Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor
Erzurumspor FK secure solid home win
Miguel Cardoso and E. Tozlu strike to give Erzurumspor FK a confident 2-0 victory.
Erzurumspor FK delivered a composed performance to beat Eyüpspor 2-0 in the Süper Lig. Miguel Cardoso opened the scoring in the first half, and E. Tozlu doubled the lead just after the break, ensuring a comfortable win. Fipster predicted a home win with medium confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the overall call was spot on.
Outcome probability
Erzurumspor FK and Eyüpspor face off in the 8th round of the regular season, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. Erzurumspor, currently struggling near the bottom, will look to leverage their recent home scoring streak to claim all three points.
Match factors
Erzurumspor's attacking edge through Tozlu
Eren Tozlu's consistent scoring and home form give Erzurumspor a key offensive threat
Giorbelidze's assist potential from defense
Guram Giorbelidze's assist rate exceeds league average for defenders, boosting Erzurumspor's chance to create chances
Erzurumspor's recent home scoring streak
The team has scored in 2 consecutive home games, supporting the predicted 1-0 win
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or outs, so all key players remain available, maintaining team strength
The context
Erzurumspor FK sit 17th in the league with just one point from three games, while Eyüpspor are slightly better off in 14th place with three points. Despite Eyüpspor's superior goal difference and points per game, Erzurumspor's home form and attacking threats make this a compelling contest.
Key insights
Eren Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
Eren Tozlu's consistent scoring and strong home form make him a key offensive threat for Erzurumspor.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 7 appearances, 0.29 goals/game
Guram Giorbelidze
Erzurumspor FK
Guram Giorbelidze's assist rate exceeds the league average for defenders, boosting Erzurumspor's chance creation.
Süper Lig 26/271 assist in 5 appearances, 0.2 assists/game
Analysis
Erzurumspor's attacking edge largely comes from Eren Tozlu, who boasts a solid scoring rate and has been pivotal in their recent home performances. Defender Guram Giorbelidze also contributes offensively with a notable assist rate for a defender, enhancing Erzurumspor's chance creation. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive match with moderate disciplinary action predicted.
Key facts
- 1.Erzurumspor FK are ranked 17th with 1 point from 3 games (W0 D1 L2).
- 2.Eyüpspor are ranked 14th with 3 points from 3 games (W1 D0 L2).
- 3.Eyüpspor have a significantly better goal difference (+6) than Erzurumspor FK this season.
- 4.Eyüpspor have a notable points-per-game advantage (1.00 PPG) over Erzurumspor FK (0.33 PPG).
- 5.Eren Tozlu has scored 2 goals in 7 appearances, showing strong home form.
- 6.Guram Giorbelidze has 1 assist in 5 appearances, a high rate for a defender.
- 7.Erzurumspor FK have scored in their last 2 home games.
- 8.Both teams have full squad availability with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Erzurumspor FK, with the home side likely to take an early lead and hold on. The halftime score is expected to mirror the fulltime result, reflecting a disciplined and tightly contested match with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Erzurumspor FK
Away — Eyüpspor
The verdict
In summary, Erzurumspor FK's home attacking form and key player contributions should be enough to secure a slender win over Eyüpspor. While the away side has some advantages on paper, Erzurumspor's recent performances and home advantage tip the scales in their favour.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Jules
Yellow Card
Miguel Cardoso
Assist: Giorbelidze
Goal Disallowed - Foul
Tozlu
Assist: Yumlu
Michalak
Boutobba
Raux Yao
Barası
Miguel Cardoso
Tozlu
Owusu
İlter
Rodríguez
Giorbelidze
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Eyüpspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Erzurumspor FK
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 10E. TozluF
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 20Miguel CardosoF
- 22M. YumluD
- 42E. OwusuM
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 65M. RodríguezM
Substitutes
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 8S. AkgünM
- 9G. KerkF
- 19I. DiabateF
- 21E. AcarM
- 23C. BayrakD
- 31M. OrbanićG
- 77L. AgyekumM
- 90N. AxundzadəF
- 99M. FettahoğluF
Eyüpspor
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1E. BilginG
- 4A. YaşarD
- 5J. El YamiqD
- 9Y. BarasıF
- 15C. Raux YaoM
- 21S. GiordanoD
- 28T. İlterM
- 33Z. JulesD
- 77K. MichalakD
- 88C. MassangaM
- 98B. BoutobbaF
Substitutes
- 7T. ÜlvanD
- 8David CostaM
- 10A. SabiriM
- 11L. PintorF
- 18H. AkmanM
- 27Yigit DemirD
- 31H. MoldovanG
- 42Kutlay Satli BerhanD
- 53M. KarakaşM
- 70M. DemirF
Erzurumspor FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa Yumlu(C) | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Guram Giorbelidze | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Eren Tozlu | F | 81 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | F | 71 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Brandon Baiye | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | G | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amar Gerxhaliu | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nihad Mujakić | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Rodríguez | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yakup Kırtay | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Orbanić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cengizhan Bayrak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Fettahoglu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emirhan Acar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Agyekum | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gyrano Kerk | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sefa Akgün | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Eyüpspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandrel Massanga | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zak Jules | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jawad El Yamiq | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emre Bilgin | G | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Andre Raux Yao | F | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Konrad Michalak | M | 55 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Simone Giordano | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bilal Boutobba | F | 55 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Yusuf Barası | F | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Taşkın Ilter(C) | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Berhan Satli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horațiu Moldovan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiğit Demir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Costa | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Musa Karakas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamza Akman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Talha Ülvan | D | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mete Demir | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lenny Pintor | F | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Erzurumspor FK to win against Eyüpspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Eyüpspor.
- What were the win probabilities for Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor?
- Fipster's model gave Erzurumspor FK a 51% chance of winning, Eyüpspor a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.