Espanyol vs Elche
Elche stun Espanyol with Fer Niño double
A brace from Fer Niño and a late strike from Germán Valera sealed a surprise win for Elche.
Elche turned the tables on Espanyol with a 3-1 victory in La Liga, defying Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win. Fer Niño's early double set the tone before an own goal by Víctor Chust gave Elche further advantage. Germán Valera wrapped up the scoring after the break, completing a solid away performance.
Outcome probability
Espanyol and Elche face off in what promises to be a lively encounter. With Espanyol showing stronger form and a better goal difference, they look poised to take control early and maintain their edge throughout the match.
Match factors
Espanyol's Roberto Fernández in strong scoring form
Roberto Fernández has scored 5 goals this season with excellent recent away form, making him a key threat against Elche's defense.
Javier Hernandez's creative influence
Javier Hernandez leads Espanyol with 3 assists in 5 games, showing strong playmaking ability and connection with scorers.
Elche's Fer Niño showing consistent scoring
Fer Niño has 2 goals this season and 3 in last 5 games, providing Elche's main offensive threat despite team's struggles.
Espanyol missing key attackers out injured
Espanyol's Jofre Carreras and Kike García are confirmed out, reducing attacking depth and increasing reliance on Roberto Fernández and Marcos Fernández.
Espanyol's defensive solidity led by Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo's defensive stats and passing accuracy exceed league averages, crucial to containing Elche's attack.
The context
Espanyol currently sit 8th in the league with 7 points from 6 games, while Elche find themselves at the bottom, 20th with just 2 points from 5 games. This gap in league position and points per game highlights the uphill battle Elche face in this fixture.
Key insights
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
Roberto Fernández has been clinical this season with 5 goals in 5 games, including 4 goals in his last 3 away matches, making him a key threat against Elche.
La Liga 26/275 goals in 5 games, 433 mins
Javier Hernandez
Espanyol
Javier Hernandez's creative influence is evident with 3 assists in 5 games, providing crucial service to Espanyol's forwards.
La Liga 26/273 assists in 5 games, 397 mins
Fer Niño
Elche
Fer Niño remains Elche's main offensive threat with 2 goals this season and consistent starting appearances.
La Liga 26/272 goals in 5 games, 387 mins
Analysis
Espanyol's attacking threat is led by Roberto Fernández, who boasts 5 goals this season and excellent recent away form. His partnership with midfielder Javier Hernandez, the team's top assister with 3 assists, provides a creative spark. Defensively, Espanyol benefit from Roger Hinojo's solid performances. Elche's main offensive outlet is Fer Niño, who has scored 2 goals this season, but the team's overall struggles and negative goal difference suggest they will find it tough to contain Espanyol's attack.
Key facts
- 1.Espanyol are 8th with 7 points from 6 games (W2 D1 L3).
- 2.Elche are 20th with 2 points from 5 games (W0 D2 L3).
- 3.Espanyol have a goal difference of +2, while Elche have -7.
- 4.Espanyol average 1.17 points per game compared to Elche's 0.40.
- 5.Roberto Fernández has scored 5 goals in 5 games this season.
- 6.Javier Hernandez leads Espanyol with 3 assists in 5 games.
- 7.Fer Niño is Elche's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
Prediction
The most likely scenario is Espanyol taking a 1-0 lead into halftime and then extending their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The prediction includes a total of 4 cards, indicating a competitive but controlled match. Espanyol's superior form and goal difference make them the clear favourites to secure the win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Espanyol
Away — Elche
The verdict
In summary, Espanyol's stronger league position, attacking prowess, and defensive stability should see them comfortably overcome Elche. Expect a steady start with a 1-0 halftime lead, followed by a couple more goals in the second half to seal a 3-1 victory.
Prediction generated 15 Sep 2026, 21:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Card upgrade confirmed
Redondo
Red Card
Fer Niño
Yellow Card
Fer Niño
Assist: Revivo
Fer Niño
Assist: Revivo
Buba Sangaré
Edu Expósito
Yellow Card
González
Hinojo
Villar
Calatrava
Fer Niño
Núñez
Zaragoza
Chust (OG)
Revivo
Lemar
Valera
Assist: Tete Morente
Riedel
Yellow Card
Cepeda
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Espanyol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Urko GonzálezM
- 6L. CabreraD
- 8Edu ExpósitoM
- 9Roberto FernándezF
- 13M. DmitrovićG
- 14Unai NúñezD
- 15Bryan ZaragozaM
- 21Roger HinojoD
- 22Álex CalatravaM
- 28Javier HernandezM
- 32J. A. LopezD
Substitutes
- 1Ángel FortuñoG
- 3Q. HartmanD
- 5C. RiedelD
- 10Pol LozanoM
- 11Pere MillaM
- 16V. DrkušićD
- 18Marcos FernándezF
- 20Gabriel MoscardoM
- 24T. DolanF
- 26Rafel BauzàM
- 31Llorenç SerredG
Elche
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1M. DituroG
- 2Buba SangaréD
- 3R. RevivoD
- 5F. RedondoD
- 11Germán ValeraF
- 12Gonzalo VillarM
- 14Fer NiñoF
- 18T. LemarM
- 21L. CepedaF
- 23Víctor ChustD
- 47J. MorcilloM
Substitutes
- 6BigasD
- 8Marc AguadoM
- 9E. PonceF
- 10F. BuonanotteM
- 13Alejandro IturbeG
- 16Martim NetoM
- 17JosanM
- 19G. DianganaF
- 20Tete MorenteF
- 22Rubén SánchezD
- 24A. OsorioF
- 26Matia Barzic GutiérrezD
Espanyol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edu Expósito | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 6 | 0/1 |
| Unai Núñez | D | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Marcos Fernández | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| T. Dolan | F | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. A. Lopez | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Urko González | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Q. Hartman | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zaragoza | M | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Pere Milla | M | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| C. Riedel | D | 23 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Hernandez | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Álex Calatrava | M | 61 | 5.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Dmitrović | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Fortuño | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Drkušić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafel Bauzà | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Llorenç Serred | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Elche
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fer Niño | F | 61 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3/6 |
| Germán Valera | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| R. Revivo | D | 77 | 8.2 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Dituro | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 13 | 6.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | D | 53 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Matia Barzic Gutiérrez | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buba Sangaré | D | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Osorio | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Bigas | D | 30 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| T. Lemar | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Morcillo | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Redondo | D | 6 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Diangana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Neto | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Buonanotte | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Iturbe | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Espanyol vs Elche?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Espanyol to win against Elche.
- What score did Fipster predict for Espanyol vs Elche?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Espanyol 3–1 Elche.
- What were the win probabilities for Espanyol vs Elche?
- Fipster's model gave Espanyol a 82% chance of winning, Elche a 9% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 82% confidence — a high-confidence call.