Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt edges Köln with Ebnoutalib strike
A solitary goal in the second half secures a narrow win for the hosts.
Eintracht Frankfurt claimed a tight 1-0 victory over 1. FC Köln thanks to Y. Ebnoutalib's decisive goal in the 77th minute. The match was a close contest with the single strike making all the difference. Fipster had predicted a home win with high confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the outcome was spot on.
Outcome probability
Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln face off in what promises to be an entertaining Bundesliga fixture. Both sides have shown glimpses of attacking flair, with their head-to-head meetings averaging over three goals per game. Frankfurt, currently 13th in the league, will look to leverage their home advantage and recent scoring form to edge past their close rivals Köln, who sit just below them in 14th.
Match factors
Frankfurt's attacking trio in strong form
Ebnoutalib, Burkardt, and Uzun combine high scoring rates and minutes, likely to exploit Köln's defense
Superior home scoring and assist rates
Frankfurt's key attackers and midfielders exceed league averages in goals and assists per game at home
Ebnoutalib's recent explosive scoring
Ebnoutalib scored 3 goals in a single recent match, boosting confidence and scoring probability
Köln missing key attackers and defenders
Confirmed outs include Köln's main attackers and defenders, weakening their defensive and offensive capabilities
The context
This match comes early in the Bundesliga season, with Frankfurt holding 5 points from 5 games and Köln on 4 points from 4 games. Their previous 20 meetings have been evenly matched, with each side winning 7 times and drawing 6. The average of 3.4 goals per game in these encounters suggests an open and attacking contest is on the cards.
Key insights
Younes Ebnoutalib
Eintracht Frankfurt
Leads team scoring with 4 goals in 4 games, well above league average for attackers, and recently scored a hat-trick boosting confidence.
Bundesliga 26/274 goals in 4 appearances, 0.8 goals/game last 5
Jonathan Burkardt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Consistent scorer with 3 goals in 4 games and strong home scoring rate, likely to start and add to the goal tally.
Bundesliga 26/273 goals in 4 appearances, 1 goal/game at home
Can Uzun
Eintracht Frankfurt
Midfielder with 2 goals in 4 games, showing good away scoring form and overall impact in attack.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals in 4 appearances, 0.67 goals/game away
Ritsu Dōan
Eintracht Frankfurt
Top assister with 1 assist in 3 games, creative midfielder with good home assist rate, key in setting up goals.
Bundesliga 26/271 assist in 3 appearances, 0.33 assists/game
Analysis
Frankfurt's attacking trio, led by Younes Ebnoutalib who has netted 4 goals in 4 games, is in fine form and likely to trouble Köln's defence. Jonathan Burkardt and Can Uzun also contribute significantly to the home side's goal threat. Köln, missing some key attackers and defenders, may struggle to contain Frankfurt's offensive firepower. The home side's superior scoring and assist rates at home further tilt the balance in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln have each won 7 of their 20 meetings, with 6 draws.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals, indicating open, attacking games.
- 3.Frankfurt are 13th in the Bundesliga with 5 points from 5 games (W1 D2 L2).
- 4.Köln sit 14th with 4 points from 4 games (W1 D1 L2).
- 5.Younes Ebnoutalib leads Frankfurt's scoring with 4 goals in 4 games.
- 6.Frankfurt's attacking trio combine strong scoring and assist rates at home.
- 7.Köln are missing key attackers and defenders, weakening their squad depth.
- 8.The predicted halftime score is 1-0, with a fulltime score of 3-1 in favour of Frankfurt.
Prediction
We expect Frankfurt to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted halftime score of 1-0. Their momentum should continue into the second half, culminating in a 3-1 victory. The match is also expected to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Eintracht Frankfurt
Away — 1. FC Köln
No standout top scorers flagged for 1. FC Köln
The verdict
All signs point to a confident Frankfurt performance, capitalising on their attacking strengths and home advantage. Köln will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to break down Frankfurt's organised play if they are to avoid defeat. Ultimately, the visitors face an uphill battle in this one.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 15:32 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Götze
Yellow Card
Brassier
Yellow Card
Bergmann Jóhannesson
Yellow Card
Maina
Bergmann Jóhannesson
Schmied
Collins
Götze
Ebnoutalib
Assist: Aséko Nkili
Burkardt
Sebulonsen
El Mala
Sosa
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 3L. BrassierD
- 4R. KochD
- 8F. ChaïbiM
- 9J. BurkardtF
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
- 20R. DōanM
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 26K. KosugiD
- 27M. GötzeM
- 34N. CollinsD
Substitutes
- 2Elias BaumD
- 7A. KnauffF
- 15N. Aséko NkiliM
- 22T. ChandlerD
- 29A. AmaimouniF
- 31L. ArrhovM
- 37J. MaluzeD
- 40Kauã SantosG
- 42C. UzunM
1. FC Köln
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1M. SchwäbeG
- 2J. SchmiedD
- 3B. SosaD
- 5T. KraußM
- 8Í. Bergmann JóhannessonM
- 10S. El MalaF
- 22Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD
- 24L. LochoshviliD
- 28S. SebulonsenD
- 30M. BülterF
- 37L. MainaM
Substitutes
- 7L. WaldschmidtF
- 11Reigan HeskeyF
- 14G. MensahD
- 17A. Castro-MontesM
- 20R. ZielerG
- 23Paul Michael Junior Okon-EngstlerM
- 29J. ThielmannM
- 47M. MooreF
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Koch | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Brassier | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Y. Ebnoutalib | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| N. Atubolu | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Dōan | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/8 |
| K. Kosugi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Elias Baum | D | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Aséko Nkili | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Collins | D | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| A. Knauff | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Götze | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Onyedika | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Burkardt | F | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Arrhov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Uzun | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Chandler | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maluze | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Amaimouni | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Schwäbe | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Sosa | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Lochoshvili | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schmied | D | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Castro-Montes | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Krauß | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Sebulonsen | D | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/4 |
| Reigan Heskey | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Moore | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| L. Maina | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Waldschmidt | F | 6 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Mala | F | 84 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/6 |
| M. Bülter | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M | 68 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Zieler | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mensah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Thielmann | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Eintracht Frankfurt to win against 1. FC Köln.
- What score did Fipster predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 1. FC Köln.
- What were the win probabilities for Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
- Fipster's model gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 88% chance of winning, 1. FC Köln a 6% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.