Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles
Tengstedt's strike seals Eagles' narrow win
A solitary goal in the second half was enough for GO Ahead Eagles to claim all three points at Excelsior.
GO Ahead Eagles edged out Excelsior 1-0 thanks to S. Tengstedt's decisive goal in the 72nd minute. The match was a tight affair with little to separate the sides until that breakthrough. Fipster's prediction of an away win proved accurate, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
Excelsior and GO Ahead Eagles face off in what promises to be a closely fought regular season match. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality but are separated by just a few points in the league standings, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Match factors
GO Ahead Eagles' attacking edge through Tengstedt
Søren Østergaard Tengstedt leads with 8 goals in 10 games, significantly boosting GO Ahead Eagles' scoring potential
Mathis Suray's creative influence
Mathis Suray tops assists with 3 in 10 games, providing key chances and linking midfield to attack
Defensive solidity from Joris Kramer and Alfons Sampsted
Kramer and Sampsted provide strong defensive and passing stability, crucial against Excelsior's attack
Tengstedt's strong recent home form
Tengstedt scored 3 goals in last 5 matches at home, indicating good form for this fixture
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players are available to influence the match
The context
GO Ahead Eagles currently sit 10th in the league with 14 points from 11 games, while Excelsior are 12th with 11 points from 10 matches. Historically, the Eagles have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, having won six of the 13 clashes against Excelsior, who have managed just two wins. Matches between these sides tend to be moderately high scoring, averaging 2.3 goals per game.
Key insights
Søren Østergaard Tengstedt
GO Ahead Eagles
Leads the team with 8 goals in 10 games, showing strong scoring ability especially at home with 3 goals in last 5 matches.
Eredivisie 26/278 goals in 10 appearances, 0.8 goals/game
Mathis Suray
GO Ahead Eagles
Top assist provider with 3 assists in 10 games, key creative force linking midfield and attack.
Eredivisie 26/273 assists in 10 appearances, 0.3 assists/game
Analysis
The Eagles boast a potent attacking threat in Søren Østergaard Tengstedt, who leads his team with eight goals in 10 appearances and has been particularly effective at home recently, scoring three times in his last five matches. Midfielder Mathis Suray adds creativity with three assists this season, linking play effectively. Defensively, GO Ahead Eagles rely on the solidity of Joris Kramer and Alfons Sampsted, who provide stability and passing accuracy to counter Excelsior's efforts. Excelsior, meanwhile, will need to be wary of the Eagles' attacking edge and hope to capitalise on their own chances to keep the game tight.
Key facts
- 1.GO Ahead Eagles have won 6 of 13 matches against Excelsior, with 5 draws and 2 wins for Excelsior.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals, aligning with the predicted 2-1 scoreline.
- 3.GO Ahead Eagles are 10th in the league with 14 points from 11 games (W3 D5 L3).
- 4.Excelsior are 12th with 11 points from 10 games (W3 D2 L5).
- 5.Søren Østergaard Tengstedt leads GO Ahead Eagles with 8 goals in 10 appearances.
- 6.Mathis Suray tops assists for GO Ahead Eagles with 3 in 10 games.
- 7.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either side, so full squads are available.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for GO Ahead Eagles with a 2-1 final scoreline. The Eagles are expected to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 0-1, and maintain their advantage despite Excelsior's attempts to fight back. The match is likely to feature a moderate number of cards, with three expected in total.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Excelsior
No standout top scorers flagged for Excelsior
Away — GO Ahead Eagles
The verdict
In what should be a competitive fixture, GO Ahead Eagles appear to have the slight edge thanks to their attacking prowess and defensive organisation. Excelsior will not go down without a fight, but the Eagles' ability to score and control the game should see them secure the three points.
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 15:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baeten
Sigurðarson
Domínguez
Naujoks
Sliti
Tengstedt
Assist: Suray
Tengstedt
Þorsteinsson
Bos
Galvez
Yellow Card
Rahmouni
Sampsted
Jahanbakhsh
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 26 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Excelsior
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. van GasselG
- 3R. MeissenD
- 4C. WidellD
- 7A. SlitiM
- 8I. YegoianM
- 9Mario DomínguezF
- 10N. NaujoksM
- 12K. BosD
- 14J. PlugD
- 20L. HartjesM
- 30Á. ÞorsteinssonM
Substitutes
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva MoreiraF
- 6D. van VianenM
- 11A. JahanbakhshF
- 15S. JanssenD
- 16Celton BiaiG
- 18V. SulzbacherM
- 19D. GardenF
- 21I. Silva TimasF
- 22O. TurayD
- 23Y. FineyM
- 24Giulliano CairoM
GO Ahead Eagles
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2A. SampstedD
- 4J. KramerD
- 9S. SigurðarsonF
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 17M. SurayM
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 23T. BaetenM
- 24J. CillessenG
- 26J. DirksenD
- 27Tomas GalvezD
- 34Y. RahmouniM
Substitutes
- 1K. HaugG
- 3G. NauberD
- 5D. JamesD
- 6T. JukićD
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 11O. SivertsenF
- 15R. WeijenbergM
- 16V. EdvardsenF
- 18R. MargaretF
- 25G. van ZwamD
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 33N. VerdoniG
Excelsior
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Plug | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| I. Yegoian | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| C. Widell | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Meissen | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Bos | D | 79 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Y. Finey | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Janssen | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Hartjes | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Garden | F | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sliti | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| V. Sulzbacher | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Naujoks | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Á. Þorsteinsson | M | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mario Domínguez | F | 70 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Jahanbakhsh | F | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. van Gassel | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. van Vianen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Celton Biai | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Turay | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giulliano Cairo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Silva Timas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GO Ahead Eagles
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tengstedt | M | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| J. Kramer | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Dirksen | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Nauber | D | 6 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sampsted | D | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Jukić | D | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Rahmouni | M | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sivertsen | F | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cillessen | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Meulensteen | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tomas Galvez | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Suray | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| V. Edvardsen | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| T. Baeten | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| S. Sigurðarson | F | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| E. Flataker | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Haug | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Linthorst | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Margaret | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. James | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. van Zwam | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Verdoni | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Weijenberg | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- Fipster's AI model predicted GO Ahead Eagles to win against Excelsior.
- What score did Fipster predict for Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Excelsior 1–2 GO Ahead Eagles.
- What were the win probabilities for Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- Fipster's model gave Excelsior a 26% chance of winning, GO Ahead Eagles a 48% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.