Espanyol vs Sevilla
Espanyol snatch late draw against Sevilla
Marcos Fernández's stoppage-time strike rescues a point for Espanyol.
In a match that promised goals, Sevilla looked set to take all three points when L. Stassin put them ahead at 85 minutes. However, Espanyol had the last word as Marcos Fernández struck deep into stoppage time to level the score at 1-1. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable home win, turning what looked like a straightforward victory into a shared spoils affair.
Outcome probability
The new La Liga season kicks off with Espanyol facing Sevilla in what promises to be an entertaining encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive opener.
Key facts
- 1.Espanyol have added Q. Hartman on loan ahead of the new season.
- 2.Sevilla have signed Juan Iglesias on a free transfer and released A. Sánchez.
- 3.This is the first competitive fixture of the 2026-27 La Liga season for both teams.
- 4.Espanyol are predicted to lead 2-0 at halftime.
- 5.The most likely fulltime score is 4-1 in favour of Espanyol.
- 6.The match is expected to feature around four yellow cards.
- 7.Espanyol and Sevilla finished last season ranked 11th and 13th respectively.
The context
Espanyol have strengthened their ranks by bringing in Q. Hartman on loan, aiming to bolster their squad depth. Sevilla, meanwhile, have signed Juan Iglesias on a free transfer but have parted ways with A. Sánchez. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides look to make a strong start to the campaign.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Espanyol
Away — Sevilla
Analysis
Espanyol are tipped to take control early, with the prediction suggesting a 2-0 lead at halftime. Their ability to convert chances and maintain pressure is expected to overwhelm Sevilla, who may struggle to contain the home side's attacking threat. The forecasted 4-1 final scoreline reflects Espanyol's offensive edge and Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities.
Prediction
The forecast is a confident home win for Espanyol, with a 4-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-0, indicating a strong start that sets the tone for the rest of the match. The game is also predicted to see around four cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled contest.
The verdict
Espanyol look poised to make a statement in their season opener, capitalising on their summer additions and home advantage. Sevilla will need to regroup quickly if they are to bounce back from what looks like a tough start to their campaign.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kochorashvili
Yellow Card
Calatrava
Yellow Card
Ure
Yellow Card
Miguel Ángel
Yellow Card
Gabriel Moscardo
Yellow Card
Kochorashvili
Ure
Sangante
Red Card
Yellow Card
Gabriel Moscardo
Calatrava
Ejuke
Goal cancelled
Miguel Ángel
Guridi
El Hilali
Stassin
Núñez
Hinojo
Fernández
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Espanyol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6L. CabreraD
- 8Edu ExpósitoM
- 9Roberto FernándezF
- 13M. DmitrovićG
- 14Unai NúñezD
- 20Gabriel MoscardoM
- 21Roger HinojoD
- 22Álex CalatravaM
- 23O. El HilaliD
- 24T. DolanM
- 28Javier HernandezM
Substitutes
- 1Ángel FortuñoG
- 3Q. HartmanD
- 4Urko GonzálezM
- 5C. RiedelD
- 10Pol LozanoM
- 11Pere MillaM
- 15Bryan ZaragozaF
- 16V. DrkušićD
- 17Jofre CarrerasF
- 18Marcos FernándezF
- 26Rafel BauzàM
Sevilla
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 6L. AgouméM
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 9R. UreF
- 12A. SanganteD
- 17G. SuazoD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 21C. EjukeF
- 30Miguel ÁngelF
Substitutes
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 7Alfon GonzálezF
- 10Peque FernándezF
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 14Manu BuenoM
- 16IsaacF
- 19L. StassinF
- 20Félix CorreiaF
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
- 24Y. FofanaM
Espanyol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Fernández | F | 31 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3/4 |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 86 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. El Hilali | D | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Dmitrović | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q. Hartman | D | 4 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Riedel | D | 4 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko González | M | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bryan Zaragoza | F | 15 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Hernandez | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/5 |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| T. Dolan | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Álex Calatrava | M | 59 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pol Lozano | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Drkušić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafel Bauzà | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Fortuño | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jofre Carreras | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Stassin | F | 36 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| L. Agoumé | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| G. Suazo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 30 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ejuke | F | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jon Guridi | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Manu Bueno | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Y. Fofana | M | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Miguel Ángel | F | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| R. Ure | F | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sangante | D | 56 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Félix Correia | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz del Romo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Espanyol vs Sevilla?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Espanyol to win against Sevilla.
- What score did Fipster predict for Espanyol vs Sevilla?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Espanyol 4–1 Sevilla.
- What were the win probabilities for Espanyol vs Sevilla?
- Fipster's model gave Espanyol a 95% chance of winning, Sevilla a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.