Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round

Dinamo Tbilisi

Full Time
3–0
HT: 3–0

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Ref: R. HensgensBoris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi · 54,202 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7 5 Dinamo Tbilisi
Advances:
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Match recap

Dinamo Tbilisi beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi win

Actual

3–0

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

Dinamo Tbilisi 95%Draw 3%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2%

Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Zalgiris Vilnius face off in the 2nd Qualifying Round, with Dinamo looking to extend their positive home form against a visiting side that has struggled defensively on the road.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Dinamo Tbilisi's Defensive Scorers Provide Unexpected Threat

Three defenders scored in last home win vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius, indicating set-piece and defensive scoring strength.

Statistical Edgehigh

Dinamo Tbilisi's Strong Home Defensive Record

Dinamo Tbilisi concedes only 0.5 goals per home game, well below league average, supporting clean sheet likelihood.

Form Momentummedium

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Struggles Defensively on the Road

FK Zalgiris Vilnius has conceded in all last 3 away games, suggesting defensive frailty against Dinamo Tbilisi's attack.

Injury Impacthigh

No Confirmed Injuries for Either Side

Both teams have full squads available, so predicted lineups likely to feature strongest players.

The context

Dinamo Tbilisi have played four matches in this competition this season, winning two and losing two, scoring seven goals and conceding nine. FK Zalgiris Vilnius have six matches under their belt here, with three wins and three losses, netting 14 but conceding 16. In their two previous head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi have the edge with one win and one draw.

Key insights

  • N

    N. Kurdić

    Dinamo Tbilisi

    Scored in the last home match against FK Zalgiris Vilnius and provides a strong defensive presence with above-average interceptions.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Key contributor to team's positive scoring streak at home.

  • N

    N. Ugrekhelidze

    Dinamo Tbilisi

    Integral to the team's clean sheet in the recent home win and a defensive stalwart with solid duel win percentage.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored in last home match vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

  • L

    Leo Santos

    Dinamo Tbilisi

    Consistent goal threat and contributor to the team's scoring at home, having scored in the last home match against FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Above average goal threat for a forward.

Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi's home performances have been impressive, particularly their defensive solidity, conceding only 0.5 goals per home game on average. Their defenders have also contributed to scoring, showing strength on set-pieces. FK Zalgiris Vilnius, meanwhile, have conceded in all their last three away games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Dinamo are likely to exploit. Both teams have full squads available, so expect the strongest lineups on display.

Key facts

  1. 1.Dinamo Tbilisi have won 2 of their 4 matches in this competition this season.
  2. 2.FK Zalgiris Vilnius have conceded in all their last 3 away games in this competition.
  3. 3.Dinamo Tbilisi have a positive head-to-head record against FK Zalgiris Vilnius with 1 win and 1 draw.
  4. 4.The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with the fulltime 3-0 result.
  5. 5.Dinamo Tbilisi concede only 0.5 goals per home game on average in this competition.
  6. 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, so strongest lineups expected.
  7. 7.Four cards are the modal prediction for this match, suggesting a competitive game.

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a home win for Dinamo Tbilisi, with a 3-0 scoreline reflecting their ability to control the game and keep a clean sheet. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime result. The match is likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.

The verdict

Dinamo Tbilisi look set to continue their strong home form with a comprehensive victory over FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Their defensive and offensive balance should prove too much for the visitors, who have struggled to keep clean sheets away from home.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Fipster's AI model predicted Dinamo Tbilisi to win against FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
What score did Fipster predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Fipster predicted a final score of Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
What were the win probabilities for Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Fipster's model gave Dinamo Tbilisi a 95% chance of winning, FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.
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