Everton vs Manchester City
Match recap
Everton and Manchester City drew 3–3 in their Premier League fixture. Barry, O'Brien, and Barry scored for Everton; Doku, Haaland, and Doku replied for Manchester City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.77 for Everton versus 1.37 for Manchester City. Everton sit 13th in the Premier League table while Manchester City are 2nd.
Analysis
Everton host Manchester City in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League fixture. With both teams eager to secure vital points, the match is set to deliver excitement and tactical battles.
Historically, Manchester City have dominated this fixture, winning 15 of the last 20 encounters. Currently, City sit 2nd in the league with 70 points, while Everton are 11th with 47 points, highlighting a clear form gap. The match takes place at Goodison Park, where Everton have shown resilience, scoring in their last four home games despite injury setbacks.
Manchester City's attacking prowess remains formidable even without Haaland, who is sidelined due to injury. Bernardo Silva's creativity and City's overall goal average of 2 per game give them an edge. Everton's top scorer Beto and key midfielder Dewsbury-Hall are questionable due to injuries, which could hamper their offensive threat. However, J. Garner's dual role in attack and defence provides Everton with balance and transition opportunities. The predicted 1-2 scoreline aligns with the historical average of 2.9 goals per match between these sides.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 away win for Manchester City, with a halftime score of 0-1. The match is expected to feature three total cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled game. Confidence in this prediction stands at 69.3%, factoring in City's superior form and Everton's injury concerns.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key Everton attackers questionable or missing
Beto and Dewsbury-Hall are injured or questionable, reducing Everton's scoring options and creativity.
Haaland's absence weakens City's frontline
Haaland's injury absence lowers City's goal-scoring firepower, shifting reliance to other attackers.
Garner's dual role critical for Everton
Garner's high passing and defensive stats provide Everton balance and transition threat against City's midfield.
City's superior attacking form and creativity
City averages 2 goals/game with multiple creative players, outpacing Everton's 1.2 goals/game.
Everton's recent scoring streak at home
Everton has scored in last 4 home games, showing resilience despite injuries.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Manchester City's consistent dominance and Everton's injury woes suggest a narrow City victory at Goodison Park. Everton's fighting spirit and home advantage may yield a goal, but City's quality should ultimately prevail.
- Manchester City have won 15 of the last 20 meetings against Everton.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, supporting a high-scoring game.
- Manchester City rank 2nd with 70 points; Everton are 11th with 47 points.
- Everton have scored in their last 4 home games despite injuries.
- Beto is Everton's top scorer with 8 goals but is currently questionable due to injury.
- Haaland's absence reduces City's frontline firepower but Bernardo Silva steps up.
- J. Garner leads Everton in assists and tackles, crucial for their midfield balance.
- The predicted total of 3 cards suggests a competitive but disciplined match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Everton
Away — Manchester City
No standout top scorers flagged for Manchester City
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Doku
Assist: Cherki
Keane
Yellow Card
Beto
Yellow Card
Tarkowski
Yellow Card
Beto
Barry
O'Brien
Assist: Garner
Donnarumma
Yellow Card
Semenyo
Nico González
Barry
Haaland
Assist: Kovačić
O'Brien
Yellow Card
Silva
Dewsbury-Hall
Röhl
Iroegbunam
Doku
Assist: Guéhi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
Match Statistics
Everton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. PickfordG
- 5M. KeaneD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 9BetoF
- 10I. NdiayeM
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 22K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 34M. RöhlM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 42T. IroegbunamM
Substitutes
- 2N. PattersonD
- 7D. McNeilF
- 11T. BarryF
- 12M. TraversG
- 19Tyrique GeorgeF
- 20T. DiblingM
- 23S. ColemanD
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 45H. ArmstrongM
Manchester City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9E. HaalandF
- 10R. CherkiM
- 11J. DokuM
- 14Nico GonzálezM
- 15M. GuéhiD
- 20Bernardo SilvaM
- 25G. DonnarummaG
- 27Matheus NunesD
- 33N. O'ReillyD
- 42A. SemenyoM
- 45A. KhusanovD
Substitutes
- 1J. TraffordG
- 4T. ReijndersM
- 5J. StonesD
- 6N. AkéD
- 7Omar MarmoushF
- 8M. KovačićM
- 21R. Aït-NouriD
- 26SávioF
- 47P. FodenM
Everton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Keane | D | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Iroegbunam | M | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| James Garner | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Iliman Ndiaye | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jake O'Brien | D | 98 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | M | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Jordan Pickford | G | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Beto | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| James Tarkowski(C) | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Merlin Röhl | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko | D | 98 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Harrison Armstrong | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Alcaraz | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tyler Dibling | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Séamus Coleman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Travers | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dwight McNeil | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Patterson | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thierno Barry | F | 34 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
Manchester City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jérémy Doku | M | 98 | 9.9 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5/7 |
| Erling Haaland | F | 98 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva(C) | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | D | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Antoine Semenyo | M | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| Marc Guéhi | D | 98 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | G | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rayan Cherki | M | 98 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/9 |
| Nico González | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 98 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nathan Aké | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Trafford | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Savinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 23 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Phil Foden | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |