Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
Beljo's last-gasp penalty stuns Anderlecht
Dinamo Zagreb snatch a dramatic win deep into stoppage time.
In a tight UEFA Europa League clash, Dinamo Zagreb secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Anderlecht thanks to D. Beljo's penalty in the sixth minute of added time. The late spot-kick proved decisive in a match that had looked destined for a goalless draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an Anderlecht win, turning the expected outcome on its head.
Outcome probability
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht face off in a Group Stage clash where both sides will be eager to assert their dominance. Anderlecht arrive in fine form, aiming to extend their impressive unbeaten streak in this competition.
Match factors
Anderlecht's strong recent scoring streak
Anderlecht has scored in all of their last 5 matches, showing high attacking confidence
Anderlecht's superior away scoring record
Anderlecht averages 1.67 goals away, higher than Dinamo Zagreb's unknown away scoring
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads likely available
Anderlecht's attacking midfield strength vs Dinamo's defense
Anderlecht's midfielders like Cvetkovic and Ambros provide creative threat against Dinamo's less proven defense
The context
Anderlecht have been in excellent shape in this tournament, winning five of their six matches and scoring 14 goals while conceding just four. Their recent 3-0 home victory in the play-offs against Kairat Almaty highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Dinamo Zagreb, meanwhile, will be looking to disrupt Anderlecht's rhythm and claim valuable points.
Key insights
- D
D. Sikan
Anderlecht
Consistent goal scorer with multiple recent goals in away fixtures, key to Anderlecht's strong form.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Goals in last 5 matches, above league average scoring impact.
- M
M. Cvetkovic
Anderlecht
Important attacking midfielder contributing goals and penalties, boosting Anderlecht's scoring rate.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Multiple goals this season including penalties and open play.
- L
L. Ambros
Anderlecht
Creative midfielder providing key passes and assists, supporting Anderlecht's attacking momentum.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Recent goal scorer and assist provider in away matches.
Analysis
The statistical edge leans towards Anderlecht, who boast a superior away scoring record and a midfield brimming with creativity. Midfielders like M. Cvetkovic and L. Ambros have been instrumental in driving Anderlecht's attack, contributing goals and assists in recent away fixtures. Dinamo's defence will need to be alert to these threats, especially given Anderlecht's consistent scoring streak in their last five matches. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects a tightly contested encounter, with Anderlecht likely to snatch a narrow lead by halftime and hold on.
Key facts
- 1.Anderlecht have won 5 of their 6 matches in this competition, scoring 14 goals and conceding 4.
- 2.The modal predicted scoreline is 0-1 in favour of Anderlecht.
- 3.Halftime score prediction aligns with fulltime at 0-1, suggesting an early Anderlecht goal.
- 4.Total cards expected in the match is around 4, indicating a competitive encounter.
- 5.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are likely available.
Prediction
We expect Anderlecht to secure a 1-0 victory, with the decisive goal coming in the first half. The match is likely to be competitive, with a total of around four cards expected, reflecting the intensity of the battle on the pitch.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dinamo Zagreb
Away — Anderlecht
The verdict
In summary, Anderlecht's strong form and attacking midfield creativity give them the edge in this Group Stage fixture. Dinamo Zagreb will put up a fight, but the visitors are poised to take all three points with a slender 1-0 win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Galešić
Yellow Card
Degreef
Yellow Card
Mišić
Yellow Card
Almena
Galešić
Ambros
Stojković
Winkler
Yellow Card
CvetkoviÄ
Degreef
Winkler
Stroeykens
Penalty confirmed
Beljo
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 28 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 6S. RadeljićD
- 9D. BeljoF
- 10L. StojkovićM
- 11A. HoxhaM
- 15N. GalešićD
- 17L. IvanušecM
- 22Olof Matteo Perez VinlöfD
- 23Iker AlmenaM
- 24D. KotarskiG
- 27J. MišićM
- 36Sergi DomínguezD
Substitutes
- 1D. ZagoracG
- 3B. GodaD
- 5K. KravtsovM
- 7Dani RodríguezF
- 8M. ZajcM
- 14S. PrevljakF
- 21M. LisicaF
- 25M. ValinčićD
- 26S. McKennaD
- 44I. FilipovićG
- 80L. KačavendaM
- 99M. OršićF
Anderlecht
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5O. ReabciukD
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 10M. WinklerM
- 12A. OmobamideleD
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 27L. PétrotD
- 29M. StroeykensM
- 50K. BarryD
- 83T. DegreefM
Substitutes
- 2Zoumana KeitaD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 8R. AmanéM
- 11O. AntmanF
- 14D. SikanF
- 21T. BentayebF
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 55M. KanaM
- 79A. MaamarD
- 91A. BertacciniF
Dinamo Zagreb
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kotarski | G | 90 | 8.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Domínguez | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Radeljić | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hoxha | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5/7 |
| L. Kačavenda | M | 22 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ivanušec | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Mišić | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Dani Rodríguez | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Stojković | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Galešić | D | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/5 |
| Iker Almena | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Beljo | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Valinčić | D | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Filipović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Goda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. McKenna | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lisica | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kravtsov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Zagorac | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Oršić | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zajc | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Anderlecht
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Reabciuk | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| C. Coosemans | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Barry | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Omobamidele | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Pétrot | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Winkler | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/6 |
| T. Aasgaard | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| T. Bentayeb | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Stroeykens | M | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Ambros | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| R. Amané | M | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Antman | F | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. CvetkoviÄ | F | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| T. Degreef | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Sikan | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Bertaccini | F | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Cobiella | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Augustinsson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Heekeren | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Maamar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Llansana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zoumana Keita | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Anderlecht to win against Dinamo Zagreb.
- What score did Fipster predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Dinamo Zagreb 0–1 Anderlecht.
- What were the win probabilities for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
- Fipster's model gave Dinamo Zagreb a 7% chance of winning, Anderlecht a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.