Everton vs Manchester United
Everton snatch late draw against United
A thrilling 2-2 draw sees Everton deny Manchester United a win with a stoppage-time equaliser.
Manchester United looked set for victory with goals from B. Mbeumo just after the break and B. Šeško in the 88th minute. However, Everton fought back with Tyrique George pulling one back in the 83rd minute and A. Maitland-Niles sealing a dramatic 2-2 draw deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow away win for United.
Outcome probability
The new football season kicks off with Everton facing Manchester United in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Manchester United looking to leverage their summer signings and Everton aiming to challenge strongly on home turf.
Key facts
- 1.Manchester United finished 3rd last season with 71 points.
- 2.Everton ended last season in 13th place with 49 points.
- 3.Manchester United have a +19 goal difference compared to Everton's -3.
- 4.Manchester United average 1.87 points per game, Everton 1.29.
- 5.Manchester United signed Youri Tielemans, Charles Baleba, and Karl Darlow this summer.
- 6.Casemiro departed Manchester United as a free agent.
- 7.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
The context
This fixture marks the start of the regular season, with both sides fresh and ready to make their mark. Manchester United have bolstered their squad with the arrivals of Youri Tielemans, Charles Baleba, and goalkeeper Karl Darlow, while parting ways with Casemiro. Everton, meanwhile, enter the season without notable transfer activity, relying on their existing squad to challenge the Red Devils.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Everton
No standout best passers flagged for Everton
Away — Manchester United
Analysis
Manchester United hold a clear advantage in league standing and goal difference from last season, finishing 3rd with 71 points and a +19 goal difference compared to Everton's 13th place and -3 goal difference. Their points per game average of 1.87 also surpasses Everton's 1.29, indicating a stronger overall performance. The summer additions should add depth and creativity to Manchester United's lineup, potentially tipping the balance in their favour. Everton will need to be resolute defensively and clinical in attack to keep pace.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Manchester United, reflecting their superior squad strength and recent reinforcements. While Everton are expected to put up a fight, the Red Devils' quality and depth should see them edge this opener. The low confidence in this call suggests a closely contested match, but the away win outcome holds the highest probability.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign. Manchester United's ambition is clear with their summer business, while Everton will be keen to prove their mettle. Expect a tight game with moments of quality deciding the outcome in favour of the visitors.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Armstrong
Yellow Card
Johnson
Yellow Card
Mbeumo
Assist: Mainoo
Shaw
Yellow Card
Röhl
Yellow Card
Johnson
Matheus Cunha
Rashford
Röhl
Garner
Maguire
Yellow Card
Diogo Dalot
Yellow Card
Tyrique George
Assist: Hackney
Mainoo
Diogo Dalot
Šeško
Assist: Shaw
Shaw
Maitland-Niles
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Everton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. PickfordG
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 11T. BarryF
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 19Tyrique GeorgeM
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 34M. RöhlD
- 37J. GarnerM
- 45H. ArmstrongM
Substitutes
- 2A. Maitland-NilesM
- 5M. KeaneD
- 10J. GrealishM
- 12M. TraversG
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 20T. DiblingF
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 30H. HackneyM
- 58B. GrahamF
Manchester United
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. LammensG
- 2Diogo DalotD
- 5H. MaguireD
- 6Lisandro MartínezD
- 8Bruno FernandesM
- 9M. RashfordM
- 10Matheus CunhaF
- 18Y. TielemansM
- 19B. MbeumoM
- 23L. ShawD
- 37K. MainooM
Substitutes
- 3N. MazraouiD
- 7M. MountM
- 11J. ZirkzeeF
- 12K. DarlowG
- 13P. DorguD
- 15L. YoroD
- 17Andrey SantosM
- 26A. HeavenD
- 30B. ŠeškoF
Everton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrique George | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4/5 |
| A. Maitland-Niles | M | 13 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Branthwaite | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tarkowski | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Mykolenko | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Garner | M | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Röhl | D | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Grealish | M | 24 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| H. Hackney | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Barry | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| H. Armstrong | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Johnson | M | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Pickford | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Travers | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Keane | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Alcaraz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. O'Brien | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Dibling | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Graham | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Manchester United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mbeumo | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| K. Mainoo | M | 84 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| B. Šeško | F | 20 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Shaw | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lammens | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| M. Rashford | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Matheus Cunha | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| P. Dorgu | D | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Yoro | D | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Andrey Santos | M | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Maguire | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Mazraoui | D | 1 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Heaven | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zirkzee | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mount | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Darlow | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Everton vs Manchester United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Manchester United to win against Everton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Everton vs Manchester United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Everton 1–2 Manchester United.
- What were the win probabilities for Everton vs Manchester United?
- Fipster's model gave Everton a 28% chance of winning, Manchester United a 44% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.