Estoril vs Maritimo

Primeira LigaMatchweek 11
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril · 8,015 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winlow

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Estoril and Maritimo face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both sides have struggled for consistent form this season, but Maritimo hold a slight edge in the standings and recent performances.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Half-time0–0
Maritimo Win
LOW
Confidence
Estoril 31%Draw 32%Maritimo 37%

The context

Estoril sit 18th with just 2 points from 10 games, having yet to secure a win this season. Maritimo are a few places above in 14th, with 8 points from 9 matches. This fixture is part of the regular season's 11th round, where every point counts in the battle to climb the table.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Estoril's attacking threat led by Begraoui

Begraoui's consistent scoring and full match presence give Estoril a focal point in attack against Maritimo's defense

Statistical Edgehigh

Ferro's defensive dominance

Ferro's high tackle and interception numbers with strong duel win rate provide Estoril defensive stability

Form Momentummedium

Maritimo's Guzzo showing recent impact

Guzzo's recent goal and solid midfield performances could influence Maritimo's attacking output

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for Estoril or Maritimo

Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key without injury disruptions

Analysis

Maritimo's advantage in points per game (0.89) compared to Estoril's 0.20 suggests they have been more effective overall. Estoril's top scorer Yanis Begraoui has been a consistent threat, netting twice in 7 appearances, but the home side's defensive frailties have been exposed frequently. Maritimo's Raphael Guzzo has shown recent attacking impact, which could be decisive. The predicted 0-0 halftime scoreline hints at a cautious start, with the action expected to pick up in the second half.

Key insights

Prediction

The forecast is for Maritimo to secure a 2-1 victory away from home. The first half should remain tight and goalless, but Maritimo's slightly stronger form and attacking contributions from players like Guzzo and Guitane should see them edge the contest. Expect a total of around four cards, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Maritimo have a points-per-game advantage of 0.89 over Estoril's 0.20 this season.
  2. 2.Estoril are 18th with 2 points from 10 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses).
  3. 3.Maritimo are 14th with 8 points from 9 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses).
  4. 4.The most probable halftime score is 0-0, indicating a cautious start.
  5. 5.The predicted fulltime score is 1-2 in favour of Maritimo.
  6. 6.The modal total number of cards expected is 4.
  7. 7.Yanis Begraoui is Estoril's top scorer with 2 goals in 7 appearances.
  8. 8.Raphael Guzzo has recently contributed goals and solid midfield play for Maritimo.

The verdict

While the prediction leans towards an away win, the low confidence in this call means fans should brace for a closely fought match. Estoril will be eager to upset the odds and claim their first win, but Maritimo's current form gives them the slight upper hand.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Estoril

Yanis Begraoui

Yanis Begraoui

Attacker

Estoril

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.41
7 played
7 starts
630 mins
~90 mins/game
Rafik Guitane

Rafik Guitane

Midfielder

Estoril

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.41
8 played
5 starts
458 mins
~57 mins/game
Ricard Sánchez

Ricard Sánchez

Defender

Estoril

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.41
9 played
9 starts
647 mins
~72 mins/game

Away — Maritimo

No standout top scorers flagged for Maritimo

Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 19:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Estoril vs Maritimo?
Fipster's AI model predicts Maritimo to win against Estoril.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Maritimo?
Fipster predicts a final score of Estoril 1–2 Maritimo.
What are the win probabilities for Estoril vs Maritimo?
Fipster's model gives Estoril a 31% chance of winning, Maritimo a 37% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 37% confidence — a low-confidence call.