Estoril vs Arouca
Estoril and Arouca settle for stalemate
Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless Primeira Liga encounter.
Estoril and Arouca played out a 0-0 draw, with neither team managing to score in a tightly contested match. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an Arouca win, proving that sometimes a clean sheet is the story itself.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Estoril facing off against Arouca in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both sides are looking to make a strong start after their summer business and preparations, with Arouca tipped to claim a slender victory.
Key facts
- 1.Estoril lost F. Bacher and K. Boma to transfers and Pedro Amaral as a free agent over the summer.
- 2.Arouca have not made any notable squad changes during the summer.
- 3.Estoril finished last season with a better goal difference than Arouca.
- 4.The predicted scoreline is 0-1 in favour of Arouca.
- 5.The halftime score is also expected to be 0-1.
- 6.Arouca are ranked 8th and Estoril 10th in last season's league standings.
- 7.A total of four cards is predicted for the match.
The context
Estoril enter this fixture having lost a few key players over the summer, including F. Bacher and K. Boma through transfers, and Pedro Amaral departing as a free agent. Meanwhile, Arouca have maintained squad stability with no notable arrivals or departures, potentially giving them an edge in cohesion as the season begins.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards an away win for Arouca by a narrow 1-0 margin, with the same scoreline expected at halftime. Despite Estoril's better goal difference last season, Arouca's steadier squad and tactical discipline could see them edge this encounter. The probabilities suggest a close match, with draws and home wins not far behind, reflecting a finely balanced contest.
Prediction
Expect a cautious start with Arouca taking the lead before halftime and holding on to secure a 1-0 victory. The game is likely to be tight, with a total of around four cards anticipated, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.
The verdict
This season opener sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign for both sides. Arouca's narrow win could provide momentum, but Estoril will be keen to respond quickly in their next fixtures. Fans should brace for a tactical battle with slim margins.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tsoungui
Yellow Card
Ferro
Yellow Card
Tsoungui
van Ee
Arnolin
Yellow Card
João Carvalho
Yellow Card
Barbero
Garcia
Gozálbez
Sánchez
André Lacximicant
Trezza
Holsgrove
Mansilla
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Estoril
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Joel RoblesG
- 2Ricard SánchezD
- 3Fernando MedranoD
- 4FerroD
- 5A. TsounguiM
- 7André LacximicantM
- 10J. HolsgroveM
- 12João CarvalhoM
- 14Y. BegraouiF
- 15Isma SierraD
- 98Fabrício GarciaM
Substitutes
- 9A. CamblanM
- 16M. TurkG
- 17PeixinhoF
- 19Tiago Parreira ParenteD
- 22Pedro CarvalhoD
- 35S. AmissahD
- 42J. ArnolinD
- 80Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos GomesM
- 90Tiago BritoM
- 99R. GuitaneM
Arouca
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3José FontánD
- 5B. PopovićD
- 6E. van EeM
- 7N. DjouahraM
- 8T. FukuiM
- 10Pablo GozálbezM
- 12I. de ArruabarrenaG
- 17BarberoF
- 18O. LebedenkoD
- 19A. TrezzaM
- 28Tiago EsgaioD
Substitutes
- 1J. VinarčíkG
- 4Diogo MonteiroD
- 9F. MayuluF
- 21Mateo FloresM
- 23D. NandínF
- 24B. MansillaF
- 37Mario ClimentD
- 71M. DuarteG
- 77S. ParkF
- 89Pedro SantosM
Estoril
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isma Sierra | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fernando Medrano | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| J. Holsgrove | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Joel Robles | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferro | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Turk | G | 0 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Guitane | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Tiago Brito | M | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | D | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peixinho | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fabrício Garcia | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Y. Begraoui | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| André Lacximicant | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| João Carvalho | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Tsoungui | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Pedro Carvalho | D | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Arnolin | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Amissah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Camblan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parreira Parente | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arouca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena | G | 90 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Popović | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Fontán | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Lebedenko | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Pedro Santos | M | 44 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Pablo Gozálbez | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| E. van Ee | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Trezza | M | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Tiago Esgaio | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| T. Fukui | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Djouahra | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2/6 |
| D. Nandín | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Barbero | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Flores | M | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Mansilla | F | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Mario Climent | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Vinarčík | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Park | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Duarte | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Mayulu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Monteiro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Estoril vs Arouca?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Arouca to win against Estoril.
- What score did Fipster predict for Estoril vs Arouca?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Estoril 0–1 Arouca.
- What were the win probabilities for Estoril vs Arouca?
- Fipster's model gave Estoril a 30% chance of winning, Arouca a 40% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.