Estrela vs Benfica
Benfica edge Estrela in five-goal thriller
A late strike from V. Pavlidis seals a narrow win for Benfica after a seesaw battle.
Benfica secured a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Estrela in the Primeira Liga, with G. Prestianni opening the scoring before Estrela fought back through L. Zvonarek and L. Antonetti. An own goal by Bernardo Schappo added to the drama, but it was V. Pavlidis who clinched the win deep into stoppage time. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more dramatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Estrela face a tough challenge against Benfica, who have been in fine form this season. With Benfica's attacking strength and Estrela's struggles, this match promises goals and a clear favourite.
Match factors
Benfica's superior scoring form
Benfica averages 2.7 goals per game vs Estrela's 1.5, indicating strong attacking edge
Benfica's attacking midfield strength
Prestianni and Pavlidis combine high goals and assists, creating multiple scoring threats
Estrela's key midfield scorers in form
Marcus and Stoica show good recent away scoring form, could challenge Benfica's defense
No confirmed injuries for either team
Full squads available, no confirmed absences to weaken lineups
The context
Benfica sit comfortably in 2nd place with 22 points from 9 games, while Estrela find themselves 12th with 10 points from 10 games. Historically, Benfica have won all 9 previous encounters, scoring 29 goals to Estrela's 5, underscoring the gulf between the sides.
Key insights
Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica
Top scorer with 9 goals in 9 games, consistently threatening the opposition.
Primeira Liga 26/279 goals in 9 apps, 1 goal/game
- G
Gianluca Prestianni Gross
Benfica
Key playmaker with 6 goals and 4 assists, driving Benfica's attacking midfield.
Primeira Liga 26/276 goals and 4 assists in 9 apps
Abraham Marcus
Estrela
Strong recent away scoring form with 4 goals in 10 games, a bright spot for Estrela.
Primeira Liga 26/274 goals in 10 apps, 0.8 goals/5 recent away games
Analysis
Benfica's attacking midfield duo, Gianluca Prestianni Gross and Vangelis Pavlidis, have been instrumental this season, combining for 15 goals and multiple assists. Pavlidis boasts an impressive 9 goals in 9 games, while Prestianni adds 6 goals and 4 assists. Estrela's Abraham Marcus and Ianis Ilie Stoica have shown promise with recent away goals, but the overall quality and form favour Benfica heavily. Both teams have full squads available, so it will come down to execution on the pitch.
Key facts
- 1.Benfica have won all 9 previous meetings against Estrela, scoring 29 goals to Estrela's 5.
- 2.Benfica are 2nd in the league with 22 points from 9 games (W7 D1 L1).
- 3.Estrela are 12th with 10 points from 10 games (W2 D4 L4).
- 4.Benfica's goal difference is +18, while Estrela's is -4.
- 5.Vangelis Pavlidis has scored 9 goals in 9 games this season.
- 6.Gianluca Prestianni Gross has 6 goals and 4 assists in 9 games.
- 7.Abraham Marcus has scored 4 goals in 10 games, with strong away form.
Prediction
Expect Benfica to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime thanks to their clinical finishing. Estrela may pull one back, but Benfica's firepower should secure a 3-1 victory by full time, continuing their unbeaten record against Estrela.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Estrela
Away — Benfica
The verdict
This match looks set to reinforce Benfica's superiority in the league and over Estrela. With key players firing on all cylinders, the visitors should leave with all three points and a comfortable win.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 22:13 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Prestianni
Assist: Echeverri
Zvonarek
Assist: Rafa Soares
Yellow Card
Zvonarek
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Echeverri
Araújo
Stoica
Santiago Serra
Bernardo Schappo (OG)
Antonetti
Assist: Jordán
Rafa
Bah
Dahl
Bernardo Schappo
Höög Jansson
Antonetti
Alisson
Yellow Card
Pavlidis
Assist: Schjelderup
Match Statistics
Estrela
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Bernardo SchappoD
- 6K. Höög JanssonM
- 10I. StoicaM
- 14L. ZvonarekM
- 21M. ScholzeD
- 24Léo LinckG
- 37L. AntonettiF
- 55Rafa SoaresD
- 78Santiago SerraM
- 99A. MarcusM
Substitutes
- 8RobinhoM
- 17Jefferson EncadaD
- 19Joan JordánM
- 22David GriloG
- 28T. MoustierM
- 49R. MutebaF
- 51Diogo PintoG
- 71E. Pedro VangaM
- 72H. PoniewasF
- 79A. ChernevD
- 80AlissonF
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2C. LengletD
- 6A. BahD
- 10H. SudakovM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 26S. DahlD
- 27RafaM
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 44Tomás AraújoD
Substitutes
- 1A. TrubinG
- 3A. CircatiD
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 13J. KamińskiF
- 16ManuM
- 21A. SchjelderupF
- 22J. DuránF
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 58Daniel BanjaquiD
- 72A. CabralF
Estrela
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Antonetti | F | 87 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| L. Zvonarek | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| M. Scholze | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rafa Soares | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joan Jordán | M | 23 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Chernev | D | 5 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Marcus | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Léo Linck | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Höög Jansson | M | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Stoica | M | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Santiago Serra | M | 67 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Moustier | M | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson | F | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bernardo Schappo | D | 85 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | D | 3 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Pinto | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Grilo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pedro Vanga | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Muteba | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Poniewas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Prestianni | M | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/5 |
| C. Echeverri | M | 65 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| C. Lenglet | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | 84 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 13 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| S. Dahl | D | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Durán | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| A. Circati | D | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Daniel Banjaqui | D | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Rafa | M | 77 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Soares | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kamiński | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Barrenechea | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Trubin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Estrela vs Benfica?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against Estrela.
- What score did Fipster predict for Estrela vs Benfica?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Estrela 1–3 Benfica.
- What were the win probabilities for Estrela vs Benfica?
- Fipster's model gave Estrela a 2% chance of winning, Benfica a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.