Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK stifle Konyaspor with slender win
E. Tozlu's first-half strike secures a surprise home victory.
Erzurumspor FK edged out Konyaspor 1-0 thanks to E. Tozlu's 17th-minute goal, holding firm for the remainder of the match. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving that sometimes the underdog has the last laugh.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Erzurumspor FK facing Konyaspor in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Konyaspor bringing experience from last season's Süper Lig campaign and Erzurumspor FK stepping up after promotion.
Key facts
- 1.Erzurumspor FK are newly promoted and making their first appearance at this level this season.
- 2.Konyaspor finished 9th in the Süper Lig last season with 40 points from 34 games.
- 3.Erzurumspor FK have strengthened their squad with the arrivals of E. Owusu and E. Taşkıran.
- 4.Konyaspor have signed C. Awaziem and released U. Nayir during the summer transfer window.
- 5.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Konyaspor.
- 6.The match is expected to feature around four yellow cards.
- 7.Konyaspor have a notable points-per-game advantage over Erzurumspor FK based on last season's data.
- 8.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the season for both sides. Erzurumspor FK enter as newcomers to this level, while Konyaspor return following a ninth-place finish last term. Summer transfer activity has seen Erzurumspor FK bolster their squad with the signings of E. Owusu and E. Taşkıran, while Konyaspor have added C. Awaziem and parted ways with U. Nayir.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Erzurumspor FK
Away — Konyaspor
Analysis
Despite Erzurumspor FK's positive goal difference from previous campaigns, Konyaspor's experience in the Süper Lig and their points-per-game advantage suggest they hold the upper hand. The prediction model favours an away win with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting Konyaspor's ability to edge out the newly promoted side in a competitive match. The forecast also anticipates a moderately disciplined game with around four cards expected.
Prediction
Expect Konyaspor to claim a 2-1 victory over Erzurumspor FK. The away side's tactical nous and squad depth should prove decisive, allowing them to overcome the home side's enthusiasm and secure all three points in this season opener.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, Konyaspor look set to start on a high note, while Erzurumspor FK will aim to learn from this early test. Fans can anticipate a lively contest with moments of quality from both sides, but ultimately the visitors are tipped to take the spoils.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tozlu
Assist: Giorbelidze
Baniya
Yellow Card
Jevtović
Yellow Card
Muleka
Yellow Card
Destan
Masuaku
Colley
Owusu
Fettahoğlu
Tozlu
Baniya
Demirbağ
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
İbrahimoğlu
Rodríguez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Erzurumspor FK
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 10E. TozluF
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 22M. YumluD
- 42E. OwusuM
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 65M. RodríguezM
- 99M. FettahoğluM
Substitutes
- 2F. EboseleD
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 8S. AkgünM
- 9G. KerkF
- 17E. AnapaG
- 19I. DiabateF
- 20Miguel CardosoM
- 23C. BayrakD
- 31M. OrbanićG
- 90N. AxundzadəF
Konyaspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4A. DemirbağD
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 8M. JevtovićM
- 11J. MulekaM
- 13B. GüngördüG
- 17Y. AndzouanaD
- 19E. ColleyM
- 22R. BaniyaD
- 26A. MasuakuD
- 77M. İbrahimoğluM
- 94E. DestanF
Substitutes
- 1D. ErtaşG
- 3A. BoşlukD
- 5U. YazğılıD
- 9D. TürüçF
- 15C. AwaziemD
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 45E. BarsF
- 66T. RajmundM
- 91J. DompéF
Erzurumspor FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Giorbelidze | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| E. Tozlu | F | 64 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| M. Yumlu | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Gerxhaliu | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Ovacıklı | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Mujakić | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Kırtay | D | 3 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Akgün | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fettahoğlu | M | 59 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| E. Owusu | M | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Baiye | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Taşkıran | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Diabate | F | 31 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| E. Anapa | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kerk | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Orbanić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Bayrak | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Ebosele | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Axundzadə | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Konyaspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Gonçalves | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | 0/1 |
| A. Demirbağ | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. İbrahimoğlu | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Rajmund | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Türüç | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Y. Andzouana | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Baniya | D | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| B. Güngördü | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dompé | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Muleka | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| M. Jevtović | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Colley | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. Destan | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Masuaku | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. Bars | F | 4 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Mohamed | F | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Boşluk | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Yazğılı | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ertaş | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Awaziem | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Konyaspor to win against Erzurumspor FK.
- What score did Fipster predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Konyaspor.
- What were the win probabilities for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor?
- Fipster's model gave Erzurumspor FK a 2% chance of winning, Konyaspor a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.