Estoril vs Famalicao
Famalicao snatch draw at Estoril
Begraoui's strike cancels out Famalicao opener in a tight Primeira Liga clash
Famalicao took the lead through an early first-half goal before Y. Begraoui levelled for Estoril after the break, resulting in a 1-1 draw. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring an Estoril win, the visitors managed to frustrate the home side and secure a share of the spoils, defying expectations.
Analysis
As the new season kicks off, Estoril and Famalicao face off in what promises to be a tight encounter. Both teams will be eager to start on the right foot, but the scales tip slightly in favour of Estoril given their current league standing and home advantage.
This match marks the opening round of the regular season, with both teams yet to register any points. Estoril sit comfortably in 3rd place in the league standings, while Famalicao find themselves down in 18th. Historically, Famalicao have had the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, winning 9 of the 15 meetings compared to Estoril's 4, but recent form and home advantage could be decisive factors here.
The statistical breakdown reveals a fairly balanced contest. The average goals per head-to-head match stand at 2.3, suggesting a moderate scoring affair. While Famalicao have historically performed well away against Estoril, the home side's current league position and form provide them with a slight edge. The probabilities indicate a 33% chance of a home win, narrowly ahead of draws and away wins, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture.
Prediction
Our forecast leans towards a 2-1 victory for Estoril. This scoreline holds the highest probability among home win outcomes at 16%, surpassing the most likely draw scoreline of 1-1. The confidence level is moderate at 35%, acknowledging the close contest expected between these two sides. Expect Estoril to leverage their home advantage to clinch the three points in a closely fought match.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, while Famalicao's historical record against Estoril is impressive, the current season's dynamics favour the home side. A 2-1 win for Estoril seems the most plausible outcome, promising an entertaining start to the campaign with both teams showing intent but the hosts just shading it.
- Famalicao lead head-to-head with 9 wins to Estoril's 4 in 15 matches.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.3, indicating moderate scoring.
- Estoril are ranked 3rd in the league standings at season start.
- Famalicao are positioned 18th in the league at the start of the season.
- The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Estoril.
- Home wins have a 33% probability, slightly higher than draws and away wins.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Estoril
Away — Famalicao
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal
Assist: Dias
Sánchez
Yellow Card
Pedro Santos
Sánchez
André Lacximicant
Begraoui
Assist: Pedro Carvalho
Pinheiro
Yellow Card
Dias
Sorriso
Unknown
Xeka
Tsoungui
Beney
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Estoril
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Joel RoblesG
- 2Ricard SánchezD
- 3Fernando MedranoD
- 4FerroD
- 5A. TsounguiM
- 7André LacximicantM
- 8XekaM
- 12João CarvalhoM
- 14Y. BegraouiF
- 15Isma SierraD
- 99R. GuitaneM
Substitutes
- 6Jandro OrellanaM
- 16M. TurkG
- 17PeixinhoF
- 18Gonçalo CostaD
- 22Pedro CarvalhoD
- 31Diogo DiasG
- 55Tiago Parreira ParenteD
- 80Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos GomesM
- 90Tiago BritoM
- 98Fabrício GarciaF
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. RealpeD
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 6T. van de LooiM
- 7SorrisoM
- 10Pedro SantosM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 23Gil DiasM
- 25L. CarevićG
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
Substitutes
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 5L. MeyerD
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 9U. AbubakarF
- 11Óscar ArandaF
- 18R. BeneyF
- 19Paulo MoreiraM
- 30V. SerafimovićD
- 36M. MattaraD
- 91R. AlmeidaF
Estoril
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanis Begraoui | F | 92 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Ricard Sánchez | D | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafik Guitane | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/5 |
| Ismael Sierra Arnal | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Medrano | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| André Lacximicant | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Ferro | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Carvalho(C) | M | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Xeka | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Joel Robles | G | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antef Tsoungui | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Diogo Dias | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Brito | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parente | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Turk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Gomes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peixinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | D | 26 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jandro Orellana | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sorriso | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Léo Realpe | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bondo | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Finn van Breemen | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tom Van De Looi(C) | M | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Dias | M | 77 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lazar Carević | G | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matheus Mattara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leny Meyer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vojin Serafimović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Zlobin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudi Almeida | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Aranda | F | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Umar Abubakar | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romeo Beney | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Estoril vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Estoril to win against Famalicao.
- What score did Fipster predict for Estoril vs Famalicao?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Estoril 2–1 Famalicao.
- What were the win probabilities for Estoril vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's model gave Estoril a 35% chance of winning, Famalicao a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.