Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor
Match recap
Kocaelispor beat Eyüpspor 2–0 in their Süper Lig fixture. Agyei and Kutlu scored for Kocaelispor. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.26 for Eyüpspor versus 1.00 for Kocaelispor. Eyüpspor sit 14th in the Süper Lig table while Kocaelispor are 4th.
Outcome probability
Eyüpspor and Kocaelispor face off in the 11th round of the regular season, with both sides eager to improve their standings. Kocaelispor currently enjoy better form and sit higher in the league table, while Eyüpspor look to find their scoring touch.
Match factors
Kocaelispor's midfield dominance
Berkan Kutlu's scoring and playmaking form gives Kocaelispor a creative edge in midfield.
Eyüpspor's scoring struggles
Eyüpspor averages only 0.3 goals per game with 80% games failing to score, limiting their attacking threat.
Kocaelispor's better recent form
Kocaelispor has won 50% of recent games and scored in 4 of last 5, contrasting Eyüpspor's poor run.
Zak Jules' dual threat
Jules contributes defensively and offensively with assists and goal, enhancing Eyüpspor's set-piece threat.
Kocaelispor's defensive solidity
Kocaelispor concedes less than 1 goal per game, better than Eyüpspor's 2.8, likely to limit home scoring.
The context
The head-to-head record between these two sides is fairly balanced, with Kocaelispor holding a slight edge having won three of their six encounters. Kocaelispor's recent league form is stronger, boasting six points from three games compared to Eyüpspor's three points. This suggests a competitive match but with Kocaelispor as favourites.
Key insights
Berkan Kutlu
Kocaelispor
Kutlu's scoring and playmaking form gives Kocaelispor a creative edge in midfield.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 10 apps, 0.4 avg per game, 3 goals in last 5 matches
Ahmed Abdullahi
Eyüpspor
Abdullahi is Eyüpspor's key attacking outlet but struggles to score consistently.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 8 apps, 0.25 avg per game, 1 goal in last 5 away games
Zak Jules
Eyüpspor
Jules contributes both defensively and offensively, enhancing set-piece threat.
Süper Lig 26/271 assist in 10 apps, 0.1 avg per game, 90% passing accuracy
Analysis
Kocaelispor's midfield dynamo Berkan Kutlu leads the charge with four goals this season, including three in his last five matches, providing a creative and scoring edge. Eyüpspor's top scorer Ahmed Abdullahi has struggled to find the net consistently, with only two goals this season and limited scoring in recent away games. Defensively, Kocaelispor concede fewer goals per game than Eyüpspor, which could limit the home side's attacking threat. Zak Jules offers Eyüpspor some set-piece threat, but overall Kocaelispor's form and defensive solidity give them the upper hand.
Key facts
- 1.Kocaelispor rank 4th with 6 points from 3 games; Eyüpspor rank 14th with 3 points.
- 2.In 6 meetings, Kocaelispor have won 3, Eyüpspor 2, with 1 draw.
- 3.Kocaelispor average 2.00 points per game, double Eyüpspor's 1.00.
- 4.Berkan Kutlu is Kocaelispor's top scorer with 4 goals this season.
- 5.Eyüpspor struggle offensively, averaging 0.3 goals per game.
- 6.Kocaelispor concede less than 1 goal per game, better than Eyüpspor's 2.8.
- 7.Zak Jules contributes both defensively and offensively for Eyüpspor.
Prediction
We expect Kocaelispor to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 0-1. Eyüpspor will respond in the second half, but Kocaelispor's quality should see them edge the match 2-1. The game is likely to feature a few cards, with three predicted in total.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Eyüpspor
Away — Kocaelispor
The verdict
In a closely contested match, Kocaelispor's superior form and midfield creativity should prove decisive. Eyüpspor will fight hard, but the visitors are favoured to leave with all three points in a 2-1 win.
Prediction generated 3 Nov 2026, 06:10 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Agyei
Show
Pintor
Kutlu
Assist: Rivas
Boutobba
Sabiri
Ömer Ahmet Ceyhan
Bingöl
Yellow Card
Baku
Ayé
Rivas
Yellow Card
Jules
Yellow Card
Rivas
Agyei
Yellow Card
Susoho Sissoho
Massanga
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Eyüpspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Eyüpspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4A. YaşarD
- 5J. El YamiqD
- 10A. SabiriM
- 11L. PintorM
- 15C. Raux YaoM
- 29A. AbdullahiF
- 31H. MoldovanG
- 33Z. JulesD
- 44Ömer Ahmet CeyhanD
- 88C. MassangaM
- 98B. BoutobbaM
Substitutes
- 1E. BilginG
- 3A. PopovD
- 8David CostaM
- 9Y. BarasıF
- 18H. AkmanM
- 27Yigit DemirD
- 28T. İlterM
- 42Kutlay Satli BerhanD
- 53M. KarakaşD
- 84Christ SadiaM
Kocaelispor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2A. DijksteelD
- 5E. OrtakayaD
- 7D. AgyeiM
- 10B. KutluM
- 14ShowM
- 20Mahamadou Susoho SissohoM
- 22U. YıldızD
- 32M. BakuM
- 83S. ÖztaşdelenG
- 97F. AyéF
- 99R. RivasD
Substitutes
- 3M. CinanD
- 6M. MaglicaD
- 8T. GulliksenM
- 11Gonçalo Santos SousaF
- 17Arda OzyarF
- 23O. PiriG
- 26M. AltunbaşF
- 27Ege BilimM
- 41O. ÖztongaD
- 75T. BingölD
Eyüpspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horațiu Moldovan | G | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Andre Raux Yao | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Chandrel Massanga | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Jawad El Yamiq(C) | D | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar | D | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ömer Ahmet Ceyhan | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bilal Boutobba | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Lenny Pintor | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zak Jules | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ahmed Abdullahi | F | 83 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yiğit Demir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Yavuz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taşkın Ilter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emre Bilgin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamza Akman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Musa Karakas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Barası | F | 38 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| David Costa | M | 38 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Berhan Satli | D | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christ Sadia | M | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
Kocaelispor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Show | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berkan Kutlu | M | 83 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Emir Ortakaya | D | 83 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rigoberto Rivas | D | 83 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel(C) | D | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | M | 83 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/5 |
| Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | G | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Ayé | F | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Makana Baku | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Arda Ozyar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ege Bilim | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matej Maglica | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onur Öztonga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onurcan Piri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muharrem Cinan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tayfur Bingöl | D | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Gonçalo Sousa | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Metehan Altunbaş | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kocaelispor to win against Eyüpspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Eyüpspor 1–2 Kocaelispor.
- What were the win probabilities for Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
- Fipster's model gave Eyüpspor a 21% chance of winning, Kocaelispor a 57% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.