Excelsior vs FC Volendam
Match recap
Excelsior and FC Volendam drew 1–1 in their Eredivisie fixture. Yah scored for Excelsior; Pauwels replied for FC Volendam. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.38 for Excelsior versus 0.46 for FC Volendam. Excelsior sit 13th in the Eredivisie table while FC Volendam are 16th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-1 Draw
Actual
1–1
Analysis
Excelsior host FC Volendam in what promises to be a closely fought Dutch Eerste Divisie match. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and recent encounters suggest a tight contest.
Excelsior currently sit 14th with 35 points, while FC Volendam are just below in 16th with 32 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with Excelsior winning 6 of 13, Volendam 4, and 3 draws.
Key players like Derensili Sanches Fernandes and Noah Naujoks for Excelsior have been in fine scoring form, while Volendam's Bilal Ould-Chikh offers creativity. Defensively, Excelsior's goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel and captain Casper Widell provide stability. The teams' balanced strengths and recent form hint at a draw.
Prediction
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, consistent with the halftime scoreline and supported by statistical probabilities. Expect a competitive match with both sides finding the net once, and a total of three cards likely to keep things spicy.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Excelsior's attacking trio in form
Sanches Fernandes, Naujoks, and de Regt show strong recent scoring and assist form, likely to challenge Volendam's defense.
Excelsior's defensive stalwarts outperform league average
Van Gassel and Widell have above-average defensive metrics, crucial against Volendam's moderate scoring rate.
Volendam's Ould-Chikh in peak form
Ould-Chikh's recent high rating and creativity could be key for Volendam's attack against Excelsior's defense.
Recent encounters show balanced scoring
Previous matches ended in draws with goals from key players on both sides, supporting predicted 1-1 outcome.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, so no major impact from absences expected.
Key Takeaways
With both teams evenly matched and no significant injuries, a draw seems the fairest outcome. Fans can anticipate a spirited game with moments of quality from standout performers on both sides.
- Excelsior have won 6 of 13 meetings against FC Volendam, who have won 4, with 3 draws.
- The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 3.4, indicating open play.
- Excelsior are 14th in the league with 35 points from 33 games (W9 D8 L16).
- FC Volendam are 16th with 32 points from 33 games (W8 D8 L17).
- Derensili Sanches Fernandes has scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists in the last 10 games.
- Noah Naujoks has netted 6 goals in his last 10 appearances, showing consistent threat.
- Gyan de Regt leads Excelsior's assists with 5 in the last 10 games, including set-piece contributions.
- Stijn van Gassel boasts above-average save percentages, crucial for Excelsior's defensive resilience.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Excelsior
Away — FC Volendam
No standout top scorers flagged for FC Volendam
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pauwels
Assist: Bacuna
Yah (OG)
Verschuren
Yellow Card
Mühren
Hansson
Meissen
Naujoks
Pauwels
Ould-Chikh
Descotte
Carlén
Yellow Card
Veerman
Yellow Card
Bacuna
Plat
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Excelsior
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. van GasselG
- 3R. MeissenD
- 4C. WidellD
- 7E. HanssonF
- 10N. NaujoksM
- 11G. de RegtF
- 12A. ZagréD
- 14L. SchoutenD
- 20L. HartjesM
- 23I. YegoianM
- 30D. Sanches FernandesF
Substitutes
- 2I. BronkhorstD
- 6A. CarlénM
- 8M. TielemansM
- 9S. WłodarczykF
- 15S. JanssenD
- 16C. RaatsieG
- 24Giulliano CairoM
- 29M. van DuinenF
- 33Jerolldino ArmantradingF
FC Volendam
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. AmevorD
- 4J. BacunaM
- 5P. UgwuD
- 8G. YahM
- 16R. SteurG
- 20N. VerschurenD
- 21R. MührenM
- 29B. PauwelsM
- 32Y. LeliendalD
- 77B. Ould-ChikhM
- 99A. DescotteF
Substitutes
- 2D. PayneD
- 6A. PlatM
- 7O. KökçüF
- 9H. VeermanF
- 10B. KuwasF
- 11A. OehlersF
- 14A. MeijersD
- 17Joel IdehoF
- 22D. VlakG
- 25Luca BlondeauD
- 30Y. SamsonG
- 40Robin van Cruijsen
Excelsior
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casper Widell(C) | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lewis Schouten | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennard Hartjes | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rick Meissen | D | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Noah Naujoks | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Emil Hansson | F | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Irakli Yegoian | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Gyan de Regt | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Arthur Zagre | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| Stijn van Gassel | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giuliano Cairo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Janssen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Raatsie | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike van Duinen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jerolldino Bergraaf | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathijs Tielemans | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Carlén | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilias Bronkhorst | D | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
FC Volendam
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Pauwels | M | 71 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/3 |
| Juninho Bacuna | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Yannick Leliendal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gibson Yah | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Robert Mühren(C) | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mawouna Amevor | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Bilal Ould-Chikh | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Descotte | F | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Verschuren | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Precious Ugwu | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roy Steur | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Joel Ideho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ozan Kökçü | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deron Payne | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Meijers | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion Vlak | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Blondeau | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaell Samson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Plat | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin van Cruijsen | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandley Kuwas | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Henk Veerman | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aurelio Oehlers | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |