Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt secure solid win over Hamburg
A strong second-half display sees Frankfurt pull clear after an early exchange of goals.
The Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV ended 3-1 in favour of the hosts. An own goal by W. Omari gave Frankfurt an early lead, quickly cancelled out by T. Moffi for Hamburg, but Frankfurt pulled ahead after the break with goals from R. Onyedika and Y. Ebnoutalib. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV face off in what promises to be a tight encounter in the regular season. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality, but recent form and key player performances suggest a narrow home victory.
Match factors
Key attacker J. Ngankam out for Eintracht Frankfurt
Ngankam's confirmed hamstring injury removes a primary scoring option, limiting attacking depth.
Hamburger SV missing key midfielder N. Remberg
Remberg's knee injury sidelines a key midfield passer, weakening HSV's build-up play.
Eintracht Frankfurt's strong defensive passing and tackling
Frankfurt defenders Koch and Brassier excel in passing accuracy and defensive duels, aiding ball retention and disruption.
Y. Ebnoutalib's recent scoring surge
Ebnoutalib scored 5 goals in recent matches with high ratings, driving Frankfurt's attack.
Hamburger SV's defensive tackling strength via N. Capaldo
Capaldo averages 3 tackles per game, above league average, providing defensive solidity.
The context
This fixture sees Eintracht Frankfurt sitting 13th with 8 points from 6 games, while Hamburger SV are just above in 10th place with 9 points from 7 matches. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Frankfurt winning 7 of 16 meetings and HSV 3, alongside 6 draws. Matches between these two typically produce around 2.4 goals, hinting at a competitive and moderately scoring affair.
Key insights
- Y
Y. Ebnoutalib
Eintracht Frankfurt
Ebnoutalib has been in fine form, scoring 5 goals recently and posing a constant threat up front.
Bundesliga 26/275 goals in recent matches with high ratings (up to 9.25)
- R
R. Onyedika
Eintracht Frankfurt
Onyedika's tackling and duel wins are crucial for Frankfurt's midfield stability and transition play.
Bundesliga 26/272.3 tackles per game and 52.6% duel win rate
- R
R. Koch
Eintracht Frankfurt
Koch's passing accuracy and volume help Frankfurt maintain possession and create chances.
Bundesliga 26/2789-90% passing accuracy with 53-54 passes per game
- N
N. Capaldo
Hamburger SV
Capaldo leads HSV's defensive efforts with strong tackling and interceptions, disrupting attacks effectively.
Bundesliga 26/273 tackles per game
Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt's recent attacking threat has been spearheaded by Y. Ebnoutalib, who has netted 5 goals in recent matches and boasts impressive shot volume and impact. Defensively, Frankfurt benefit from the reliable passing and tackling of R. Koch and R. Onyedika, who help maintain possession and disrupt opposition play. Hamburger SV, meanwhile, rely on N. Capaldo's defensive tackling and A. Grønbæk's creativity in midfield, though they are missing key players like N. Remberg, which could hamper their build-up. The absence of Frankfurt's J. Ngankam due to injury also limits their attacking options, but the home side's overall balance and form give them the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Eintracht Frankfurt have won 7 of 16 meetings against Hamburger SV, with 6 draws and 3 losses.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, aligning with the predicted 2-1 scoreline.
- 3.Eintracht Frankfurt rank 13th with 8 points from 6 games (W2 D2 L2).
- 4.Hamburger SV rank 10th with 9 points from 7 games (W3 D0 L4).
- 5.Y. Ebnoutalib has scored 5 goals in recent matches, driving Frankfurt's attack.
- 6.J. Ngankam is out with a hamstring injury, limiting Frankfurt's attacking options.
- 7.Hamburger SV are missing key midfielder N. Remberg due to a knee injury.
- 8.R. Koch and R. Onyedika provide strong defensive passing and tackling for Frankfurt.
Prediction
We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 1-0. Hamburger SV will respond, but ultimately Frankfurt's home advantage and recent form should see them clinch a 2-1 victory. The match is likely to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Eintracht Frankfurt
Away — Hamburger SV
The verdict
In summary, this fixture should deliver a closely fought game with Eintracht Frankfurt narrowly coming out on top. Their blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity, combined with key absences for Hamburger SV, points to a 2-1 home win that keeps the league table interesting.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 18:23 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Omari (OG)
Moffi
Assist: Grønbæk
Nandja
Yellow Card
Kosugi
Onyedika
Goal cancelled
Moffi
Lemke
Ebnoutalib
Assist: Uzun
Adeline
Yellow Card
Ebnoutalib
Omari
Yellow Card
Sambi Lokonga
Adeline
Baum
Yellow Card
Grønbæk
Koch
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Aséko Nkili
Uzun
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 2Elias BaumD
- 3L. BrassierD
- 4R. KochD
- 8F. ChaïbiM
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
- 15N. Aséko NkiliM
- 20R. DōanM
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 26K. KosugiD
- 42C. UzunM
Substitutes
- 7A. KnauffF
- 9J. BurkardtF
- 22T. ChandlerD
- 27M. GötzeM
- 29A. AmaimouniF
- 34N. CollinsD
- 37J. MaluzeD
- 40Kauã SantosG
Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
- 3D. Møller WolfeM
- 5M. AdelineM
- 6A. Sambi LokongaM
- 9T. MoffiF
- 11A. GrønbækM
- 17W. OmariD
- 23J. TorunarighaD
- 28M. MuheimM
- 37L. LemkeM
- 43S. NandjaD
Substitutes
- 7Z. El OuahdiD
- 10I. PheraiM
- 12S. TangvikG
- 18B. JattaM
- 19Otto Emerson StangeF
- 22Kofi Jeremy AmoakoM
- 27P. DakaF
- 38Alexander Røssing-LelesiitF
- 48J. Bissi MouelleD
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Onyedika | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Ebnoutalib | F | 74 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/5 |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1/3 |
| C. Uzun | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/6 |
| J. Burkardt | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| R. Koch | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| N. Aséko Nkili | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| A. Knauff | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Brassier | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Atubolu | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Baum | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| K. Kosugi | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Dōan | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| T. Chandler | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Amaimouni | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maluze | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Götze | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Moffi | F | 63 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Muheim | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit | F | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Otto Emerson Stange | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Grønbæk | M | 88 | 6.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga | M | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M | 10 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 27 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Lemke | M | 63 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Nandja | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Torunarigha | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Adeline | M | 80 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Møller Wolfe | M | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| W. Omari | D | 90 | 4.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Bissi Mouelle | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Jatta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Pherai | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Tangvik | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Eintracht Frankfurt to win against Hamburger SV.
- What score did Fipster predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 Hamburger SV.
- What were the win probabilities for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
- Fipster's model gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 76% chance of winning, Hamburger SV a 12% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 76% confidence — a high-confidence call.