Estrela vs Sporting CP
Estrela claw back to deny Sporting victory
A spirited fightback from Estrela earns them a hard-fought draw against Sporting CP.
Sporting CP looked to have the match under control with goals from R. Zalazar just after the break and F. Ioannidis midway through the second half. However, Estrela responded with determination as L. Antonetti and B. Souza struck to level the score, securing a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving the visitors' resilience in the Primeira Liga.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Estrela and Sporting CP, two sides eager to start on the front foot. Despite Sporting CP's historical dominance in their head-to-head encounters, Estrela are tipped to pull off a narrow win in this opener.
This match marks the first round of the regular season, with both teams yet to register any points. Estrela currently sit top of the league standings, while Sporting CP find themselves in ninth place. Previous meetings have seen Sporting CP win all seven encounters, but those results are from past seasons and may not reflect the current form.
Historically, Sporting CP have had the upper hand, winning all seven previous meetings and contributing to an average of nearly four goals per game between the sides. However, the league table suggests Estrela have the momentum heading into this fixture. The prediction model shows a slight edge for Estrela with a 32.5% chance of a home win, and the most probable scoreline being 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive, with around four cards likely to be shown, indicating a spirited contest.
Prediction
The forecast is for Estrela to secure a 2-1 victory over Sporting CP. While the confidence level is moderate at 35%, this scoreline holds the highest individual probability among home wins. Fans can anticipate an open game with goals from both sides and a few cards to spice things up.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, despite Sporting CP's historical dominance, Estrela's current standing and the prediction model favour a home win by a narrow margin. This season opener promises excitement, and Estrela will be keen to start their campaign with a statement victory.
- Sporting CP have won all 7 previous meetings against Estrela.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals per game between these teams.
- Estrela are currently ranked 1st in the league with no games played yet.
- Sporting CP are ranked 9th in the league with no games played yet.
- Prediction favours a 2-1 home win for Estrela with 35% confidence.
- Approximately 4 cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Estrela
Away — Sporting CP
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zalazar
Assist: Catamo
Eddy Doue
Yellow Card
Ioannidis
Assist: Zalazar
Gonçalves
Ioannidis
Unknown
Suárez
Yellow Card
Antonetti
Assist: Stoica
Scholze
Stoica
Vagiannidis
Catamo
Doumbia
Souza
Assist: Robinho
Antonetti
Souza
Yellow Card
Derry
Yellow Card
Marcus
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Estrela
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Bernardo SchappoD
- 10I. StoicaM
- 21M. ScholzeD
- 24Léo LinckG
- 30Luan PatrickD
- 37L. AntonettiF
- 39Eddy DoueM
- 55Rafa SoaresD
- 99A. MarcusM
Substitutes
- 8RobinhoM
- 9S. van HooijdonkF
- 17Jefferson EncadaD
- 22David GriloG
- 28T. MoustierM
- 51Diogo PintoG
- 72H. PoniewasF
- 79A. ChernevD
- 80AlissonF
- 93B. SouzaM
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Rui SilvaG
- 5Sergi AltimiraM
- 7F. IoannidisF
- 10Geny CatamoM
- 13G. VagiannidisD
- 17R. ZalazarM
- 25Gonçalo InácioD
- 50Rodrigo DiasD
- 58Flávio GonçalvesM
- 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
- 77I. DoumbiaM
Substitutes
- 4S. AndersenM
- 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
- 12João VirgíniaG
- 21Pedro LimaM
- 22Iván FresnedaD
- 26O. DiomandeD
- 28J. DerryF
- 31Luis GuilhermeF
- 41Diego CallaiG
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
- 97L. SuárezF
Estrela
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Antonetti | F | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Léo Linck | G | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Patrick(C) | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddy Doué | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Rafa Soares | D | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ianis Stoica | M | 74 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | D | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Max Scholze | D | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abraham Marcus | M | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrique Poniewas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Souza de Jesus | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Grilo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atanas Chernev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Pinto | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Moustier | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bénito | M | 20 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Robinho | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Encada | D | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
Sporting CP
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Zalazar | M | 94 | 9.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3/5 |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 94 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Flávio Gonçalves | M | 61 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Rodrigo Dias | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Gonçalo Inácio(C) | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Issa Doumbia | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Fotis Ioannidis | F | 61 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 7 | 3 | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4/6 |
| Georgios Vagiannidis | D | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rui Silva | G | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ousmane Diomande | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Nel | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Virgínia | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Callai | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesse Derry | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luís Guilherme | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Silas Andersen | M | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luis Javier Suárez | F | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Estrela vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Estrela to win against Sporting CP.
- What score did Fipster predict for Estrela vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Estrela 2–1 Sporting CP.
- What were the win probabilities for Estrela vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's model gave Estrela a 35% chance of winning, Sporting CP a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.