieces.
- Famalicao have scored in all last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Famalicao
Away — Alverca
No standout top scorers flagged for Alverca
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zoubdi
Yellow Card
van de Looi
Yellow Card
Elisor
Rhaldney
Dias
van de Looi
Abubakar
Assist: Rafa Soares
Chiquinho
Yellow Card
Sorriso
Gustavo Sá
Figueiredo
Lincoln
Sandro Lima
Zoubdi
Match Statistics
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Leonardo Javier Realpe MontañoD
- 5Rafa SoaresD
- 6Tom van de LooiM
- 7SorrisoM
- 12Simon ElisorF
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 16Justin de HaasD
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 20Gustavo SáM
- 23Gil DiasM
- 25Lazar CarevićG
Substitutes
- 1Ivan ZlobinG
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 9Umar AbubakarF
- 18Roméo BeneyF
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
- 36M. MattaraD
- 77Antoine JoujouF
- 80Pedro SantosF
Alverca
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2ZoubdiM
- 4Kaiky NavesD
- 10ChiquinhoF
- 14Steven BaseyaD
- 15I. JulianD
- 18LincolnM
- 20FigueiredoF
- 26RhaldneyM
- 31Matheus MendesG
- 82Diogo Filipe Spencer MarquesM
- 91Sandro LimaF
Substitutes
- 1Mateus OliveiraG
- 5Sergi GómezD
- 6Davy Jean Carl Kamon GuiM
- 11Cédric NuozziF
- 17Vasco MoreiraM
- 35Z. KassaryM
- 37Kauan GomesD
- 77Felipe Lima
- 98Fabrício GarciaF
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa Soares | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Justin De Haas | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Realpe | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Carević | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Simon Elisor | F | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tom Van De Looi | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Sá(C) | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Gil Dias | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ivan Zlobin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Joujou | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Mattara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umar Abubakar | F | 25 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Romeo Beney | F | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Alverca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiky Naves(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Baseya | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rhaldney | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Chiquinho | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Diogo Spencer | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Matheus Mendes | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lincoln | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Sandro Lima | F | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ikker dos Santos | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Figueiredo | F | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Nabil Touaizi | M | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sergi Gómez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Oliveira | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasco Moreira | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cédric Nuozzi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Lima | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan Gomes | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Kassary | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davy Gui | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |