Elche vs Celta Vigo
Elche and Celta Vigo settle for stalemate
Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless draw.
Elche and Celta Vigo played out a 0-0 draw in La Liga, with neither team managing to score. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Celta Vigo, proving that sometimes the ball just refuses to budge.
Outcome probability
Elche and Celta Vigo face off in what promises to be a closely contested La Liga fixture. Both sides have struggled near the bottom of the table, making every point crucial as the season unfolds.
Match factors
Fer Niño's strong scoring form
Fer Niño has scored 5 goals in last 7 games, averaging 0.71 goals per game, making him Elche's main scoring threat
Víctor Chust's passing dominance
Víctor Chust's 91% passing accuracy and 76 passes per game surpass league defender averages, aiding Elche's build-up play
Tete Morente's assist surge
Tete Morente has 3 assists in last 7 games, showing strong creative form to support goal scorers
Celta Vigo missing key attackers
Celta Vigo is without top attackers Iago Aspas and Andrés Antañón, weakening their offensive options
The context
This match sees two teams separated by just a point in the league standings, with Elche sitting 17th and Celta Vigo 18th. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, though Celta Vigo holds a slight edge with six wins to Elche's four in their last 12 meetings. The average goals per game in these encounters is modest, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.
Key insights
Fer Niño
Elche
Fer Niño has been clinical with 5 goals in 7 games, making him Elche's main scoring threat.
La Liga 26/275 goals in last 7 games, 6 appearances, 409 minutes
Tete Morente
Elche
Tete Morente's 3 assists in 7 games highlight his creative influence for Elche.
La Liga 26/273 assists in last 7 games, 6 appearances, 385 minutes
Víctor Chust
Elche
Víctor Chust's 91% passing accuracy helps Elche maintain possession and build attacks.
La Liga 26/271 assist in last 7 games, 6 appearances, 540 minutes
Buba Sangaré
Elche
Buba Sangaré offers a scoring threat from defence with 1 goal in 6 games, useful on set pieces.
La Liga 26/271 goal in 6 appearances, 503 minutes
Analysis
Celta Vigo's recent form is hampered by the absence of key attackers Iago Aspas and Andrés Antañón, which dulls their offensive threat. However, Elche's main scoring outlet, Fer Niño, has been in fine form with five goals in seven games, supported by creative spark Tete Morente who has provided three assists recently. Defensively, Víctor Chust's exceptional passing accuracy helps Elche build from the back, but Celta's resilience and tactical discipline could be the difference in a match expected to be decided by a single goal.
Key facts
- 1.Celta Vigo lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Elche's 4 in 12 matches.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 1.8, indicating low scoring games.
- 3.Elche are 17th in the league with 5 points from 7 games (W1 D2 L4).
- 4.Celta Vigo are 18th with 4 points from 6 games (W0 D4 L2).
- 5.Fer Niño has scored 5 goals in the last 7 games, making him Elche's top scorer.
- 6.Tete Morente has provided 3 assists in the last 7 games, leading Elche's creativity.
- 7.Víctor Chust boasts a 91% passing accuracy, aiding Elche's build-up play.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow 1-0 victory for Celta Vigo, with the away side likely to take an early lead and hold on. The halftime score is expected to be 0-1, consistent with the full-time result. The match is also anticipated to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Elche
Away — Celta Vigo
No standout top scorers flagged for Celta Vigo
The verdict
In a fixture where margins are fine and every point counts, Celta Vigo's slight historical advantage and tactical edge should see them claim all three points. Elche will pose a threat, especially through Fer Niño, but ultimately the visitors are expected to edge this one.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 18:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lago
Yellow Card
Javi Rueda
Yellow Card
Tete Morente
Durán
Fer Niño
Javi Galán
Jutglà
Álvarez
Villar
Febas
Yellow Card
Febas
Lemar
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Elche
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1M. DituroG
- 3R. RevivoD
- 8Marc AguadoM
- 11Germán ValeraD
- 12Gonzalo VillarM
- 14Fer NiñoF
- 18T. LemarM
- 20Tete MorenteF
- 22Rubén SánchezD
- 23Víctor ChustD
- 47J. MorcilloD
Substitutes
- 6BigasD
- 9E. PonceF
- 10F. BuonanotteM
- 13Alejandro IturbeG
- 15K. LomónacoD
- 16Martim NetoM
- 17JosanM
- 19G. DianganaF
- 21L. CepedaF
- 24A. OsorioF
- 26Matia Barzic GutiérrezD
- 30Alvaro PadillaF
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 6I. MoribaM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 15Álvaro NúñezD
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 22Javi GalánM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 5Sergio CarreiraD
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 10Iago AspasF
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 21S. CáceresD
- 24C. DriouechF
- 25Iván VillarG
- 30H. BurcioM
Elche
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Víctor Chust | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Lemar | M | 87 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Dituro | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Morcillo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 59 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Martim Neto | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marc Aguado | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Osorio | F | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Valera | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fer Niño | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Buonanotte | M | 3 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Revivo | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| K. Lomónaco | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Iturbe | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matia Barzic Gutiérrez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Padilla | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Diangana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bigas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Núñez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Javi Galán | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| H. Burcio | M | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Sergio Carreira | D | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Driouech | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Aleix Febas | M | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 60 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Cáceres | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Villar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Faye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo González | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Elche vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celta Vigo to win against Elche.
- What score did Fipster predict for Elche vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Elche 0–1 Celta Vigo.
- What were the win probabilities for Elche vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's model gave Elche a 16% chance of winning, Celta Vigo a 68% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.