Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK
Çorum FK stuns Erzurumspor with clinical display
A commanding 3-1 victory sees Çorum FK overturn expectations in the Süper Lig clash.
Çorum FK took an early lead through Ç. Söyüncü's 20th-minute strike and extended their advantage with two second-half goals from C. Ramírez, including a penalty at 78'. Erzurumspor FK's I. Diabate pulled one back at 74', but it wasn't enough to prevent a 3-1 defeat. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, marking a notable upset in the fixture.
Outcome probability
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK face off in a match that promises to be a tight affair, with both sides eager to climb the league standings. Early signs point to a competitive game with goals on both sides before the break.
Match factors
Erzurumspor FK's attacking duo in strong form
Miguel Cardoso and Eren Tozlu show consistent scoring, boosting home win chances
Çorum FK's midfield threat with Kyziridis and Ünder
Kyziridis leads both goals and assists for Çorum FK, supported by Ünder's creativity
Erzurumspor FK's defenders contribute offensively
Giorbelidze and Yumlu provide assists and stability, enhancing attacking options
Çorum FK has doubtful key players
Doubtful status of attacker Emircan Gürlük and defender Serdar Saatçı may affect lineup and tactics
Erzurumspor FK's defensive solidity with Ovacıklı
Ovacıklı's high duel win rate (80%) and tackling make him crucial against Çorum FK's attackers
The context
Currently, Erzurumspor FK sit 17th in the league with just one point from three games, while Çorum FK are slightly better off at 15th with one point from two matches. Despite Erzurumspor's lower position, their home advantage and attacking form could prove decisive.
Key insights
Miguel Cardoso
Erzurumspor FK
Cardoso's recent scoring form with 3 goals in last 5 matches boosts Erzurumspor's attacking threat at home.
Süper Lig 26/273 goals in last 10 games, 7 appearances, 331 minutes
Alexandros Kyziridis
Çorum FK
Kyziridis leads both goals and assists for Çorum FK, making him a key creative and scoring threat.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals and 4 assists in 6 games, 505 minutes
Guram Giorbelidze
Erzurumspor FK
Giorbelidze contributes offensively with 2 assists, supporting Erzurumspor's attacking options from defense.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 6 games, 538 minutes
- O
Orhan Ovacıklı
Erzurumspor FK
Ovacıklı's defensive solidity with an 80% duel win rate is crucial against Çorum FK's attackers.
Süper Lig 26/27High duel win rate (80%)
Analysis
Erzurumspor FK's attacking duo, Miguel Cardoso and Eren Tozlu, have been in good scoring form, with Cardoso netting three goals in his last five appearances. Their ability to find the net at home gives them an edge. Meanwhile, Çorum FK's Alexandros Kyziridis leads both goals and assists for his side, making him a key threat despite his midfield role. Defensively, Erzurumspor's Orhan Ovacıklı stands out with an impressive duel win rate, providing stability against Çorum's forwards. The match is expected to be closely fought, with a likely 1-1 scoreline at half-time before Erzurumspor clinches a narrow win.
Key facts
- 1.Erzurumspor FK are 17th in the league with 1 point from 3 games (W0 D1 L2).
- 2.Çorum FK are 15th with 1 point from 2 games (W0 D1 L1).
- 3.Çorum FK have a significantly better goal difference than Erzurumspor FK this season.
- 4.Miguel Cardoso has scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches for Erzurumspor FK.
- 5.Alexandros Kyziridis leads Çorum FK with 4 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 6.Erzurumspor FK's defender Orhan Ovacıklı boasts an 80% duel win rate.
- 7.The predicted half-time score is 1-1, with a full-time score of 2-1 in favour of Erzurumspor FK.
- 8.Total cards predicted in the match are 4.
Prediction
The prediction is a 2-1 victory for Erzurumspor FK after a 1-1 draw at half-time. The home side's attacking prowess and defensive resilience should be enough to secure the three points in this competitive fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Erzurumspor FK
Away — Çorum FK
The verdict
Expect a spirited contest with Erzurumspor FK edging out Çorum FK by the slimmest of margins. Both teams will have their moments, but the home side's consistent goal-scoring form and defensive solidity should see them through.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 17:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Söyüncü
Assist: Ünder
Tozlu
Yellow Card
Sazdağı
Yellow Card
Owusu
Giorbelidze
Yellow Card
Kırtay
Miguel Cardoso
Ramírez
Diabate
Assist: Kerk
Mahmić
Ovacıklı
Rodríguez
Ramírez
Penalty
Ramírez
Diomandé
Sazdağı
Kyziridis
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 14 |  Eyüpspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Erzurumspor FK
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 10E. TozluF
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 20Miguel CardosoF
- 42E. OwusuM
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 65M. RodríguezM
Substitutes
- 2F. EboseleD
- 8S. AkgünM
- 9G. KerkF
- 19I. DiabateF
- 23C. BayrakD
- 25Omer KaraD
- 31M. OrbanićG
- 77L. AgyekumM
- 90N. AxundzadəF
- 99M. FettahoğluF
Çorum FK
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Marcos FelipeG
- 2Ç. SöyüncüD
- 6H. SmolčićD
- 7C. ÜnderM
- 10M. DiomandéM
- 11G. SazdağıD
- 19C. RamírezF
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 24A. BorzaD
- 26Ermin MahmićF
- 89A. KyziridisM
Substitutes
- 3B. ÖzdemirM
- 4S. SaatçıD
- 5Alexandre PenetraD
- 8M. KarlsbakkM
- 9M. ThiamF
- 14Y. MoukokoF
- 15A. ŞengülD
- 18E. ErentürkG
- 21G. GürpüzM
- 30A. IldızM
Erzurumspor FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar Gerxhaliu | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Yakup Kırtay | D | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Martín Rodríguez | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Guram Giorbelidze | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | F | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | D | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Brandon Baiye | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eren Tozlu(C) | F | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nihad Mujakić | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | G | 92 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Orbanić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cengizhan Bayrak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Agyekum | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ömer Arda Kara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 24 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Gyrano Kerk | F | 33 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Mustafa Fettahoglu | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sefa Akgün | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Festy Ebosele | D | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Çorum FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Ramírez | F | 83 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Çağlar Söyüncü | D | 92 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Felipe | G | 92 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gökhan Sazdağı(C) | D | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hrvoje Smolčić | D | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cengiz Ünder | M | 92 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Andrei Borza | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ermin Mahmić | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | M | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Mohammed Diomande | M | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Serdar Saatçı | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Göktan Gürpüz | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berat Özdemir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Karlsbakk | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mame Thiam | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Şengül | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erhan Erentürk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssoufa Moukoko | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Ildız | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Erzurumspor FK to win against Çorum FK.
- What score did Fipster predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Erzurumspor FK 2–1 Çorum FK.
- What were the win probabilities for Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
- Fipster's model gave Erzurumspor FK a 67% chance of winning, Çorum FK a 16% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.